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The way I see it, a government led by an adult toddler and his sycophants has decided to punish a firm that refused to cooperate with it's military when it was
by vovavili 4mo ago
The way I see it, a government led by an adult toddler and his sycophants has decided to punish a firm that refused to cooperate with it's military when it was embarrassed by a militarily weak adversary. The model strength spin strikes me as motivated reasoning.
The rubicon being crossed here is Republicans/the red tribe losing their comparative advantage of being opposed to overregulating a rapidly advancing technology.
- KronisLV 4mo agoWeren’t they claiming their party is opposed to over regulation and critiqued EU for that or something? Funny, that. Anyways, this seems like pretty good PR for Anthropic: “Our models are so powerful even the government forbid us from exporting access to them as a service for a while!” for once this gets sorted out (if it does). It’s one thing when they just write self-congratulatory blog posts and people are skeptical, it’s another (at least, optics wise) when the government targets them, specifically. Ofc the original intent might have been to hurt them by removing their advantage vs OpenAI, go figure. I wonder whether OpenAI's next models would get a similar treatment, or whether the govt. would also decide that Opus 4.X and GPT-5.5 shouldn't be given to foreigners as well. Who knows if some money needs to change hands behind the scenes in the form of a charitable donation. If this affects all LLMs long term though, things will be pretty messed up.
- thefounder 4mo agoI don’t see it as good PR for Anthropic at all. They did a lot of PR in that direction but now it backfired. People/gov now think twice about relying on US ai products. I don’t think the investors are very happy with the place this landed either. I think the right move for Europe and other countries would be to effectively ban US tech and follow the Chinese response to Nvidia (delivered personally to Trump: we want to build our own AI chips).
- KronisLV 4mo ago> People/gov now think twice about relying on US ai products. Oh this has already been clear to anyone in the EU, for example. The current reliance on US tech and even widespread stuff like MS is pretty deeply rooted, however and it might take a while to do anything about it - so for many it’s a matter of convenience for now. That said, as long as what you need sits behind an OpenAI or Anthropic API and you don’t have deeper proprietary integrations, there is no moat. I can even run Claude Code with DeepSeek if I so choose (though OpenCode is neat too). Best EU has at the moment seems to be Mistral though, which is… sorta passable, but not cutting edge. Oh well. > I think the right move for Europe and other countries would be to effectively ban US tech and follow the Chinese response to Nvidia (delivered personally to Trump: we want to build our own AI chips). Not sure about outright ban, but homegrown govt. systems should have both the devs and the infra in EU. Would also be really cool if we could make even regular CPUs and GPUs some day but I don’t think that’s super likely, though. Kinda amazing that China can do that! Even consumer stuff like the Chinese Lisuan GPUs (and Moore Threads I think), hell, even the Russian Elbrus CPUs.
- thefounder 4mo agoIt has been clear but it was never enforced. Now EU and UK was placed on the same level as China.
- pjmlp 4mo agoWe are back to cold war computing days, the message has long arrived on this side of the Atlantic, even if most companies and governments aren't able to get rid of old habits.
- bjelkeman-again 4mo agoIt is the old crypto export ban again, bu now for LLMs. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Export_of_cryptography_from_the_United_States https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Export_of_cryptography_from_th...
- pjmlp 4mo agoNot only crypto, go look into the export restrictions of commercial languages. For example, before becoming open source you naturally could not buy Visual Studio legally in countries forbidden by US exports. Or even the PlayStation 3, when sold from US locations.
- ifoo 4mo agoSure, it "backfired" but it would've happened anyway. Trump mad Trump get revenge. Trump smash. That's how he operates - and even though Anthropic were being dicks about the marketing, they got Trump mad. That's why this is happening, not due to the marketing - it would've happened anyway. If anything the marketing is WHY it got so popular during these 3 days.
- BjoernKW 4mo ago> I think the right move for Europe and other countries would be to effectively ban US tech and follow the Chinese response to Nvidia (delivered personally to Trump: we want to build our own AI chips). How would the EU replace US tech? There simply are no equivalent providers of such technology in the EU, regardless of pipe dreams in that respect EU representatives regularly conjure up (privacy industry, "European Google", "European Facebook", you name it ..,). Maybe, however, such a move would actually be consistent with dominant EU policy. The EU seems hellbent on becoming poor and economically irrelevant, after all.
