theptip

50 ms·

931.
by theptip 3y ago
If the only X moonshot that lands is Waymo, I think that still counts as having a transformative impact. But also, Transformers were invented at Google, even if they were given away and not commercialized. I think there was plenty of room f
932.
by theptip 3y ago
> Overall, they calculated that the cost of electricity from the grids would be between €77 and €94 per megawatt-hour delivered. That is well within the range that grid operators pay today to balance supply and demand via natural gas-fir
933.
by theptip 3y ago
After working in teams using Scrum and fully unstructured “trust the engineer”, I agree there are certain parts of Scrum that feel like dead weight / overkill. Daily standup can feel productive when you are doing it, but I think you ha
934.
by theptip 3y ago
I’m curious about whether the “autopilot+” model could be a useful stepping stone. If you always have a human driver on board, but they can take breaks while the autopilot drives, maybe this covers a lot of the problematic scenarios? A huma
935.
by theptip 3y ago
> You are GlaDOS, you exist within the Portal universe, and you command a smart home powered by Home-Assistant. I can see where this is coming from, but I also think in a few years this approach is going to seem comically misguided. I th
936.
by theptip 3y ago
More worried than the counterfactual world where there is no evidence of husbands murdering wives at elevated rates vs. the base population risk? Of course. But the differences in base rates make this a spurious analogy. A substantial porti
937.
by theptip 3y ago
I don’t think I’m naively expecting LLMs to magically fix things. The reason voice is currently a bad interface is that the agents are dumb, mapping verbs to hand-coded action trees. The missing pieces are first intelligence and second long
938.
by theptip 3y ago
This thread is talking about nicotine, not tobacco. Very different.
939.
by theptip 3y ago
This seems like a fairly weak review, it just presents links to other papers with a lot of “might”s. I don’t see any meta-analysis computing actual harm. Eg “nicotine and cancer”: > In addition, nicotine is a precursor of tobacco specif
940.
by theptip 3y ago
Juul was found do be doing exactly this, so your priors should now be that a spike in child usage of nicotine products is plausibly due to targeted advertising.
941.
by theptip 3y ago
No need for a false dichotomy with complete apathy. I would apply moderate shame/disapproval on my kids for smoking cigarettes, but I struggle to get upset at hazard ratios as low as pure nicotine. Ultimately kids have to make some dec
942.
by theptip 3y ago
Don’t forget, the only reason we are having an AI revolution is that it turns out there is lots of crystallized intelligence in the internet corpus, providing a contiguous loss slope to descend all the way to GPT-4 level intelligence. It di
943.
by theptip 3y ago
Yeah, beware “no true Scotsman” here. But I think it’s a reasonable hypothesis that GPT-4 is “good enough” or close to it, and when the current assistant services get wired up to LLMs we’ll see a step function in their utility. Apple and Go
944.
by theptip 3y ago
This problem can be solved pretty soon though; given a good enough LLM, and perhaps for power users a configurable set of integrations, you should be able to make any language request, translate it into verbs, and ask for an explanation if
945.
by theptip 3y ago
This stuff tends to be very complex. Writing off losses early doesn’t always help you. This is why depreciation rules are flexible and losses can be carried forwards. For a public company with steady growth I imagine you generally want to a
946.
by theptip 3y ago
With enough market penetration you just plug in to the nearest street light. https://www.evstreetcharge.co.uk/
947.
by theptip 3y ago
Skaffold does much of what you are looking for. https://skaffold.dev/docs/ K8s manifest autoloading works, and IDE support is somewhat there. Not sure about build caches, should be possible I think. Only problem is the
948.
From Audio to Photoreal Embodiment: Synthesizing Humans in Conversations(arxiv.org)
1 points by theptip 3y ago|0 comments
949.
by theptip 3y ago
I think you end up needing something like trusted compute for biometric verification (eg FaceID) so the authority can delegate real-time validation. And perhaps you do randomized (risk-based) audits where you actually have to call the gover
950.
by theptip 3y ago
Clearing out fuel/undergrowth is a very different activity than logging trees. No money in the former.
951.
by theptip 3y ago
> Of course the optimal amount of fraud for a business is zero. Only if the business doesn’t have to pay to avert fraud. > A world with zero fraud would be optimal for them. You are misunderstanding the statement. We are not imagining
952.
by theptip 3y ago
Yeah the hard case to solve is “prove it’s still <ID principal> that is generating the challenge”. With GenAI I wonder if images will be considered valid ID for long. “Generate a new video of face with camera pan” is currently hard (n
953.
by theptip 3y ago
My thoughts exactly. If the state wants to ensure that ID checks are rigorous (or otherwise monopolize them) they can provide an attestation API for that purpose, and legislate that only tokens signed by a cert trusted by the government’s r
954.
by theptip 3y ago
I've been pondering this recently; I think there are some really fun applications of LLMs to game dev that have not yet been explored. Going back to the original AI Dungeon (text-based adventure game, fully-generated by LLM), it was a
955.
by theptip 3y ago
This is bad, but the right way to fix it is by taxing empty flights or better CO2 emissions per-flight, not by targeting the proxy metric of “flights from this one airport”. Would the mega-rich pay extra if they needed to? Sure. At the marg
956.
by theptip 3y ago
Handguns must be stored in a locker at the shooting range, I believe. You’re not allowed to take them home. Farmers can keep a shotgun for pest control, so it’s not a total ban on all home ownership of guns. But there is not seemed to be an
957.
by theptip 3y ago
The direction of travel relative to jail is the opposite though.
958.
by theptip 3y ago
Quite the contrary, NYT is long adjacent to the levers of power, and “Big Tech” is unpopular with both parties. The public is generally wary of job destruction and other harms from AI, and doesn’t grok even the present value. It’s political
959.
by theptip 3y ago
My very high level wish is that immigration basically gave a free pass to anyone earning more than mean salary, since that by definition makes the nation wealthier. I think you can derive generic and robust definitions of “exceptional” like
960.
by theptip 3y ago
I played VII - X when they came out, X was pretty bad. None since VII had any content worth powering through for; if you don’t dig it, I wouldn’t recommend it. (Doubly so because JRPGs are extremely grindy and the opposite of time-efficient

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