4 ms·

So is there anything left for Mid-2023? We got AGI, pretty much, (it's artificial, it's general, and fairly intelligent by most standards), and in last few wee

So is there anything left for Mid-2023? We got AGI, pretty much, (it's artificial, it's general, and fairly intelligent by most standards), and in last few weeks, we might have room temperature superconductors, a cure for cancer, and now a cure for aging? Can't help but wonder if there's a connection, lol.

Brajeshwar 3y ago
They finally start using the tech buried millions of years ago by Who-Who-Must-Not-Be-Mentioned.
- jacknews 3y ago
  Right, I forgot all about the secret UFO recovery program now allegedly coming to light. Maybe it's all from there, lol.
wuming2 3y ago
Perhaps the first generated the next one and so on. Let’s wait for hallucinations now.
- jtbayly 3y ago
  Perhaps the rest of the mentioned amazing advancements are the hallucinations...
fallingknife 3y ago
Don't forget the totally unrelated UFO hearings in congress...
Phenomenit 3y ago
What are you referring to when you say cure for cancer?
- htp 3y ago
  I assume this is a reference to e.g. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36982813 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36982813
  - ignite 3y ago
    It says "tumors", what about cancers that do not involve tumors, like Leukemia.
    - copperx 3y ago
      Liquid cancers are, in comparison, much more treatable. Sometimes they can even be curable.
lumost 3y ago
Maybe they are correlated :) GPT-4 "What types of materials have molecular structures which may lead to room temperature superconductivity?"
- hypefi 3y ago
  Clearly GPTs makes it easier to do research work, what took days now can take hours.
  - copperx 3y ago
    Yes, and sure, you still have to fact check, but that's O(1) per claim. If retrieval is actually happening, and not hallucination, the gains can be huge for a complex query. That's something that people who dismiss GPT seem to forget.
- px43 3y ago
  Hey look, something from DeepMind from a couple years ago talking about using ML to search for new high temp superconductors :-D I'm actually super curious what happens when their models train on what we've learned from LK-99, and maybe it will come up with even cheaper, easier, or higher temp superconductors. https://www.deepmind.com/blog/simulating-matter-on-the-quantum-scale-with-ai https://www.deepmind.com/blog/simulating-matter-on-the-quant...
PaulHoule 3y ago
Maybe a cure for aging in yeast.
ajdude 3y ago
Don't forget aliens!
deleted 3y ago
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Arkhaine_kupo 3y ago
We haven't in the sleightest found any of those things. The AI is neither intelligent nor General. The room temp semiconductor has not been replicated yet. The cure for cancer has been in pretrial for 20 years, and only now got accepted for phase 1 testing in humans (just checking is not posionous it has 0 results regarding efficacy). And understanding the mechanisms of inflamation is about as close to figuring out aging as figuring out amyloid plaques got us to cure Alzeihmers. It is all super encouraging, and new scientific discoveries are exciting, but we are not there yet, and there is a big chance there is a science Winter coming straight after this Summer, and the AI one might be long as we have no new alternatives if the hype behind our current attempts fail
- feoren 3y ago
  > understanding the mechanisms of inflamation is about as close to figuring out aging as figuring out amyloid plaques got us to cure Alzeihmers While I agree understanding inflammation is only the very beginning of a long, long journey, comparing it to amyloid plaques is disingenuous: the latter was literally outright fraud. There's no reason (yet, anyway) to think these researchers are literally fraudulent like the Alzheimer's researchers were. > there is a big chance there is a science Winter coming straight after this Summer Why? Pure regression to the mean? "Science" is an unfathomably vast enterprise and there's no reason to think a breakthrough in one or two areas must be followed by a quiescence in all others.
amelius 3y ago
Don't get too excited yet, e.g. despite all the posts here about promising battery tech, there is still a lot left to be desired.
carabiner 3y ago
You have forgotten fusion. Ignition was less than 12 months ago.
8f2ab37a-ed6c 3y ago
Sounds like we've got really good at building hype for things that don't actually provide evidence of the claims made about them.
Apocryphon 3y ago
Stack of questions with no answers Cure for cancer, cure for AIDS
twiddling 3y ago
We're getting a serious taste of what a hotter earth is like. We can have extended lives to really enjoy the back half of the century