- tremon 4mo agoThe primary European failure here has been to allow the hollowing out of the EU tech space. There have been plenty of web tech players in the EU; the US policy over the last 30 years has been to absorb them into US companies or buy them off using US capital, and the EU strategy has been to very much encourage that. But it is complete fantasy to use the current landscape as evidence of capability. It would be equally shortsighted to say "How would the US replace Chinese manufacturing? There simply are no equivalent supply chains in the US, regardless of pipe dreams that pedophile sycophants regularly conjure up. The US seems hellbent on becoming poor and economically irrelevant".
- BjoernKW 4mo agoIt never ceases to amaze me how people scramble to defend the EU's failed policies over the last three decades. The EU managed to regulate itself out of all relevant markets and it only has itself to blame.
- weakfish 4mo agoYou’re missing their point, they’re not defending EU policy and in fact agree that current capability is poor. They’re saying that it can change and that the US is also self sabotaging in other ways.
- mr_toad 4mo agoThe EU lost its manufacturing capacity to countries with cheaper labour, just like the US. The US has only succeeded in IT, everywhere else it struggles against Asia. The ‘American dream’ attracted a lot of talent (look at how many tech leaders were immigrants), and once the network effects (both IT and social) kicked in it was hard to stop. This is a story that has unfolded many times throughout history. Talent moves to where talent is. And it will move if conditions change.
- foo12bar 4mo agoDon't they lose money on every token they sell, though? It may be a blessing in disguise. They can now use all of their resources towards superintelligence, and can't be considered selfish/evil for not sharing their fruits. The government made me now becomes an excuse.
- juliendorra 4mo agoIt’s very bad PR for all US AI companies, not just Anthropic.
- AtNightWeCode 4mo agoOn the contrary. This is more like a Kaspersky moment for American cloud services. Simply can no longer be trusted for use outside of US.
- carlossouza 4mo agoGood for Anthropic? Can you think of any case in history where the US government suspended product sales due to national security concerns and that was ultimately beneficial for the company being regulated?
- drcongo 4mo agohttps://newsletter.pessimistsarchive.org/p/when-the-mac-was-a-munition https://newsletter.pessimistsarchive.org/p/when-the-mac-was-...
- echelon 4mo agoOne day a few million dollars in tokens will enable you to mint an entire AWS or iPhone. That will not be something you can purchase. Only enormous capital holders will have access and be able to play that game. We're going to be left with scraps. Thin clients, shitty gaming cards (for but a few), which also dovetails nicely with trusted computing and device attestation. We've already lived through this: - open web -> platforms - protocols -> closed products - firefox -> chrome sans ad block - urls are cool -> 92% of URL bars sent to a single company to show ads - the personal computer -> locked down iPhones and increasingly locked down Androids without APKs. - free to use internet -> national ID laws - free to use cell phones -> required KYC It's getting worse and worse every year. Why would you think you'll get to have these models? You're a serf. They'll take your career and your hobby and leave you with nothing. Enjoy renting and being monitored. Not a religious person, but I'm shocked at all of the people watching Noah's proverbial ark being built right in front of us, the rain starting to pour, and everyone just laughing. The flood is coming. 90+% of you, maybe more, are going to lose your jobs. Your careers are about to die all at once and you're standing around laughing it off. Absolutely wild to see.
- Eisenstein 4mo agoAlmost always, the future ends up being bad, but not in the ways we think it will.
- ai_brain_rot 4mo agoI bet 99.99% of people who have ever lived would say the future got better than when they were alive if they could. This seems a silly statement
- largetarrd 4mo ago[dead]
- Eisenstein 4mo agoYou are mistaking aggregate for specifics. It may be better on whole, but there are always aspects that are worse.
- cynicalsecurity 4mo agoThe opposite party would have outright banned AI. Just listen to the left commentators, they all want to ban technology and, similarly to how they did it in the UK, destroy the whole IT sector altogether.
- Matl 4mo agoI am not sure I would characterize the current UK government as 'left' myself.
