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"worst cases are testing positive" ????? Most tests are on healthy people that were close to positive. If the R0 is as high as they say (2-4) then most people

"worst cases are testing positive" ????? Most tests are on healthy people that were close to positive. If the R0 is as high as they say (2-4) then most people (60+%) will get it.

hnburnsy 7y ago
Testing Criteria in UK... ---------------- 2.1 Patients who meet the following criteria (inpatient definition) requiring admission to hospital (a hospital practitioner has decided that admission to hospital is required with an expectation that the patient will need to stay at least one night) and have either clinical or radiological evidence of pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome or influenza like illness (fever ≥37.8°C and at least one of the following respiratory symptoms, which must be of acute onset: persistent cough (with or without sputum), hoarseness, nasal discharge or congestion, shortness of breath, sore throat, wheezing, sneezing https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/wuhan-novel-coronavirus-initial-investigation-of-possible-cases/investigation-and-initial-clinical-management-of-possible-cases-of-wuhan-novel-coronavirus-wn-cov-infection#inp https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/wuhan-novel-coron...
- acqq 7y ago
  > Testing Criteria in UK... And? The specific testing methodology doesn't prove that the speed of new people getting sick and die will change anytime soon without establishing very strong measures, which is the only information that you need to know. Calculate yourself the speed in any country, not just the UK. See the numbers 6 days ago, see the numbers 3 days ago, see the numbers now. How many days is the doubling time? Three days. What does it mean? The factor of 2 ^ 10 in 30 days: one thousand TIMES more cases needing hospital in four weeks. Some numbers now show (with big measures introduced!) 4 days. That reduces the factor to around 200 TIMES more cases needing hospital in four weeks. There aren't that many hospitals in the world. Nobody can conclude from the available data that it doesn't spread that fast, as it's consistent across many countries and different amount of testing, it can be concluded just that the virus still didn't spread across all the places it could, and that it's an interest of everybody to stop that spread.

"worst cases are testing positive" ????? Most tests are on healthy people that were close to positive. If the R0 is as high as they say (2-4) then most people (60+%) will get it.

hnburnsy 7y ago

Testing Criteria in UK... ---------------- 2.1 Patients who meet the following criteria (inpatient definition) requiring admission to hospital (a hospital practitioner has decided that admission to hospital is required with an expectation that the patient will need to stay at least one night) and have either clinical or radiological evidence of pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome or influenza like illness (fever ≥37.8°C and at least one of the following respiratory symptoms, which must be of acute onset: persistent cough (with or without sputum), hoarseness, nasal discharge or congestion, shortness of breath, sore throat, wheezing, sneezing https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/wuhan-novel-coronavirus-initial-investigation-of-possible-cases/investigation-and-initial-clinical-management-of-possible-cases-of-wuhan-novel-coronavirus-wn-cov-infection#inp https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/wuhan-novel-coron...

acqq 7y ago
> Testing Criteria in UK... And? The specific testing methodology doesn't prove that the speed of new people getting sick and die will change anytime soon without establishing very strong measures, which is the only information that you need to know. Calculate yourself the speed in any country, not just the UK. See the numbers 6 days ago, see the numbers 3 days ago, see the numbers now. How many days is the doubling time? Three days. What does it mean? The factor of 2 ^ 10 in 30 days: one thousand TIMES more cases needing hospital in four weeks. Some numbers now show (with big measures introduced!) 4 days. That reduces the factor to around 200 TIMES more cases needing hospital in four weeks. There aren't that many hospitals in the world. Nobody can conclude from the available data that it doesn't spread that fast, as it's consistent across many countries and different amount of testing, it can be concluded just that the virus still didn't spread across all the places it could, and that it's an interest of everybody to stop that spread.