dirtyid

54 ms·

451.
by dirtyid 4y ago
You have it reversed. US prefer sooner war because PRC military closing gap and will continue to both in platfrom numbers and capabilities. PRC also has the BEST demographics to fight future wars. She's still going to generate multiple
452.
by dirtyid 4y ago
> Minihan, who as head of Air Mobility Command Domestic acquisition politics, current USAF tanking fleet lacking 50-150 airframes to persecute stand off war outside of first island chain according to analysis. AF wants grab piece of pie
453.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Friend built a light box with some color calibration markers and DSLRed 20,000 slides in a few days and post processed the ones he liked. It's not professional grade but it worked fine.
454.
by dirtyid 4y ago
On the other hand: https://twitter.com/pretentiouswhat/status/16192278747494850... >I just placed a grocery order from an Aldi 2km away on Meituan and it arrived in ELEVEN MINUTES. The drive itself takes like 8
455.
by dirtyid 4y ago
This is great
456.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Want an archival program that would take 25% size screen shots every X or seconds (or fraction of) and record low bitrate sound when computer active. Index to searchable text and have system up sample data later. Maybe black and white with
457.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Befuddling why platforms don't just adopt the narrative of "as much free speech as local laws allow". Which is ostensibly how it works already, but I suppose they don't want it in writing since it might encourage actual
458.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Current workhorse platform that can be acquired without much issue are KC46As (767s), I think US gov can scrape together estimated 50-150 additional airframes (currently ~480) that analysts think will be needed to augment PRC contingency. W
459.
by dirtyid 4y ago
> Minihan, who as head of Air Mobility Command Domestic acquisition politics, current USAF tanking fleet a fraction of what's needed to persecute stand off war outside of first island chain for air force. AF wants grab piece of pie
460.
by dirtyid 4y ago
This is very comfy.
461.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Reading substacks that use AI generated images to supplement the writing has made me realize just how little I care about having real photos in most settings. Apart from money shots capturing real events, I'm find with 99.99% of filler
462.
by dirtyid 4y ago
> consumers are going to use it reversely to get a summary. Isn't that pretty much why short videos is getting popular. Who has time for 15minute recipe videos scripted for youtube ads when you can find 1m cliff note version on tikt
463.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Except CCP/PRC resolved 12/14 land border disputes inherited from ROC, most of which involved ceding more territory during settlement. That's the opposite of expansion, and TBF hard to find another country that has voluntaril
464.
by dirtyid 4y ago
>if the people who get these Security Commission briefings believe the bullshit about "hostile external forces" They do and should. West working hard to deny that foreign coordination occurs - the magnitude of impact is subject
465.
by dirtyid 4y ago
10 years optimistic but PRC in position to create indigenous semi supply chain. After elevating semi to first-level dicipline in 2018, PRC is spitting out 30k IC graduates per year. They're still about 200k short, ~520k/720k out
466.
by dirtyid 4y ago
India following PRC footsteps in cracking down foreign influence from NGO funding to state media, which BBC functionally is. Being ostensibly democratic doesn't mean accepting society to ideological influence from other democracies esp
467.
by dirtyid 4y ago
More parsimonious explanation is that the PRC bureaucracy isn't going to waste resources cracking down on precursor producers for legal medicine ingredients when it doesn't cause domestic issues, or issues in the majority of count
468.
by dirtyid 4y ago
US subs can't operate permissively in strait and increasingly within 1IC where PRC has built comprehensive seabed monitoring infra. Or that current TLAMs from SSGNs aren't performant againt even shit tier Iraqi/Russian hardwa
469.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Pretty much this, I don't care if taste is 50-80% facsimile, but I expect cost to be so as well, and nutrition profile to be superior.
470.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Regions interests best served by status quo first and foremost. Then a peaceful political resolution. Then a limited TW scenario that doesn't spread to the rest of the region. Lastly, broad regional war. Which could end in PRC defeat,
471.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Insurance underwrites active war zones all the time with war risk cover / premium. Otherwise PRC has the 2nd largest (and growing) merchant fleet and can insure on their own in event of sanctions, which is unlikely because many trade d
472.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Now flip the question. Will the US strike PRC mainland targets in a TW scenario, or will be deterred from doing so because PRC can hit CONUS? That's the point of deterrence, it figures as much in making plans as preventing plans of adv
473.
by dirtyid 4y ago
>converting massive amounts of coal to fertilizer This isn’t anything new, IIRC PRC was converting ~50 million tons of fertilizer using coal gasification, which it has curtailed significantly under Xi to focus on emission goals by relyin
474.
by dirtyid 4y ago
>under any circumstances If the US is intervening in the TW scenario from JP, then it's already all out war and there's every reason to hit JP targets. Historically CCP/PRC has fought with the US, USSR and threatened the U
475.
by dirtyid 4y ago
And the US is incredibly vulnerable to having its 130 refineries destroyed by PRC conventional global strike - ultimately no better able to defend her energy and calorie inputs as PRC. The Malacca dilemma / PRC blockade was viable in a
476.
by dirtyid 4y ago
I think if more population is good then immigration driven developed nations would have open border policies. But they don't, instead reserving space to brain drain high end talent while limiting low end labour (i.e. farm hands) to tra
477.
by dirtyid 4y ago
By hard mode I mean, a nascent government, stitching together a huge broken country recovering from 100+ years of instability and a couple world wars, in a post world order with active containment by the US as hyper power with 40% of global
478.
by dirtyid 4y ago
I remember reading a decade old analysis for this scenario and JP shipping costs went up like ~10%, or some fairly marginal number. For years (like 2005-2015), entire JP shipping was threatened because PRC successfully took over TW narrativ
479.
by dirtyid 4y ago
This piece was also written during Tanner Greer's "Taiwan can win a war with china" period, he's gotten considerably less stupid / ignorant now. Even during 2020, PRC didn't need Taiwan to completely destroy Ja
480.
by dirtyid 4y ago
So with readjustment PRC is 2-3% from high income, another year or two. Gap is closing faster than income group adjustment even with zero covid GDP. Fun fact: communist Chinese is the most SUCCESSFUL chinese by virtue of developing every ma

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