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This is quite big as a result, although it was done against standard of care (so it can mean a lot of things), because it improves survival. This brings the li
by lbeltrame 6y ago
This is quite big as a result, although it was done against standard of care (so it can mean a lot of things), because it improves survival.
This brings the list of currently effective pharmacological treatments to two:
- remedisivir (reduces hospital stay, might improve survival)
- dexamethasone (improves survival if requiring oxygen)
- nerdponx 6y agoNow that the "hydroxychloroquine is dangerous" research has been retracted, does HCQ count as a 3rd treatment? Or did we never get confirmation that it was effective? Edit: what's with the downvotes? Go look at my post history, I'm not some Russian astroturfing bot. And I got a lot of informative replies, which is why I asked in the first place.
- moron4hire 6y agoI don't recall seeing anything about it being effective/ineffective as a treatment, only that one study that it doesn't prevent the disease.
- hprotagonist 6y agowe have multiple independent confirmations that it is ineffective against SARS-CoV-2. ( e.g., https://www.recoverytrial.net/files/hcq-recovery-statement-050620-final-002.pdf https://www.recoverytrial.net/files/hcq-recovery-statement-0... , https://www.fda.gov/media/138945/download https://www.fda.gov/media/138945/download) it has known nontrivial side effects, but the study showing measurable harm was retracted.
- addicted 6y agoAlso, the study being retracted does not mean it does not cause harm. It just means we don’t have evidence for that at the moment.
- hcknwscommenter 6y agoIt's not even clear that we don't have evidence. The study was retracted because the authors did not want to provide more details on where/how they obtained their data. Probably because they were contractually obligated not to use the data in the way that they did (they made some vague statements to that effect).
- ray991 6y agoYou might be interested in this article that tries to explain what happened - from my perspective it was nothing short of a scandal. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/03/covid-19-surgisphere-who-world-health-organization-hydroxychloroquine https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/03/covid-19-surgi... Others studies by one of the authors (Sapan Desai) whose company Surgisphere is supposed to be behind the alleged fraud are being scrutinised and even his credentials are under question now - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/10/surgisphere-sapan-desai-lancet-study-hydroxychloroquine-mass-audit-scientific-papers https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/10/surgisphere-sa...
- hprotagonist 6y agoi’d trust RetractionWatch here, which also has good coverage.
- mhandley 6y agoThe same group that conducted this Dexmathasone study concluded that hydroxychloroquine is ineffective: https://www.recoverytrial.net/files/hcq-recovery-statement-050620-final-002.pdf https://www.recoverytrial.net/files/hcq-recovery-statement-0... "These data convincingly rule out any meaningful mortality benefit of hydroxychloroquine in patients hospitalised with COVID-19." Note this is not the same group or dataset as the discredited study.
- jtbayly 6y agoIf they were indeed giving deadly doses of the drug by accident, it’s no wonder they stopped the study cold turkey.
- lbeltrame 6y agoThat statement is not correct because it does not take into account the pharmacokinetics of the drug. See the discussion here[1] (from the person who wrote the open letter to Lancet on the now-retracted HCQ study). [1] https://twitter.com/jwato_watson/status/1272734274823663616 https://twitter.com/jwato_watson/status/1272734274823663616
- jtbayly 6y agoThat’s a helpful link. Thx. Looks like no fatal doses. But I wasn’t claiming they were doing so. I said “if” intentionally, since I know nothing about it.
- lbeltrame 6y agoTo be even more precise, ineffective in hospitalized patients. UMN has done another study for "outpatient" (that is, not hospitalized) treatment and sent the results for review. I'm not expecting any different results than from this one, but we'll know soon enough. The RECOVERY study is also studying azithromycin, a drug commonly administered with HCQ when used against this disease. It would be ironic if that one proves to be effective (study is still ongoing).
- m4r35n357 6y agoIt was only ever a con, perpetrated by corrupt politicians.
- cheaprentalyeti 6y agoAre you referring to the retracted Lancet study or the just-breaking-news about the Oxford Recovery Trial where they were using lethal dosages of the drug? [1] [1] http://covexit.com/recovery-covid-19-research-blasted-for-toxic-dosage-towards-oxfordgate/ http://covexit.com/recovery-covid-19-research-blasted-for-to...
