gnusty_gnurc

20 ms·

91.
by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> I think this is the younger should accept that a closed latte shop is not a good reason for depression Easy for you to say - I'm sure you're comfortable from home working some tech job while you dispatch immigrants on Grubhub
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
So you're saying the studies are all wrong based on your a priori reasoning that interventions so far have failed? Make a convincing study to disprove them.
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> But COVID-19 also has a _very_ large incidence of asymptomatic transmission Does it? Meta-analysis concluding secondary attack rate in households from asymptomatic transmission around 0.7%. > Household secondary attack rates were in
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
This article really misses the crux of how science massively screwed up and forever tarnished its image. It's egregiously silent about the disastrous role science had in American society around the 1920s. Eugenics! The scientific manag
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
And even historically can’t talk about NYT without Walter Duranty, the Stalin apologist and Holodomor denier.
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> it’s worth throwing in there that the democratically elected leader Donald Trumps pledge to “clean the swamp” has left the government controlled by family and loyalists He's certainly put on display just how horribly the system fu
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> It's definitely not worth stopping clinical trials Did anyone suggest this?
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
Hence why they're referred to as ideals. No one lives up to them as a consequence of being human. That doesn't invalidate them.
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> then literally any action is permissible What's permissible now is whatever doesn't harm or constrain upper classes. We've decided that essential workers should work and the higher classes should be sheltered and they ca
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Jay Bhattacharya on the Pandemic [podcast](econtalk.org)
2 points by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago|0 comments
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
Poor people around the world have been devastated by the majority position in public health policy. A majority of people and the health establishment thought ventilators were a good idea; it turns out mortality dropped 30% during the time p
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> it is a place that they feel uniquely safeguards it This isn't news, just read de Tocqueville. As an American I'm comforted by the idea that a significant part of my compatriots will resist any order by virtue of being orde
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
Did you even read what I said? I said local outbreaks all follow the same spread curve. When aggregated at the country level you're looking at many separate outbreaks superimposed, hence the wide curves.
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> Growth prior to the initial lockdowns was expoenential with a doubling rate between 5-7 days. Had this been ineffective we'd have all been sick by now and maybe 50-100M people would be dead worldwide. You know this isn't true
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
The issue that the article is explaining is the barrage of chinese bots that hit anyone when advocating any approach aside from lockdown. The point clearly is that China isn't interested in pushing science.
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> There are industrialized countries with less than 1/3 the per capita death rate of the US. Are we reducing a multivariate phenomenon to public policy? Clearly the US is horrifically unhealthy, could have different age demographics
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> It is wrong to pretend that lockdown isn't effective. If they were effective, why do graphs show seasonality predominates? There's yet to be conclusive scientific evidence of the effectiveness of lockdowns. No where in the 20
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> If that strategy worked, we would have seen at least 1 success by now. No one “wins” against things like death, disease, etc. The world is full of unwinnable things that can used to justify authoritarianism and deprivation of individua
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> the measures to stop it is a temporary situation Lockdown advocates are arguing authoritarianism is how we get zero deaths. I don’t care to entertain authoritarianism on a “temporary basis.” The thing is, authoritarianism justifies its
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> It makes me wonder why we haven't been spending anything close to 1/5 as much time and effort on fighting opioid abuse as we have on covid. If you think opioid abuse is bad, wait until you know the amount of deaths from obesi
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
I'm around NYC, was in the city, and haven't seen anything even remotely severe in the summer. Hence Cuomo acting like he conquered it with masks. Cases in my city were in the single digits, and then like clockwork started a stead
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
What's always been striking to me is seeing the pervasive humanistic, liberal attitude at a place like Princeton. People there must somehow deal with the dissonance of being the best example of entrenched privilege, absurd wealth, soph
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
Did you see the Hope-Simpson figure? Texas is roughly 36N to 26N. That puts it close/within the tropical zone. That zone has a relatively diffuse outbreak curve, seems like there's some type of subtle signal though, whereas the hi
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
Seasons vary geographically?
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
You should be smart enough to know that a respiratory virus could be seasonal but still spread throughout the year. And the further complexity of being presented with this huge US graph, which in reality is the aggregated result of so many
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
Largely yes
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> as it looks like lockdown and highest restrictions aren't decreasing cases This has been apparent since the beginning. It's a highly contagious seasonal virus. When it declined in the northeast of the US as the spring led int
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> but you have to suck up the costs In other words immiserate anyone who’s not a comfortable white-collar person that can hole up in their home, Zoom to work, and dispatch immigrants to deliver food
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
Australia is an island with a population almost half California. China welds people in their houses and forcibly enters homes and drags family to some location. I have no desire to emulate them.
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by gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
With time the people we vaunted as enlightened don’t appear to be doing well. In fact it seems they’re vulnerable and now subject to the same seasonal trends of spread everyone else was largely powerless against. California, Germany, Korea,

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