skmurphy

37 ms·

511.
Father's Day(residentcontrarian.substack.com)
2 points by skmurphy 5y ago|1 comments
512.
by skmurphy 5y ago
key grafs Because we have not allowed our population to grow commensurately with our post-1970 boom, we have forced price to do the work of balancing demand and supply. Instead of building all the houses and apartments we need, the existing
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To solve affordability crisis, Bay Area housing stock must grow 50% in 20 years(sfexaminer.com)
8 points by skmurphy 5y ago|1 comments
514.
by skmurphy 5y ago
Tom Wolfe wrote “The Tinkering’s of Robert Noyce” http://web.stanford.edu/class/e140/e140a/content/noyce.html (discussion at https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8133479 ) about the foun
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by skmurphy 5y ago
I think the analysis is deeply flawed because classic Risk 3:2 odds favor the attacker see http://diceroll.stritar.net/risk.html Attacker wins: 2890 (37.17%) Tie: 2611 (33.58%) Defender wins: 2275 (29.26%) out of a total of
516.
by skmurphy 5y ago
I think his argument is that weak ties (counter-parties you have some connection with but not a deep one) are not inclined to punish you (increasing your bad luck) as much as are disinclined to give you the benefit of the doubt. I think luc
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by skmurphy 5y ago
It's one thing to play catch up and invest against a technology tree that has already been mapped by more advanced competitors. It's quite another to have to fund exploration. Governments have not proven adept at funding technolog
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by skmurphy 5y ago
The article was from October 2020 so this looks more like someone being facetious.
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by skmurphy 5y ago
The article was from October of 2020 so it's more likely the article influenced a talk given last week than vice versa.
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by skmurphy 5y ago
my take: 1. It's an assertion. I think a punctuated equilibrium model is a reasonable argument looking at the last 250 years or so of technology progress but I agree he does not present data. 2. I understood this to mean that a breakth
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by skmurphy 5y ago
Upside decay is Lui's term for lower odds rare but useful events combining to create a "lucky break." The outer edge of their upside shrinks. He makes these key points: 1. Upside decay is hard to spot. It’s invisible if we’re
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Upside decay (2020)(brianlui.dog)
61 points by skmurphy 5y ago|30 comments
523.
by skmurphy 5y ago
Key points: Upside decay means that an organization doesn’t get any lucky breaks. Upside decay is hard to spot. It’s invisible if we’re not specifically looking for it, because the absence of rare positive events is unexceptional. Upside de
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Upside Decay(brianlui.dog)
2 points by skmurphy 5y ago|1 comments
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by skmurphy 5y ago
I find the definition of a decision as "the irrevocable commitment of resources" to be very useful. Plans may be made in advance of a meeting but until resources are committed and behavior/processes changes there may be a pro
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by skmurphy 5y ago
In general, decisions that actually stick--where multiple points of view are explored in real time--only get made in meetings. Announcing a decision in an email without a conversation rarely works out well unless there has been a thorough d
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by skmurphy 6y ago
Then you should consider writing two tools: 1. A detailed audit and change control / diff tool for Excel Here are some alternatives: https://www.spreadsheetdetective.com/ https://www.themodelanswer.com/
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by skmurphy 6y ago
You may not like Excel but most people who "NEED A QUICK ANALYSIS FOR YOUR BUSINESS" (to quote your copy from https://www.jigdev.com ) rely on it. I think you have a solution in search of problem. Showing it to more peo
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by skmurphy 6y ago
re: "I rate lowly on empathy scoring tests on the Internet" I think the key is to ask questions from a caring perspective. Don't disguise advice as a question, but focus on helping the other person get clarity on their situat
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by skmurphy 6y ago
The pattern match of career to Eurogame strikes me as deeply flawed. You can have a long time horizon at 70 and plant trees whose shade you will not sit under. Ends become means and the board resets every few years (3-5 in a fast moving ind
531.
by skmurphy 6y ago
Water expands about 9% when it freezes. It's not a question of pressure relief, it's a question of the pipe bursting in multiple locations as it freezes end to end if you have lost heat in the house. The pipes don't leak unti
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by skmurphy 6y ago
If a product is used in very complex environments and has a rich set of options then a conversation is needed to be able to offer a quote. If no price is quoted on the website it's probably safe to assume minimum pricing is above $10,0
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by skmurphy 6y ago
Very disappointed. It's just a mechanism to collect emails.
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by skmurphy 6y ago
Thought provoking article with a number of good insights. Here are four key quotes: + At any point in time, you can lose all of those investments when consumers start exercising their GDPR, CCPA, or LGPD rights. + These and similar comprehe
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by skmurphy 6y ago
Human psychology
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by skmurphy 6y ago
Thanks for reaching out I am glad we were able to close the loop on this.
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by skmurphy 6y ago
This is a complex question. Pricing is how you capture the value that your product creates for your customers. Probably the best book on pricing is Thomas Nagle's "Strategy and Tactics of Pricing Profitably. https://www
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by skmurphy 6y ago
From their analysis Definition -- The 16:8 protocol is a type of intermittent fasting (known as time-restricted eating in the scientific literature) that involves abstaining from calories for 16 hours of the day, and then eating within an 8
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Intermitent Fasting – 16:8 a review of evidence from 14 scientific papers(examine.com)
8 points by skmurphy 6y ago|1 comments
540.
by skmurphy 6y ago
based on https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S01918... key conclusion from paper The findings highlight the importance of understanding, conceptualizing, and empirically testing tendenc

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