- rsynnott 6y agoThis seems to be the response to every trial that shows chloroquine and friends to be ineffective, though. "Well, of course there was no positive effect, the dose was too low." "Well, of course there was no positive effect, the dose was too high". "Well, of course there was no positive effect, you didn't tape a halibut to the patient's head". "No, not a cooked one, you fools, a live one!" At a certain point, it's possibly worth considering that there may be no there there.
- jcranmer 6y agoI've noticed on Derek Lowe's blog that there seems to be a definite hydroxychloroquine brigade that doesn't exist for any other purported therapy. And as you noticed, this brigade will pick apart HCQ studies for not doing X for a bajillion different varieties of X. (Not simultaneously dosing with zinc and/or azithromycin is the one that tends to be mocked the hardest on the blogs).
- jbritton 6y agoHere is a preprint that shows HCQ plus Zinc is effective. My knowledge on this matter comes only from watching a few YouTube videos. From that it has seemed all along that the treatment required is HCQ + Zinc. Zinc is what stops viral replication and HCQ helps get Zinc into the cells. So why are so many trials not using Zinc. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.02.20080036v1 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.02.20080036v...
- downerending 6y agoBefore any of the studies came out, I was reading anecdotes specifically stating, "this only works with zinc". Which is not that hard to believe, from a biochemical perspective. Apparently most or all of the studies do not include zinc. Hooray.
- rsynnott 6y agoThe same trial found hydroxychloroquine not to be effective, and patients are no longer being enrolled in that arm of the trial: https://www.recoverytrial.net/files/hcq-recovery-statement-050620-final-002.pdf https://www.recoverytrial.net/files/hcq-recovery-statement-0...
- vibrio 6y agoI'd not start dropping HCQ like candy. Beyond the retracted COVID study, it is established that there are risks associated with HCQ usage. use can lead to cardiomyopathy, prolong QT interval and trigger arrhythmia. source: drop chloroquine cardiomyopathy into pubmed or google scholar.
- nerdponx 6y agoThere's quite a spectrum between "HCQ is dangerous and ineffective for Covid-19" and "drink fish tank cleaner".
- vibrio 6y agoI agree with you that "dangerous" isn't binary. To be clear, the medical literature I was referencing are focused on medical grade HCQ. I apologize that I was glib in my "like candy" comment. I'm reacting strongly to this topic because the current level of pop-culture medical expertise, partiuclary around HCQ and also vaccines, is concerning to me.
- Symmetry 6y agoWe've been dosing people with hydroxychloroquine for malaria for years so it would be very surprising if it suddenly turned dangerous. It's pretty clear at this point from a number of randomized trials that giving it to people who have developed Covid-19 isn't particularly useful. It's still possible that it might be useful prophylacticly, there's been some promising non-RCT studies coming out of India and at least one RCT underway, but I'm not sure I'd bet on it. EDIT: And to be clear the Indian studies suggested you wanted to be taking it for weeks before first exposure to SARS-2.
- wbl 6y agoIt's always dangerous. It has a black box warning for arrhythmia.
- Nursie 6y ago> it would be very surprising if it suddenly turned dangerous https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/label/2017/009768s037s045s047lbl.pdf https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/label/2017/00... Just because something is a useful medicine that's been given for a while doesn't mean it can't also have serious side effects, some of which could conceivably exacerbate Sars-CoV-2. Or not, there's no evidence that it does. But a lot of medicines are "dangerous", including Plaquenil, particularly if applied for the wrong circumstance or given to people with contraindications.
- Nursie 6y ago> Or did we never get confirmation that it was effective? The reverse, there's confirmation it's ineffective. It may not be dangerous (I don't know) but it's no longer allowed as treatment in the US as the evidence has shown it's not useful. Can we stop talking about this and move on yet? It was only ever really of interest because Trump was flailing about for anything to make it look like he had a plan earlier in the year.
- gfodor 6y agoNo, there was interest because this was used in South Korea. Then, trump said a thing, everyone lost their minds, studies were rushed, the press lied about intermediate statistically-insignificant results, and it was a complete embarrassment to the medical community. The politicization of a medicine has been one of the stupidest things I’ve ever seen in my lifetime.