Brajeshwar 3y ago

They finally start using the tech buried millions of years ago by Who-Who-Must-Not-Be-Mentioned.

jacknews 3y ago
Right, I forgot all about the secret UFO recovery program now allegedly coming to light. Maybe it's all from there, lol.

wuming2 3y ago

Perhaps the first generated the next one and so on. Let’s wait for hallucinations now.

jtbayly 3y ago
Perhaps the rest of the mentioned amazing advancements are the hallucinations...

fallingknife 3y ago

Don't forget the totally unrelated UFO hearings in congress...

Phenomenit 3y ago

What are you referring to when you say cure for cancer?

htp 3y ago
I assume this is a reference to e.g. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36982813 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36982813
- ignite 3y ago
  It says "tumors", what about cancers that do not involve tumors, like Leukemia.
  - copperx 3y ago
    Liquid cancers are, in comparison, much more treatable. Sometimes they can even be curable.

lumost 3y ago

Maybe they are correlated :) GPT-4 "What types of materials have molecular structures which may lead to room temperature superconductivity?"

hypefi 3y ago
Clearly GPTs makes it easier to do research work, what took days now can take hours.
- copperx 3y ago
  Yes, and sure, you still have to fact check, but that's O(1) per claim. If retrieval is actually happening, and not hallucination, the gains can be huge for a complex query. That's something that people who dismiss GPT seem to forget.
px43 3y ago
Hey look, something from DeepMind from a couple years ago talking about using ML to search for new high temp superconductors :-D I'm actually super curious what happens when their models train on what we've learned from LK-99, and maybe it will come up with even cheaper, easier, or higher temp superconductors. https://www.deepmind.com/blog/simulating-matter-on-the-quantum-scale-with-ai https://www.deepmind.com/blog/simulating-matter-on-the-quant...

PaulHoule 3y ago

Maybe a cure for aging in yeast.

ajdude 3y ago

Don't forget aliens!

deleted 3y ago

[deleted]

deleted 3y ago

[deleted]

Arkhaine_kupo 3y ago

We haven't in the sleightest found any of those things. The AI is neither intelligent nor General. The room temp semiconductor has not been replicated yet. The cure for cancer has been in pretrial for 20 years, and only now got accepted for phase 1 testing in humans (just checking is not posionous it has 0 results regarding efficacy). And understanding the mechanisms of inflamation is about as close to figuring out aging as figuring out amyloid plaques got us to cure Alzeihmers. It is all super encouraging, and new scientific discoveries are exciting, but we are not there yet, and there is a big chance there is a science Winter coming straight after this Summer, and the AI one might be long as we have no new alternatives if the hype behind our current attempts fail

feoren 3y ago
> understanding the mechanisms of inflamation is about as close to figuring out aging as figuring out amyloid plaques got us to cure Alzeihmers While I agree understanding inflammation is only the very beginning of a long, long journey, comparing it to amyloid plaques is disingenuous: the latter was literally outright fraud. There's no reason (yet, anyway) to think these researchers are literally fraudulent like the Alzheimer's researchers were. > there is a big chance there is a science Winter coming straight after this Summer Why? Pure regression to the mean? "Science" is an unfathomably vast enterprise and there's no reason to think a breakthrough in one or two areas must be followed by a quiescence in all others.

amelius 3y ago

Don't get too excited yet, e.g. despite all the posts here about promising battery tech, there is still a lot left to be desired.

carabiner 3y ago

You have forgotten fusion. Ignition was less than 12 months ago.

8f2ab37a-ed6c 3y ago

Sounds like we've got really good at building hype for things that don't actually provide evidence of the claims made about them.

Apocryphon 3y ago

Stack of questions with no answers Cure for cancer, cure for AIDS

twiddling 3y ago

We're getting a serious taste of what a hotter earth is like. We can have extended lives to really enjoy the back half of the century