csee

12 ms·

61.
by csee 5y ago
Sure but that would lead to a low confidence estimate given the war has just started, it's not clear whether the ports will be captured, it's not clear whether the sowing season will be disrupted, and it's not clear whether R
62.
by csee 5y ago
I quickly googled what the annual wheat exports from Ukraine and Russia are and got a much bigger number than the tweet suggests.
63.
by csee 5y ago
Is this going to work on a Tweet with 1 million likes?
64.
by csee 5y ago
People have very finite bandwidth. You already suppress voices by consciously deciding not to follow them. This tool just improves curation effectiveness.
65.
by csee 5y ago
Strict curation is the key to Twitter usage. Otherwise it's just an avalanche of crap.
66.
by csee 5y ago
The % of value that you create which you keep as COMP decreases as your value creation increases.
67.
by csee 5y ago
This is more discriminatory though. How can a poor kid express their "passion" to University admissions offices? SATs are the best leveller we have not to mention their strong correlation with actual outcomes. Also, passion can be
68.
by csee 5y ago
Should they be forced by law to allow non-violent ISIS propaganda on their platform? If not, on what principle have you made that distinction?
69.
by csee 5y ago
Missing the point. It does "always happen" but it doesn't always happen to the same degree or to the same proportion of the population. The Overton Window can be enforced to varying degrees and contain different percentages o
70.
by csee 5y ago
Yes they did. They say it twice. I have italicised both places where they say it. "Let's say there is a terrible disease that 0.01% (1 in 10,000) of the population is infected with, and we develop a test that is 99% accurate. You
71.
by csee 5y ago
I believe this is wrong. Positive predictive value is the likelihood that, if you have gotten a positive test result, you actually have the disease. It’s calculated as TP/TP+FP. TP, ie true positives, is a function of false negatives.
72.
by csee 5y ago
Their definition of accuracy is 1-false_positive_rate. They were quite explicit about that.
73.
by csee 5y ago
This type of thing looks like the future of Meta or even Zoom to me.
74.
by csee 5y ago
Well, if we assume there is a 0% chance of false negatives (which seems implicit in the post, even though the definition of "test accuracy" doesn't make that assumption), then we don't need to consider it. If we are not
75.
by csee 5y ago
Is this just wild speculation? I know those two people got arrested but everything else is new to me.
76.
by csee 5y ago
No, it started well before that, when Russia invaded Ukraine in 2014 and when Russia poisoned a democratically elected leader of Ukraine, and when Russian state controlled media and Putin's own essays constantly talks about empire buil
77.
by csee 5y ago
Germany and Poland aren't under existential threat from Russia. If your neighbor wants to invade you and has 3x the population, you can't pick and choose who you're going to let defend your country. Therefore the blame for to
78.
by csee 5y ago
> 2014 "revolution" was a coup You've provided no evidence for this. Either provide some evidence, or stop calling it a coup. Your [1] is about the US providing support to Ukraine against a Russian invasion after the re
79.
by csee 5y ago
> they feel like they have to fight to preserve Russia. I get that's part of what the propaganda is saying, and therefore some part of the population will believe it strongly. I am just saying it is not believable.
80.
by csee 5y ago
> an attack could overtake Moscow No it can't. Ukraine doesn't and can't have nukes. Russia has thousands of nukes. This doesn't even begin to make sense. Nobody can invade a nuclear power, let alone one with as many
81.
by csee 5y ago
Well there were a lot of people here questioning whether these long-range nuclear capable ballistic missiles would even work. If the two launches are confirmed, we can put that question to rest. But the US is saying it's unconfirmed ri
82.
by csee 5y ago
> 2014 coup The 2014 revolution (not coup in the classic sense) followed by the recent non-rigged (unlike in Russia) democratic election in which the current leader was elected in a landslide of popular support. > commit a slow geno
83.
by csee 5y ago
> we all know that Ukrainian gov was as "democratic" as Xi or Putin and is a puppet regime planted by the west What? Putin assassinates and jails many of his critics and journalists, holds fraudulent elections, maintains stric
84.
by csee 5y ago
I don't believe I misunderstood. You said the USSR abandoned the goal of overthrowing capitalism around the world in 1924. They (Stalin, in the 1930s, at least) didn't do that exactly. They just temporarily abandoned it as a direc
85.
by csee 5y ago
No. Stalin signed an agreement with Hitler because he wanted different capitalist countries to go to war in order to create the conditions for revolution. That was his doctrine.
86.
by csee 5y ago
2) This has nothing to do with capitalism. The reason Britain didn't form a coalition with the USSR was because they were petrified of getting Stalin's troops out of central Europe after a war. And for good reason given who Stalin
87.
by csee 5y ago
Stalin's doctrine wasn't only to establish communism in Russia. He just realized it was impractical to export communism immediately. His intentional long-term play was to stoke war across the world between capitalist countries so
88.
by csee 5y ago
Negative externalities between neighbors is a thing. See noise pollution.
89.
by csee 5y ago
Is there a way to fast track being able to try out Copilot? I put my email down a few days after it was announced and haven't heard anything.
90.
by csee 5y ago
Practically, what should one do to avoid lead poisoning here and now? Lead petrol is banned. Lead paint is banned. Lead pipes are a problem in some areas, but let's assume we don't live in these areas. What do we need to look out

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