- Nursie 6y ago> The politicization of a medicine has been one of the stupidest things I’ve ever seen in my lifetime. Couldn't agree more. It's insane that medical science gets turned into a partisan pissing match.
- pjc50 6y ago> The politicization of a medicine has been one of the stupidest things I’ve ever seen in my lifetime. This seems to have been going on since Wakefield and the anti-vaxers; and one of the big reasons for rejecting chloroquine was exactly that it was being promoted by a whole infrastructure of dodgy quack websites. Which is undoubtedly where Trump got the idea from.
- WillPostForFood 6y agoIt may not be dangerous (I don't know) but it's no longer allowed as treatment in the US This is not true. It is still allowed as a treatment, and there are still studies going on using it in the US. The FDA emergency approval has been removed, which is more of a technical status. You can no longer acquire it from the government stockpile, and it is no longer recommended.
- hannob 6y agoWe never got confirmation that it was effective. All the early studies that indicated some effectiveness were basically garbage. The french study that caused most hype was flawed in multiple ways. The fact that a study showing its ineffectiveness was retracted is not evidence of the opposite.
- SomeoneFromCA 6y agoChloroquine (not hydroxy, good old chloro) is used in Central Asia. Death rate is pretty low (less than 10 per million), if you trust official media source of the countries in the region.
- marcosdumay 6y agoThere was more than one study that found HCQ dangerous. None had a clear effect. AFAIK, at this point we can't tell if it has a very tiny positive effect or a small damaging one. None are good news, so why push it further?
- zaroth 6y ago> For patients on ventilators, it cut the risk of death from 40% to 28%. For patients needing oxygen, it cut the risk of death from 25% to 20%. But I would guess that the survival rate for patients who don't require oxygen must be pretty damn high to start with.
- barbegal 6y agoFrom the released statement: > Among the patients who received usual care alone, 28-day mortality was highest in those who required ventilation (41%), intermediate in those patients who required oxygen only (25%), and lowest among those who did not require any respiratory intervention (13%).
- zaroth 6y agoI wonder what 13% of people are dying from with COVID if it isn’t SARS...
- orwin 6y agoIve heard its heart attack.
- S_A_P 6y agoMost likely this. Low blood oxygen stresses the cardiovascular system so there are greater odds that anything that can go wrong there will.
- nradov 6y agoCytokine storm syndrome https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/05/200513081810.htm https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/05/200513081810.h...
- knowaveragejoe 6y agoThis, as well as Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation(DIC). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disseminated_intravascular_coagulation https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disseminated_intravascular_coa... https://emcrit.org/ibcc/covid19/#disseminated_intravascular_coagulation https://emcrit.org/ibcc/covid19/#disseminated_intravascular_...
- heisenbit 6y agoTwo other treatments with results - low dose of blood thinner (also significant improvement and widely available) - IL-6 inhibitor tocilizumab (some improvement in severe cases but expensive and hard to scale up) Both dexamethasone and tocilizumab weaken the immune system. Helps against the overshooting but risks other infections.
- sp332 6y agoDo you have some links to news about these?
- heisenbit 6y agoIf you want to follow Reddit r/COVID19 is regularly posting preprints and has quite a number of professionals in the comments.
- CWuestefeld 6y agoI've seen small observational studies with positive results about other IL-6 and TNF-a inhibitors, like Remicade. I have a particular interest in this because of Crohn's Disease - might the disease be making me high risk, and might my treatment (Entyvio, which operates differently from Remicade and its kin) help offset that anyway?
- JadeNB 6y ago> it was done against standard of care (so it can mean a lot of things) This looks like a technical phrase, and the parenthesis suggests that its meaning or implications should maybe be obvious, but they aren't to me! Do you mind elaborating?
- lbeltrame 6y ago"Standard of care" basically means "whatever the current protocol to treat the disease is" (normally it means "the accepted treatment", but there isn't one yet), which can mean just trying to keep the fever down, supplementation of fluids, but also administration of drugs (with the exception of the one tested, of course). As you can imagine, it is quite variable in what it means, because it varies across countries and occasionally even hospitals (I'm sure the RECOVERY people have taken this into account, though). It is different from a placebo study because in that case your control is something you know is inert and "does nothing".
- JadeNB 6y agoThank you!