TimPC

58 ms·

961.
by TimPC 9y ago
At most he's saying some of his coworkers would not have been hired and the non-hire decisions would be incorrect. I think the harm comes in as follows: suppose you have a way to drastically reduce false negatives without increasing fa
962.
by TimPC 9y ago
There is a big difference between saying a negative comment consequence of X is Y and therefore consider Z. And saying X was wrong therefore revoke X. X had a negative consequence does not even mean that he thinks X was net negative never
963.
by TimPC 9y ago
I don’t think it’s negative to private schools to say the statistics reflect selection bias rather than apples-to-apples comparisons. I generally take people saying ‘I wish I could force people to read X’ as ‘I’m frustrated I always have t
964.
by TimPC 9y ago
To put the quote in context it was in an essay that addressed people leaving countries through seasteading. So I think it's pretty much in evidence his view is not to deny people the right to vote, but to allow departure from societies
965.
by TimPC 9y ago
It's not terrible for an absolute beginner but it's fairly harmful overall. People tend to use this analogy a lot to conflate specific AI with general AI and argue for regulatory capture based on things completely outside of evid
966.
by TimPC 9y ago
The majority of the stuff you need from calculus for deep learning doesn't rise to the level of real analysis. Real analysis is worth doing if their are benefits to Fourier transforms on your data sets in the domain you're workin
967.
by TimPC 9y ago
This runs against the challenge that (almost?) all statistical methods train by fitting a model to some sort of data. If you have zero examples of a black swan in the data you can agree in principle they might exist but you'd expect a
968.
by TimPC 9y ago
Balance for humans and robots is different. Different play skills are easy or hard and those skills matter different amounts on different heroes . Effectively instead of balancing for fair heroes, you'd be balancing for maximizing the
969.
by TimPC 9y ago
If the biggest problem with the program is a prisoner's dilemma issue like this it seems we need to figure out how to get everyone to cooperate instead of defect. We've done it for other issues.
970.
by TimPC 9y ago
I think what you're missing here as that unions often limit the ability to respond to market conditions in much the same way government does. Responding to specific minutiae is not terribly hard if they personally harm you. Accounting
971.
by TimPC 9y ago
I think the quinessential example of this is reminding people about their bias against minorities. Several studies have shown this drastically reduces false negatives and raises false positives to a level that is no higher than the false po
972.
by TimPC 9y ago
Closing the thread to new accounts seems kind of sad, controversial topics like this lend themselves to throwaway accounts from active members of the community. Maybe the solution is some feature for anonymization from active accounts only
973.
by TimPC 9y ago
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/donna-ballman/can-you-be-fired... I think this comes down to is affirmative action policy a workplace condition. Discussion about workplace conditions is separate from discrimination law e
974.
by TimPC 9y ago
I think the majority of what people find problematic is Gizmodo removing all the references, removing the chart that explained the core concept in the idea and aggressively misrepresenting the author's positions. I think the author co
975.
by TimPC 9y ago
He doesn't assert the differences are due to inferiority. The vast majority of differences he mentions are differences of taste not differences of ability. There are many studies that show that women are more prevalent in engineering
976.
by TimPC 9y ago
The document itself makes the claim that conservatives and classical liberals are discriminated against and actively silenced at Google. While I don't necessarily agree with this claim as per the the article he's set himself up in
977.
by TimPC 9y ago
There are several studies on this domain that show things like reminding people of their biases remove about 90% of the effect of a bias. I don't think the studies showed that they create a bias in the opposite direction. Removing bia
978.
by TimPC 9y ago
This actually depends on how rare the disease is. With a relatively high false positive rate and the disease being quite rare (given symptoms that arguably match), the false positives dominate the true positives anyways. It does get worse
979.
by TimPC 9y ago
Many people feel open salaries and professional organizations inadequately handle specializations. In University sectors there have been effects like: CS lecturers not allowed to be paid more because positions are harder to fill vs say Fin
980.
by TimPC 9y ago
Some of the data is clearly wrong and should probably be excluded from averages. Do you have any checks in place on the calculations. For example exclude data where total comp < salary ?
981.
by TimPC 9y ago
Strongly disagree. This feels like the academic style analysis that assumes computing costs are free. $10 trading costs suck. But so does the time energy and effort spent on researching stocks. Owning tiny micro shares isn’t worth the re
982.
by TimPC 9y ago
Attempted tl;dr version: Insurance is a horrendous industry and someone should reform it because it sucks and could do so much better. Insurance exists in a horrendous sales market where connections are required to multiple providers across
983.
by TimPC 9y ago
The other challenge here is that it's hard to vote with your feet in insurance because you might have employer provided insurance that gives a specific company a monopoly, have fewer options for other reasons, or face turning a conditi
984.
by TimPC 9y ago
They also pick different comparison groups for the projected income -- likely to give the appearance of linearity where there is some evidence the predictions aren't actually linear over the quintiles.
985.
by TimPC 9y ago
The charts in the article are pretty interesting. In some provinces the income mobility of the bottom fifth is better than some of the middle three groups (data which is hidden in the article but can be inferred). The article mentions imm
986.
by TimPC 9y ago
"The wrong kind of entrepreneur flourishes in America" would probably be the better title. The article describes a single kind of behaviour. "The wrong kinds of entrepreneur flourish in America" would better describe an
987.
by TimPC 9y ago
Lawsuits aren't always rent seeking sometimes they are necessary economic activities. Economic models can be poor when they (implicitly) define redress for illegal actions as rent-seeking behaviour, and cutting a competitors cables as
988.
by TimPC 9y ago
I think what's misleading here is some people want to repeal the ACA for single-payer and some want to repeal it for a less regulated healthcare market. So having a high repeal value doesn't really tell you what people want inste
989.
by TimPC 9y ago
It just goes to show that just because you think you know how to evaluate stock doesn't mean you do. I have a pretty good understanding of dilution, tax implications, liquidation preferences and so on. But that 5% of equity issued to
990.
by TimPC 9y ago
I suspect that the at 25 income prediction will be less and less accurate as a predictor given high value PhD's. In the past the rarity of those programs might have covered up the problem with using those estimates for that group, but

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