- OJFord 4mo agoBased on drawing the 'middle' where, or how widely? It's not as far left as Corbyn's Labour of course, but it's still a Labour government!
- Matl 4mo agoSo it's based purely on party labels? Political parties are not static and is clear that Labour has been moving further and further away from a left platform. I mean they tried to cut benefits for disabled people, supported Israeli war crimes in Gaza and prosecuted pro-Palestinian activism, sneakily increased taxes on the working class, clamped down on immigration to try and undercut the rise of Reform, I am honestly not sure of a single left policy they enacted, granted I haven't been paying super close attention to that shitshow. Blarite/neoliberal fits them much more I'd say.
- teh64 4mo agoAlso their anti-trans stance. And any party that is pro-monarchy could not reasonably be described as left wing.
- zsizsi 4mo ago> Also their anti-trans stance. Pro-women stance actually, though mostly because it would be electoral suicide to abolish single-sex spaces in law. Third spaces are the most sensible compromise going forward, and are what trans activists should have been asking for in the first place if they'd had any foresight.
- bubblethink 4mo ago>The rubicon being crossed here is Republicans Republicans/the red tribe losing their comparative advantage of being opposed to overregulating a rapidly advancing technology. What purpose do Vance, Elon, Sacks, Sriram Krishnan and others serve? Are Lutnick and Hegseth calling the shots? It looks like the Valley also got duped.
- abraxas 4mo agoSome oligarchs are making out like bandits. This is russia level kleptocracy.
- toss1 4mo ago>>It looks like the Valley also got duped. The valley duped themselves the same way the German industrialists duped themselves by thinking they could control Hitler. Turned out they couldn't and a good number did not survive to 1945. Those "geniuses" with their "philosophers" (Yarvin, seriously?) think they know everything, but don't even bother to read the most basic relevant history. Theil is already deciding to bundle himself and his family off to Argentina. Even if things don't end as badly as they did for the Germans, the global economy in general, and America's place in the global economy in particular are already seriously damaged after only one third of this presidential term; even as they are managing to concentrate more wealth, having a bigger slice of a smaller pie is worth less. This really needs to be cleaned up.
- idleprocess 4mo agoLarry Ellison, Softbank, and OpenAI invested a lot of money into project Stargate. Would be a shame if Anthropic took a piece of the pie.
- alpineman 4mo agoI mean it's obvious, isn't it? https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/05/trump-open-ai-altman-stake.html https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/05/trump-open-ai-altman-stake.h...
- felixgallo 4mo agothe way things are going, I wouldn't be surprised if Anthropic was ordered to sell to Larry Ellison.
- _heimdall 4mo agoNeither party in the US is opposed to overregulation, from my perspective that died a good twenty years ago. Both parties want regulation and a larger federal government. They disagree only on what regulations they want, and even then its largely in optics as they tend to agree on much of the big picture. Both parties agree that the federal government should have the authority to tell people what they can and can't do to their own body, for example. Its just that one party wants to use it to mandate vaccines and the other prefers to tell women they can't have an abortion.
- wavefunction 4mo agoThe first party didn't actually force anyone to get vaccinated though. And that second party also says they can tell you what to put in your body and mandates death panels now in health care. Means-testing for cancer patients. Murder and rapine as government policies. The second party is actually doing that. But yeah, both parties...
- _heimdall 4mo agoThe Biden administration absolutely wanted to mandate covid vaccines, they just didn't believe they would get it past the courts. Instead they leveraged their ability to drive a massive smear campaign against anyone in the public who chose not to get vaccinated. And to be clear, vaccines are mandated for anyone who wishes to use the school system they already pay for via property taxes.
- iAMkenough 4mo agoSeatbelts are also mandated in the vehicles they paid for with their own money.
- _heimdall 4mo agoSure, are you assuming I'm not similarly opposed to that authority? If I crash without a seatbelt on and die, my going through the windshield harms only myself. The government shouldn't have any mandating what we can and can't do if the only victim in said crime would be the same person doing that thing.
