orwin

3 ms·

1.
by orwin 5d ago
(in my country, to get a bus driver license, you have to go through training that explain how to act in weird situation, how to identify dangers and which danger to prefer. You have a whole hour about always stopping at a safe place (parkin
2.
by orwin 5d ago
I mean, one app collect your usage data, the second doesn't.
3.
by orwin 5d ago
Untrue for sails, untrue for dinghys, untrue for foils, because price discrimination. I thought it might have been true for catamaran, but I looked it up and it seems that Hobie Cat 16 are still more popular than Nacras for some inimaginabl
4.
by orwin 7d ago
I'm just talking about the tactics the Nazis use and the work camps. Huge inspiration from Belgian Congo, Madagascar "tache d'huile" tactics and the German Mozambican work camps into genocide around WW1.
5.
by orwin 7d ago
> I read an article in early 2000 that stipulated that EU and USA are borrowing so much money that eventually they will HAVE TO recoup through war, Conquering Russia. Lol. Not how money, nor borrowing as a nation-state works. Probably fr
6.
by orwin 7d ago
(not really, it was more from how French, Belgians and Germans treated the African population they occupied) (not a fan of the US but I have to defend them here)
7.
by orwin 7d ago
Yes, a common view at the time was that the only de-escalation possible would have been through workers cooperation, which is why so much of the Marxist flank of the SFIO argued in favour of pacifism: to buy time for the workers to unite. W
8.
by orwin 7d ago
I don't care about whataboutism much, so I won't argue with you on your points, but know that it seems a large part of the 1200 killed during October 7th were killed by the Hannibal doctrine, which for the first time was applied t
9.
by orwin 7d ago
China has sold military hardware to Iran in exchange for oil. They also proposed their help for a de-escalation plan to Pakistan if needed, letting regional powers handle the issue and never presented themselve as the only solution (They di
10.
by orwin 7d ago
only 31-40% of the german electorate was that. And it was on the decline, which is why Von Papen convinced himself he would be easy to negociate cabinet postition with Hitler.
11.
by orwin 7d ago
Not really. It took a full month for the austrian to send Serbia its ultimatum. If the ultimatum was given imediatly after the assassination, both France and Russia would have let Serbia go. Also, in France Caillaux, one of the most powerfu
12.
by orwin 7d ago
Yes, but when a statistical model give you an erroneous result, you call the output an error, not a bug. I think error is more appropriate here. The error can be a sampling error, an inference error, or yes, a software error (or bug)
13.
by orwin 7d ago
I disagree, for me "error" is way, way more accurate than "hallucination", but i did take applied statistics in college and that might have influenced my vocabulary. Maybe that for the general public, "hallucination
14.
by orwin 8d ago
Are you cryptic on purpose too? Or are you high?
15.
by orwin 8d ago
Honestly, if we're only talking about SOTA llms, in sandbox mode without harness? No shot. Without harness LLMs have no memory of previous moves. I can't make the last version of chatgpt remember more than 5 movements. I guarantee
16.
by orwin 8d ago
To me, more than 20 minutes, less than a day. Which is what happened (40 minutes between the missiles and the bombs)
17.
by orwin 8d ago
You're right. Postmodernism isn't a relevant philosophical movement since the 80s at best (some would argue it wasn't a movement at all, just a term used by simple minds to join multiple philosophers who rejected meta-narrati
18.
by orwin 8d ago
The radar might be second class (not sure I would go that far, it's not a Thales radar but it's still good), but the plane is built with EW in mind, and that makes it useful. What makes it bad is how hard the cooling is, its range
19.
by orwin 8d ago
They did that btw. Is there any railroad bridge still standing in south Iran?
20.
by orwin 8d ago
Japan is very much still jingoistic today, and Jingoism is what drove the Lugou bridge incident and the seconds sino-japanese war. While it was imperialism that drove the invasion of Korea and Manchuria in 1931, with a real need for resourc
21.
by orwin 9d ago
The double tap to me is really what is cruel. I understand americans don't want to hear it, because they need to believe their military is moral, but a double tap to me show cruelty and willingness to target doctor, nurses, firemen and
22.
by orwin 9d ago
The double tap to me is really what is cruel. I understand americans don't want to hear it, because they need to believe their military is moral, but a double tap to me show cruelty and willingness to target doctor, nurses, firemen and
23.
by orwin 9d ago
depends on the product and when its applied. for potatoes sprout inhibitors, the old product you definitely needed to remove the skin and every touched part. For the new stuff (i think its ethylène or something like that), washing it is en
24.
by orwin 9d ago
I think it's up to 24% for rotor sails,no?
25.
by orwin 10d ago
Yes, I think you're overall right on your description of what is happening, but I disagree somehow with your analysis. My reading of that is that social media 'accelerate' culture, and some of it is towards hateful, violent w
26.
by orwin 10d ago
The _only_ illegal move a human might make as a beginner is a failed en passant or a bad castle. And yes, a few hundred games is all it takes to be better than any publicly available LLM at the moment.
27.
by orwin 10d ago
That's quite untrue. I taught my (adult) brother the moves, the only illegal move he ever tried against me (over his 6 first games) was a castle with a rook that already moved twice. Within a few hundred games (less than 500 for sure,
28.
by orwin 10d ago
A week. My brother learned and was above 1100 online within 12 hours, after a few hundred games.
29.
by orwin 10d ago
1100 lichess/chess.com does not represent real elo. I'm around 1400 online, I would still be unranked in the real world. The fact that I easily beat any model publicly available is not a great look for AGI.
30.
by orwin 10d ago
The issue is that they never expended the infrastructure, never exploited new fields, their old oil field started giving less, so they pumped more water in, which probably lowered the quality of oil, and made it harder on the refineries. Ve

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