zzleeper

35 ms·

361.
by zzleeper 6y ago
TBH given the failures of the last months, I wouldn't be surprised if we are completely unable to execute, even if we get a couple of years. A pity.
362.
by zzleeper 6y ago
Well look at Wuhan, Europe, etc. Had people in the US taken the lockdown seriously, we would have ended with an Rt below 1.0 (ideally WAY below 1) so we would be more than ready to reopen now. Instead, people keep doing crap and getting inf
363.
by zzleeper 6y ago
It's also a bit cynical to say "nearly four months into the pandemic", as if there have been four months where the hospitals could have been seeing patients in the US but didn't. Also, in the big picture this cost is tri
364.
by zzleeper 6y ago
Other places in Europe, South America, etc seem to have implemented much tighter lockdowns without having to resort to a Humvee scenario though. Just fining people outside is a good incentive.
365.
by zzleeper 6y ago
That's what I hoped would happen when we started the quarantine. My food/etc supplies were based on expecting a 2w lockdown, so I kept a month of refrigerated food, or two months if we include all the rice/beans/etc, jus
366.
by zzleeper 6y ago
Suppose perfect lockdowns, so no new infections after lockdown, not even family members. Suppose incubation is 1w, then 1w of worsening syntoms, and then death at 3w, consistent with Italy and other countries (sp. in places with enough beds
367.
by zzleeper 6y ago
I still wonder why people defend Ioannidis so much, given the amount of crap he has done lately. As someone said last week, maybe he just likes being a contrarian too much, and cannot look past the urge to contradict just to gain more notor
368.
by zzleeper 6y ago
I have a box of N95s, bought a year ago for unrelated reasons. Does the same advice still applies for these masks? I fear that handling them increases my risk more than keeping them until I'm back home.
369.
by zzleeper 6y ago
Why didn't weather help Guayaquil? It's the worst hit city in SA yet is one of the most tropical ones.
370.
by zzleeper 7y ago
You don't need to change the structure. Change management, new management raises all the new debt. Unless there is a bullet proof leverage covenant, then the existing lenders can't do zip about that. Thus, their only option is to
371.
by zzleeper 7y ago
It's not just lending to PE firms but to the original businesses before they get bought. Say Basecamp gets a ~ small 100m loan from syndicate. Basecamp is quite healthy, well managed, low leveraged, so they secure 4% rate for 5yrs, wit
372.
by zzleeper 7y ago
Can we just do an expedited chapter 11, so the company is still functional when things come back online, but instead of the current shareholders you would have the current credit holders at the helm?
373.
by zzleeper 7y ago
The problem is they were already operating on razor thin margins. Imagine people walking through their lives with only $10 of savings, and hundreds of thousands of dollars in debt. First time something happens, boom, you go bankrupt. Same w
374.
by zzleeper 7y ago
How is a stupid Java app with clueless consultants going to help against covid? Or is it Thiel selling yet more snake oil?
375.
by zzleeper 7y ago
That's why the results are in relative terms. A city or state that is slow to react will do worst than a faster or more effective one in relative terms . About shutting down everything, yes. If absolutely no one works, then who drives
376.
by zzleeper 7y ago
Sadly, as long as there's a large enough region where it has R0 > 1, then when we lift restrictions we'll be back to normal.
377.
by zzleeper 7y ago
If done correctly, it doesn't have to be like that. See Korea, etc
378.
by zzleeper 7y ago
??? China is down to zero cases. South America except for the two black sheep (Mexico and Brazil) is shutting down (Peru had curfew-in-place since the weekend; anyone even driving their car outside is arrested). Europe is also going there,
379.
by zzleeper 7y ago
"worst cases are testing positive" ????? Most tests are on healthy people that were close to positive. If the R0 is as high as they say (2-4) then most people (60+%) will get it.
380.
by zzleeper 7y ago
Has anyone thought about what will happen once other countries start getting better? They might as well quarantine the UK as a redzone area.
381.
by zzleeper 7y ago
In Both SK and DP sick people got the best treatment. Without having access to enough respirators, CFRs would have been way higher there, which is exactly his point.
382.
by zzleeper 7y ago
The US doesn't. A few flu/pneumonia tests were done on dead people and turned out positive but that's it.
383.
by zzleeper 7y ago
I just wish SUVs and pickups to be taxed proportionally to all the damage they cause, either to the road, or to others (higher accident rate with pedestrians and fatality rates), and that's besides the pollution.
384.
by zzleeper 7y ago
????
385.
by zzleeper 7y ago
Why? I would have thought it makes more sense to brush, then floss, then wash at the end so the fluoride stays longer
386.
by zzleeper 7y ago
Additional collateral? There's not even base collateral, as the whole thing is guaranteed by the govt.
387.
by zzleeper 7y ago
Many do. It's amazing having a big space to read, work, think, etc. at 1am on a weekday (this might not apply if you have a 9-5 job, are married or have kids, etc)
388.
by zzleeper 7y ago
I'm surprised that Monica Cellio was initially crucified by name all over the place (by SO), but the employee that did this is still listed everywhere as "an employee".
389.
by zzleeper 7y ago
I just added a search engine to chrome that searches on Google with the site:reddit com term. Add a simple shortcut to the search bar for that engine like "@", and now I just type "@ best baby teether" and get actual peo
390.
by zzleeper 7y ago
The problem is that at current costs, you would have to pay close to $8 per ride for renting to break even for firms. And at that point you might as well get a lyft/uber.

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