- chinathrow 4mo ago> led by an adult toddler and his sycophants which are deeply entrenched with the competition (Grok, OpenAI)
- iandanforth 4mo agoShutting down the growth prospects of a company based, not on its behavior, but on the capability of its models right before the IPOs of the companies you're going to profit from is staggeringly dumb. Yes the public is stupid when it comes to investing in stocks, but come on. If these companies growth prospects rest in large part on continuing to improve their products and the government said that if they do they face National Security Cease and Desist letters, then investing is a bad idea. The selfish / corrupt thing to do is to do this after you've fleeced the public.
- HAL3000 4mo agoDon't forget that the Biden administration created export controls for GPUs by establishing tiers and limits for countries[1]. When Democrats come back to power, nothing will change in the context of export controls for models like Fable. This is what things will look like going forward. OP is right: this is a geopolitical and strategic shift that will be used by both Democratic and Republican administrations. EDIT: Genuinely curious why is this being downvoted? Is this related to US politics or a left vs right thing on HN? I'm not from the US, so I don't have any attachment to either party. 1. https://www.pcmag.com/news/us-further-restricts-nvidia-ai-exports-caps-gpu-purchases https://www.pcmag.com/news/us-further-restricts-nvidia-ai-ex...
- dofm 4mo agoDid the Biden administration do that off their own backs or was that an extension/compromise of the action of a Republican-held Congress that is, for example, unreasonably jumpy about RISC-V? I think there is good reason to consider that frontier models might cross the ITAR threshold, actually. Not least because of the risk that they can simply blurt out knowledge that already does. If ITAR exists, an AI that might know how to contravene it could be a problem, because no existing legal framework or threat of punishment will cause it to keep secrets. But I don't think you can ignore that the two big AI companies were pushing for that judgement because it would benefit them commercially if open weights AI was regulated.
- HAL3000 4mo ago> id the Biden administration do that off their own backs or was that an extension/compromise of the action of a Republican-held Congress Republicans reverted it so I'm not sure I understand your point. https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250513-us-reverses-biden-era-export-controls-on-advanced-ai-chips https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250513-us-reverses-b... > But I don't think you can ignore that the two big AI companies were pushing for that judgement because it would benefit them commercially if open weights AI was regulated. This doesn't matter in this context, NVIDIA didn't push for restrictions for example but they got it anyway. So AI companies would get restrictions either way.
- reactordev 4mo agoThis. Free Market my ass. GOP is a mafia now.
- diydsp 4mo agoHistory will note this action was made the same day scaffolding was set up to remove the president's name from the Kennedy center.
- kasey_junk 4mo agoThey are putting a fighting pit on the White House lawn.. Something about bread and circuses seems in order.
- filoeleven 4mo agoI used to get irked when people would say America is on the path that was portrayed by the film Idiocracy. But the path from "fighting pit on the White House Lawn" to "Extreme Court arena battles featuring monster trucks with giant dildos" increasingly looks like a straight line.
- devin 4mo agoThe difference is that president Kamacho cared about his people and was ok with being counseled by the smartest guy in the country to turn things around.
- rayiner 4mo agoThe U.S. banned encryption over 40 bits throughout the 1990s. LLMs are orders of magnitude more significant.
- convolvatron 4mo agothat was pretty destructive. by unfortunate accident the process of developing network standards shut down as that was being lifted. people who tried to address the systemic security issues in internet infrastructure were shouting into the wind while the itar restrictions where in place, since none of their solutions could be deployed. that shortsightedness is at least a partial cause for the huge uncontrollable security issues we have today. this seems like a direct parallel, sowing confusion during the formative years, for no apparent gain.
- rayiner 4mo agoI also think as a policy matter it’s futile. But my point is that this is a predictable response to this technology. Analyzing it in terms of one particular administration is missing the forest for the trees.
- convolvatron 4mo agothe trees being that the US federal government is basically off the rails, has abandoned its basic duties and used its authority for all sorts of corrupt and counterproductive ends. apparently you take great comfort in these 'both sides' statements, but the reality is that things have gotten radically worse recently.
- rayiner 4mo agoIt’s not a “both sides” argument—I don’t even remember which side instituted the >40-bit crypto ban in the first place. I don’t think it was Clinton.
- clickety_clack 4mo agoWhile that is a tempting narrative, the idea that there would be restrictions on exports of AI began in the previous government. This isn’t a my team v your team problem.