3 ms·
I think the analysis is deeply flawed because classic Risk 3:2 odds favor the attacker see http://diceroll.stritar.net/risk.html http://diceroll.stritar.net/ris
by skmurphy 5y ago
I think the analysis is deeply flawed because classic Risk 3:2 odds favor the attacker see http://diceroll.stritar.net/risk.html http://diceroll.stritar.net/risk.html
Attacker wins: 2890 (37.17%)
Tie: 2611 (33.58%)
Defender wins: 2275 (29.26%)
out of a total of 7776 for 5 dice rolled (3 on 2)
On average defender loses 1.08 armies and attacker loses .92 for a 0.16 defender deficit per attack. When two large groups face each other (e.g. 20 on 20 or more) it's much better to be the attacker.