LogicFailsMe

9 ms·

91.
by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
OpenAI apparently runs a profitable inference business with 40% gross margin, but their advertising budget is nutso and their real costs are pretraining and research. I suspect Deepseek's comp is not predicated on capturing the lightco
92.
by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
From the paper you cite, here's the thing: "The decarbonization of industrial hard-to-abate sectors through CCUS is critical, and that can be illustrated by looking at the target sources, such as the cement industry, accountable f
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
A modest proposal, based on this article: https://www.fastcompany.com/3026312/what-silicon-valley-woul... Silicon Valley tech should build mixed use high rise housing and datacenters right on their corporate campuses.
94.
by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
Politics is the art of the possible, not the ideal. Vote that down too I guess. Also, I call BS on your claim it's not working anywhere at scale. https://www.catf.us/resource/carbon-capture-storage-what-can... Wha
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
So... AI and cannabis bad... Tobacco and alcohol good... It's the American Way??? Personally, I think he nailed it with the first paragraph and went downhill from there. If humanity needs an intellectual codpiece to stay relevant, huma
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
Alternatives exist but they aren't free... https://www.aga.org/decarbonizing-through-carbon-capture/ https://www.energyindepth.org/study-finds-carbon-capture-and... https://www.scienced
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
And yet the most unproductive work at FAANNG arises from huge bureaucratic turfy fiefdoms whose leadership games the productivity metrics to look busy. Broadly, workfare for ass kissers. And heaven forbid you work on anything that remotely
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
Given local grassroots opposition, the data centers are starting to move into less regulated countries where I would gather building them raises the local standard of living, but presents the new challenge of finding people qualified to run
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
Sooooo... Circular financing???
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
Sandbox 2.0 But also, solar power is already economical.
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
Gemini defaults to performing search from within its own weights until you curse it and damn it sufficiently to do basic RAG. Utter trash on this limitation/behavior alone but there are so many other hallucinatory shenanigans it embrac
102.
by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
Great video, thank you. But why do you think everyone in AI is hyping it beyond its capabilities? That's a specific San Francisco-driven AGI cult and a handful of annoying billionaires. I'm doing what Patrick Boyle said is the big
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
Great article as well, but I'd even be happy with an initial 5% rate out of the gate given ~90% of startups fail. AI build out is a risk. Is anyone serious saying it isn't? It might blow up, certainly some egregiously overpriced e
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
"a pristine track record isn't required to raise money." Didn't hold back Sam Altman. And he's not the only one...
105.
by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
Look, if you like his vibes, that's totally cool but it's also a bit GPT-4o. He's predicting a vague crash that will happen someday and he's been predicting it for a while now (2024). It didn't happen yet. His value
106.
by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
So the thing is just like America isn't entirely Donald Trump, AI is not entirely Sam Altman, Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, Mark Zuckerberg, Dario Amodei, and Leopold Aschenbrenner, but you wouldn't know it reading the social media fee
107.
by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
So some value, but how much value? You clearly don't like the idea there are some businesses in the AI mix that will continue making money and/or diversify their divisions to cover for any losses they suffer during this hypothetic
108.
by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
So in a couple years now, AI will be as gone as cabbage patch kids and pet rocks? IMO that's anti-AI Psychosis, the evil twin of believing GPT-4o was sentient. And a really bad case of it is labeling anyone who disagrees with you in an
109.
by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
This guy has zero zip nada null AI background. He is a videogame reviewer and PR guy. He is a pure influencer feeding on the AI backlash he helped to create. He has been predicting a crash for how many years now? And while I can totally see
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
The karmic Schadenfreude of those outcomes would be delicious. And while Sam Altman has long been out as a lucky fool, until recently, I thought more of Dario Amodei. Not anymore.
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
Yes, PEs of 400 turned out to be unsustainable. Quelle Surprise?
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
This guy makes a decent argument that the funny money party doesn't really get started until Q3 2027. To which I would respond probably, but also probably not if another coding agent sized market opens up between now and then. But pred
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
TSLA's 400 PE ratio (along with Elon Musk's trillionaire status) was never sustainable. Where I disagree is with companies running market average PE ratios supposedly being doomed as well. But also, don't count out OpenAI and
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
GenAI tools getting folded into workflows is IMO the endgame here. Using an LLM to review a story in progress and search for plot holes, contradictions and everything else he described seems like it would be really useful to me in the same
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
You are not given the rules or the winning conditions. You are only given a potentially windowed and/or degenerate visualizer of the underlying game state along with the UI and told to just figure it out. And you as a human will, in a
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
Run policy search long enough with enough exploration and you can solve any of these games. But solving 110 games in 9 hours with a single RTX Pro 6000 doesn't seem likely. And if you did, you could keep the solution secret in exchange
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
I don't think it ever gets old to restate that the singularity and all of the gradiose promises of a glorious 21st century have last mile problems. But this post seems to mostly channel Harlan Ellison. And while he was amazing in his p
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
That was ~90 years ago. We're a few branches higher on the tech tree now. Their return has been promised for over 40 years. Only the future itself will answer whether they do.
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
Never thought I'd see the ycombinator peeps deny the existence of the Luddite mindset, but here we are.
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by LogicFailsMe 2mo ago
A modern equivalent of abandoning zeppelins because of the Hindenberg would be abandoning skyscrapers because of 9/11. But it's humorous that Sergey Brin has a company dedicated to bringing back zeppelins and that's a lot mor

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