woeirua

11 ms·

211.
by woeirua 1y ago
Definitely seems like GPT5 is a very incremental improvement. Not what you’d expect if AGI were imminent.
212.
by woeirua 1y ago
Interesting topic, but I'm not opening a PDF from some random website. Post a summary of the paper or the key findings here first.
213.
by woeirua 1y ago
Tell me you don't understand why the dot com crash happened without telling me you don't understand why the dot com crash happened.
214.
by woeirua 1y ago
It's 1999 again.
215.
by woeirua 1y ago
Unfortunately the recurrence rate after 1 year here is still quite high. Good progress, but not a cure yet.
216.
by woeirua 1y ago
Its not viable yet, and at current token spend rates, it's likely not going to be viable for several years.
217.
by woeirua 1y ago
If you believe the paper, the authors were able to create symptoms and plaques similar to AD just by reducing lithium levels in the diet of these mice.
218.
by woeirua 1y ago
Yeah, I thought they were trying to raise $40B. $9B doesn't even cover the bills for this upcoming year.
219.
by woeirua 1y ago
There is no moat. If you’re a true believer that strong agents are around the corner, then all of these add on companies will be obsolete in a few years. The first company to strong agents can trivially rebuild Cursor or Windsurf.
220.
by woeirua 2y ago
Most people like this neglect to mention the army of people working beneath them that did most of the work for these achievements. Does anyone really believe he wrote and published 9 high quality books in 5 years?
221.
by woeirua 2y ago
CDK lets you write Python instead of configuration files. It’s a good idea, but hobbled by CF being a steaming pile of garbage underneath it. TF was building a CDK competitor a while back but progress was slow on it.
222.
by woeirua 2y ago
Except, as we've already seen with GPT4, it just cannot reliably act as an agent right now. The StS would be a nice improvement over Siri, but it won't be able to do most basic tasks reliably anytime soon.
223.
by woeirua 3y ago
Guess what the cost of an underground storage cavity is for natural gas? Very cheap, because they're everywhere.
224.
by woeirua 3y ago
Of course. The value of their investment goes to zero if all the employees walk away.
225.
by woeirua 3y ago
Every time something like this is released someone comments how it’s going to blow up legacy studios. The only way you can possibly think that is that: 1-the studios themselves will somehow be prevented from using this tech themselves, and
226.
by woeirua 3y ago
If true, then the board has gone rogue. The only question is why? What could have possibly caused them to do this.
227.
by woeirua 3y ago
No matter the outcome, one thing that is for certain is that this governance scheme is dead in VC circles.
228.
by woeirua 3y ago
Beyond parody. To fire the CEO of _any_ company over this is insane. It really looks like the board went rogue and decided to shut the company down. Are we sure this isn’t some kind of decapitation strike by GPT5? That seems more credible b
229.
by woeirua 3y ago
They can easily just make them a subsidiary that operates under its own rules for now.
230.
by woeirua 3y ago
There is no scenario here where Sam returns and OpenAI survives as a nonprofit. The board will be sacked.
231.
by woeirua 3y ago
Some reporting indicates that there was no malfeasance on Sam’s part. There would be no reason to terminate Sam under these circumstances except as a pure power play.
232.
by woeirua 3y ago
If the reports are true, and Ilya led the coup, then either him or Sam can be at OpenAI going forward but not both. The rest of the board members who sided with him are gone either way. Regardless of who ends up at the helm, OpenAI is going
233.
by woeirua 3y ago
I was hoping that might be the case, but it’s sounding more and more like this was just pure politics.
234.
by woeirua 3y ago
I don’t see a world where MSFT invests more money into OpenAI with the current governance structure after this. The fact that MSFT didn’t have a board seat was unusual before this. Now it just makes MSFT look like fools.
235.
by woeirua 3y ago
Yeah… I don’t know. A lot of engineers miss the forest for the trees when it comes to business demands. Very possible that a return to a “safety oriented” culture means that OpenAI fades slowly into obscurity.
236.
by woeirua 3y ago
This is why I think there are more shoes to drop still. That language is exceptionally specific and harsh.
237.
by woeirua 3y ago
It just doesn’t matter what his reputation is if the money dries up. To play in the big leagues you need deep pockets, regardless of how talented your staff is.
238.
by woeirua 3y ago
It’s not a big enough issue for a normal board to fire the CEO over. Now maybe Ilya made a power play as a result, but that would be insane.
239.
by woeirua 3y ago
If this was a palace coup based on a disagreement on direction, then OpenAI is done. Microsoft won’t be able to trust the board going forward, and so the money will dry up. Most of the talent will follow Sam/Greg. OpenAI will wither on
240.
by woeirua 3y ago
It’s still just extremely hard to see sacking your CEO over this.

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