kasey_junk

8 ms·

1.
by kasey_junk 5d ago
Your presentation about fiat money is more biased than anything presented in the article. Take the UK. They only left the gold standard due to ww1. But they broadly stopped accepting anything but governmental currency in the 1400s for tax p
2.
by kasey_junk 5d ago
This is the right response. Most state bar associations require a lawyer (or group of them) to own law firms. That _doesnt_ prevent law firms from doing crazy deals to gain liquidity for their partners, including from private equity. Dictat
3.
by kasey_junk 7d ago
This is the real crime of llms on writing. They’ve taken perfectly reasonable verbal ticks (the one I miss being able to use is scaffolding) and caused the audience to rebel against them en masse. Verbiage is a great word. I refuse to give
4.
by kasey_junk 10d ago
Compare the US and China on oil usage. The US is a net exporter compared to China being a huge importer. And they for _sure_ are pulling from reserves since the US attacked Iran. The volume of imports and usage figures can only be explained
5.
by kasey_junk 11d ago
China has almost certainly been dramatically drawing down their oil reserves. They don’t publish trustworthy numbers on it like western countries do, but their import rates dropped too fast for any other explanation. That’s not to say they
6.
by kasey_junk 12d ago
Nike famously built there business on the back of the running trend of the late 70s and early 80s. It’s headquartered where it’s headquartered because of its association with a monster collegiate running program. Before that they were known
7.
by kasey_junk 23d ago
Do you have code formatters, linters and static analysis? I can get extremely dumb models to get our code style correct because of those guard rails and a specific style document.
8.
by kasey_junk 29d ago
That’s a take for sure…
9.
by kasey_junk 29d ago
Aluminum smelters have run their own power generation for ages and don’t get to skip epa regulations.
10.
by kasey_junk 29d ago
8 is about my limit but I never have less than 4.
11.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
America can feed every person in the country easily, we import luxury goods cause we like coffee and out of season vegetables not because we’ve lost the production capability. If anything we are over subsidizing calories. We also have enoug
12.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Tariffs are much more regressive than our normal tax policy. Which is probably the reason this administration prefers them.
13.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Social safety net isn’t rigorously defined in the first place so acting like the definitions are being twisted isn’t a reasonable counter argument. Pick what labels you want to throw social security, Medicare and Medicaid into. That bucket
14.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Chip and snap combined is less than 2% of the budget and shrinking fast. You can tell it’s nowhere near 90% because even if you counted every single non-DoD dollar as social safety net it would only be 84% of the budget.
15.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
New Zealand is having a bumper apple crop this year. Literally one of the best in 30 years. And umm American apple season hasn’t started yet. https://www.thepress.co.nz/rural/360955858/bumper-harvest-ap...
16.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Sadly most of us do realize it. But this is why tariffs are so pernicious. Because you hate me, you are going to tax yourself. It’s a negative sum world view. It’s bad enough that Trump believes the nonsense, he’s been able to export it.
17.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Nope. Not how prices work. If you have a replacement good that would be cheaper but you artificially inflate it with a tax you are forcing that tax on every transaction. Again, if you think that tax is valid, feel free but tariffs costs are
18.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Defense spending used to be a higher percentage of our budget than now, so if anything you should assign more of that to the debt. About 16% of the spending is straight up defense spending and about 5% is the VA. I personally think it’s cra
19.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Social security is a welfare program. As is Medicare. They are odd regressive forms of them but they are tax funded welfare programs full stop. As for fund deficits there are basically 4 things the federal government pays for, social securi
20.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
More than 50% of us federal spending is in social security, Medicare and Medicaid and it’s debt service. You’d have to be counting pretty far afield things to get up to 90% but it’s easy to get to “a majority”.
21.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
That’s a reasonable reason to apply tariffs. But don’t assume it’s _us_ paying that tax. It’s you. We get to get taxed on the other side by paying more for Canadian goods.
22.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Mangoes and South Asian fish don’t grow close to you no matter what. You don’t think bull shipping Mexican tomatoes via the ocean isn’t going to cost more than the same tomato shipped by the US land route? If you were going to take that tar
23.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
You’d have to tariff fruits and vegetables like crazy to make the American varieties more expensive than oceanic shipped produce. That seems a fairly steep price for the Canadian consumer. Which highlights the problems with tariffs, they ar
24.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
This is not what most public libraries do with donation books. They mostly just recycle them. The very act of cataloging donation books takes a huge amount of resources that the collection managers don’t have. Many public libraries don’t ha
25.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
I work for a large enterprise and fable/mythos are specifically banned because of the difference in data retention agreements from those models to other Anthropic models.
26.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
The biggest difference is I view any interaction with an llm that doesn’t produce an artifact that can be verified with skepticism. That is I very rarely even use a “chat” interface anymore. Under the covers I’m still using the mainline age
27.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
I have found it extremely helpful to keep the “token prediction machine” metaphor front and center in my work with llms, not because it expresses some fundamental limit of the technology but because it allows me to have a mental model about
28.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
I tried but was thwarted by Abe Froman.
29.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Correct, so the BRICS angle I'm responding to is not what the market is showing.
30.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Brazil, India and South Africa all have 5 year bond yields that are higher now than 5 years ago. Russia is obvious outlier you can’t price well. If there is any news this month in Chinese bonds it’s a) a crazy upward move that corrected and

More ›