lumost

2 ms·

1.
by lumost 7d ago
How confident are we that they know it’s fake? I somehow doubt they close the door and pull out the real information.
2.
by lumost 10d ago
I suspect that we could bring this measure into the modern world with a little help from either DFS or ai. Something like abstractions traversed during interpretation, lines of abstraction v.s. functional implementation, or logic statement
3.
by lumost 12d ago
Biology is very messy and very data constrained. We think that human anatomy works one way- but surgery and radiology are hard because every human is very different. Missing organs, odd tissue performing unclear functions, different, new or
4.
by lumost 12d ago
It's fairly obvious that the frontier labs are proposing that only "paced" providers would have access to the US market - and by extension the G7 market. They don't mind splitting market share between the three of them,
5.
by lumost 14d ago
While I dislike this take, when the dust settles we will have compute clusters orders of magnitude larger than anything that existed in 2023. If demand vanishes for the 3 million cards Amazon just bought, then something will be done with
6.
by lumost 17d ago
While simultaneously trying to own all economic activity derivable from labor... it's hard to see the argument as anything but disengenuous.
7.
by lumost 20d ago
Maximally, a closed form solution would remove the need for Computational Fluid Dynamics. Any property could be derived from a (presumably expensive) analytic function. Minimally. It could say that no such analytic function can ever exist.
8.
by lumost 20d ago
How do you know the lean is correct? You don’t bet the two trillion dollar company on “the ai said so”
9.
by lumost 21d ago
The loss of a succession strategy with an elderly leader at the helm seems like a major issue.
10.
by lumost 22d ago
I can do none of those things.. I hope that I am generally intelligent. 1 year ago we viewed models as tools and agents were just kinda toying around, that we now think the bar is literally an anything to anything converter through one agen
11.
by lumost 22d ago
I think we're getting to the point where it is difficult to identify the goal post of AGI. Is it rapid skill acquisition? -> ARC benchmarks are saturated Is it breadth of knowledge? -> See many ... many benchmarks Is it ability t
12.
by lumost 23d ago
Then why does the expensive treatment cost 7 figures? Estimating hospital costs is hard, but a quick glance at many buildings/offices would tell you that they are by no means struggling. We overpay for healthcare because we must pay, a
13.
by lumost 25d ago
A lot of big enterprises struggle with ai adoption. Either they can't get models/tools approved fast enough, can't provision them in their internal network, or get slammed with exorbitant inference costs. A big enterprise can
14.
by lumost 26d ago
There are many enterprise environments where running modern models is... difficult. Rather than fighting security for months, a user could petition for a mac studio and have rough cost parity with a z.ai subscription. if they are a heavy us
15.
by lumost 1mo ago
As a kick-starter project is this thing actually real? My experience with kick-starter has been that the projects are almost universally faked.
16.
by lumost 1mo ago
The answer is likely that it makes sense for maintenance purposes, but the legal authority granted to an HOA is overly broad.
17.
by lumost 1mo ago
In the past, a professional job might mean extended periods of travel by rail etc with little work to do. A small acreage farmer has to wait for plants to grow. The advent of factories with limitless and constant demand for labor is a new d
18.
by lumost 1mo ago
Token cost is falling rapidly for a given quality. We don't think about this too much as newer models have made legacy apps obsolete - but its an interesting question what the cheapest text to sql or similar model would be. I still go
19.
by lumost 1mo ago
betting on a compute bottleneck sounds like a recipe to get thrashed when the bottleneck relieves itself. At the investment scales being discussed, CUDA/architecture and other advantages do not matter - you could spend 1 billion on bui
20.
by lumost 1mo ago
why would anybody believe true brilliance? They would only believe something that can be proved from combining existing knowledge. If a time traveler went back to 1600 and started spouting off about differential equations everyone would thi
21.
by lumost 1mo ago
I'm still uncertain if mythos is real. Subsequent model releases have been lackluster, no one has claimed to verify mythos performance and it's silently vanished from most comparisons.
22.
by lumost 1mo ago
I would presume the goal is to have an electromagnetic accelerator of inbound charged ions to serve as thrust. You can get limitless power from solar, but propellent mass is a limiter.
23.
by lumost 1mo ago
It seems like a data/roadmap acquisition. Reports have been that Cursor's footprint was still growing rapidly, and their composer model wasn't bad. Take that data / training recipe and scale it up with compute to see wha
24.
by lumost 2mo ago
I think you'll find that 95% of all academic presentations are telling stories out of other peoples work.
25.
by lumost 2mo ago
There is no requirement to own the hardware. Even if you own your servers and GPUs - you would not own the power plant, real estate, or internet infrastructure to support it. It's trivial to rent all of the above components in a compet
26.
by lumost 2mo ago
Governments may be uniquely positioned to offer housing incentives as they often own the land, and control the zoning.
27.
by lumost 2mo ago
Interesting, this presents an meta for an early stage investor. Fund a company with a BS forecast based on your ability to make money on the claw back provisions.
28.
by lumost 2mo ago
if someone says they have a billion users because they are connected to the doubleclick exchange... they aren't lying, they might be deceptive or simply foolish. As part of due diligence, the buyer/investor should ask how these nu
29.
by lumost 2mo ago
I think we have unfortunately apt historical comparisons. The economic state of Eastern Europe at the turn of the 20th century matches a society where wealth had been completely and utterly bifurcated. The result was “seizing the means of p
30.
by lumost 2mo ago
It's been discussed for decades that the US would run out of precision munitions in any multi-week conflict. The presumption was that the US would either be in a nuclear war at that point, or a ground campaign would complete the task a

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