gojomo

87 ms·

871.
by gojomo 6y ago
COVID may stay around as an endemic, circulating virus - but at the same time, it will recede in impact. Eventually, nearly everyone will have some level of immunity via either natural-infection-and-recovery, or explicit vaccination. (The l
872.
by gojomo 6y ago
Though Apple's marketing chops are always strong, I suspect what really won this Apple skeptic over wasn't Apple's own copy but the chorus of external expert confirmations that the M1 was a giant price/performance&#x2F
873.
by gojomo 6y ago
We're agreed on what's probable , but I'd love to find reliably-reported evidentiary confirmation, especially about magnitude of pre-February-2020 or even 2019 US circulation!
874.
by gojomo 6y ago
Neither the blog post nor project README directly mentions whether the 0.0 to 1.0 score goes from most-critical to least, or least-critical to more. It appears 1.0 is most-critical, if you dig into ranking lists.
875.
by gojomo 6y ago
None of your links identifies a "consensus on the true origin" you claimed. Instead you highlight multiple recent open questions that indicate there is no consensus. The claim it escaped from a lab is not a contradiction with a ba
876.
by gojomo 6y ago
Sister reply only seems to address the Yan report & malicious/military engineering - nothing about more generic lab escape. In particular, your NatGeo link's description of constant natural discoveries, and continuing searches
877.
by gojomo 6y ago
Your [0] link mainly refutes one specific theory, of Li-Meng Yan, about intentional military engineering. It does not refute the wider range of possibilities where a lab escape was part of the path from nature to human circulation. (When th
878.
by gojomo 6y ago
Which? Links?
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by gojomo 6y ago
That'd also count as a 'bioerror'. But, what makes you think those Wuhan labs weren't doing gain-of-function research? Or even: inadvertent gain-of-function selection, via other research methods? See the proud tweet ab
880.
by gojomo 6y ago
There is plenty of suggestive evidence the pandemic arose from a lab escape. Novel natural bat SARS-like coronaviruses have been found in caves hundred of miles from Wuhan... but are brought to Wuhan for study. Here – https://twi
881.
by gojomo 6y ago
Where?
882.
by gojomo 6y ago
That story only reports a death-with-COVID that was a few weeks (February 6) before the first-at-the-time discovered community case (February ~26: https://www.ucdavis.edu/coronavirus/news/patient-and-precaut... )
883.
by gojomo 6y ago
If COVID turns out to be an accidental lab release of a virus that went through gain-of-function experiments, Rees wins. Otherwise, Pinker wins. However, a consensus on the true origin of COVID may not be reached for years (or decades).
884.
by gojomo 6y ago
How much non-default "churning" should a Monero user manually choose for maximum privacy?
885.
by gojomo 6y ago
> Neither reduced duration of infectiousness nor reduced quantity of shedding by definition protects the vulnerable. Everything which reduces community prevalence (& case replication rates) protects the vulnerable, at least indirectl
886.
by gojomo 6y ago
Yes and no. These vaccines have been formally tested for their ability to protect the recipient, & there is some unquantifiable risk that they'll still get harmless-to-themselves mild infections – especially nasal/mucosal&#x2F
887.
by gojomo 6y ago
So, there can be a wealth test - but no competence test! – for investments that might be positive expectation? But then absolutely no limits to who and how much someone can spend on rigged games of chance with guaranteed negative-expectatio
888.
by gojomo 6y ago
State lotteries are rigged: marketed to the gullible & have far worse payouts than casinos. (Have you seen stare-sponsored Keno games like "California Hot Spot", with draws every 4 minutes, offered in only the very finest neig
889.
by gojomo 6y ago
Indeed - and neither the accredited investor law nor the SEC's other enforcement have helped. So maybe letting non-wealthy people invest into the exact same well-documented, scrupulously-legal above-board deals in which wealthier peo
890.
by gojomo 6y ago
Regular people who want to lose their life savings can still do so via overleveraged real estate, investing informally in small businesses, margin daytrading, sports betting, purchasing vanity higher education credentials, and nowadays, cry
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by gojomo 6y ago
Equal access to private investments should face no wealth tests larger than those required for playing the state lottery, taking out a 30-year mortgage, or trading securities/currencies on margin.
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by gojomo 6y ago
Note that France – one of governments with commercial interests in the Airbus/Eurofighter consortium – doesn't have clean hands when it comes to spying on behalf of its domestic firms: https://www.independent.co.uk&#x2F
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by gojomo 6y ago
This pressure-in-public approach may still be cheaper than jumping to that immediately, or offer other benefits – like raising expectations for Disney to fairly treat other authors.
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by gojomo 6y ago
Lots of public health disasters only become clear in retrospect, sometimes decades or even centuries later: lead-in-gasoline, air-pollution's effects on all-cause mortality & mental acuity, nuclear testing fallout, the collapse of
895.
by gojomo 6y ago
But the projection is already for excess deaths over half of the years. (And especially: last year.) That's not fairly-described as " no excess deaths". And, for the other reasons I listed: * the projection is highly likely
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by gojomo 6y ago
5 month old data is pretty stale, for regional comparisons, in this evolving situation.
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by gojomo 6y ago
...but also where the residents often smoked for decades when they were younger.
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by gojomo 6y ago
Somewhat deceptive submission title ("No Excess Deaths in Sweden Compared to the Last the Years") and presentation, which might lead the inattentive to think 2020 is on a pace for fewer total deaths in Sweden than all or most prev
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by gojomo 6y ago
We've backed into a particular default, more via path-dependencies than conscious choice, that: * emails between major email providers have this lingering semi-authenticity indicator that authors didn't explicitly choose * to the
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by gojomo 6y ago
Hmm, I'm not seeing that warning, & see the same problem behavior even with 'shields down' for the site.

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