nroets

20 ms·

241.
by nroets 7y ago
Some of the models assume the effect of a lockdown was immediate.[1] The reality is that retail declined before the lockdown. So this data will help tremendously. It even shows the panic buying buying before the lockdown in South Africa. [1
242.
by nroets 7y ago
Suppose Alice is permanently at home with only one caregiver. The system should never tell Alice that she has been in contact with a virus carrier because that will imply that the caregiver tested positive. Instead, the system should rather
243.
by nroets 7y ago
"The app can then compare its list with the list on the server". So the comparison takes place on each individual's phone ? To do this without leaking privacy, each phone will need to receive all the ids on the server i.e. al
244.
by nroets 7y ago
The virus will kill 2 million in the US if nothing is done and only 100k with shutdowns.[1] But note that we may need 400 days of shutdowns over a 2 year period. [2] Economies with good human capital recover after disaster, like the Japan a
245.
by nroets 7y ago
The producers should tell the financial community "We're destroying value by continuing to pump. We're essentially bankrupt at these prices." Then convert all their debt into equity at $0.000001 per share. Then go into c
246.
by nroets 7y ago
Let me rephrase it: If governments does nothing, 1 out of 200 people will die. This study expects 510,000 people to die in the UK (depending on the R0 value) and 2200000 in the US. That's 1 in 135. https://www.imperial.ac.uk
247.
by nroets 7y ago
Here is one calculation that estimates the Equal Value Life Year Gained as 15 years. Then, if we do nothing to mitigate the pandemic and 1 out of 200 people die, then the average person looses 27 days. https://www.forbes.com&#x2F
248.
by nroets 7y ago
Native Americans arrived less than 80,000 years ago. That's a blink of an eye in evolutionary terms. They were not the natural predators.
249.
by nroets 7y ago
And many Covid infections went undetected. So it doesn't disprove the hypothesis that the average person who gets it has a 1 % chance of dying.
250.
by nroets 7y ago
And how does it compare to deaths related to automobile accidents ?
251.
by nroets 7y ago
How much will life expectancy be reduced if the disease just runs it's course ? (or if we don't enforce a lockdown) ?
252.
by nroets 7y ago
Maybe it's not due social distancing, but the economic uncertainty.
253.
by nroets 7y ago
People who don't want any money often provide the best service (and in this case will most likely also have the lowest likelihood of carrying the virus).
254.
by nroets 7y ago
Wouldn't it then make sense to have camps where young, healthy adults can go to get immunity by intentionally getting infected and recover ? Then they can go back to having normal lives. The epidemiology version of a controlled burn. I
255.
by nroets 7y ago
Until the people slip up and use the same pad twice https://www.theregister.co.uk/2018/07/19/russia_one_time_pad...
256.
by nroets 7y ago
Perhaps Buffett sees that bold action is needed to optimize profits e.g. cutting jobs or asset stripping. He definitely doesn't have have time to be make these bold decisions. And he may not want to cloud his reputation by being in con
257.
by nroets 7y ago
Up this. Many people from Africa want to go to Canada: https://m.news24.com/SouthAfrica/News/sa-cant-force-refugees...
258.
by nroets 7y ago
I upvoted, but I found that it's a bit different from what you describe: It's a technique to stop obsessing about the past and the future. For example, many people are so focused on planning for the future that it's unhealthy
259.
by nroets 7y ago
Take a moment and consider the quest to find the fastest multiplication algorithm. For millennia, we used the classical method. (Shift and add. 3 lines of pseudo code) Then, along came Fast Fourier Transform based algorithms.
260.
by nroets 7y ago
Personally I don't have a problem with ads: They have subsidized many cool things over the years. Newspapers is one. Open source software written or supported by Google is another. I'm personally also ok with tracking provided the
261.
by nroets 7y ago
Yes, personally I dual boot Ubuntu and Windows. But the problem is that many organizations I deal with are reinforcing Microsoft dominance by e.g. emailing me PDFs that only Acroread can open. If I want to fight these issues, I may need to
262.
by nroets 7y ago
Microsoft had the dominant consumer operating system since the 1980s. Using that advantage (and not innovation and quality !) they were able to grab substantial chunks of other markets: Word processing, commercial compilers, cloud computing
263.
by nroets 7y ago
Are there any TLDs where the management are elected by the domain holders ? The real world analogy I can think is HOA where the association (body corporate) is run by trustees/directors who are elected by the property owners. The assoc
264.
by nroets 7y ago
How does the current system work ? AFAIK, the police chief looks at various data sources like heat maps and police reports. He will have an incentive organize patrols to protect the politically connected and their property. Then his job is
265.
by nroets 7y ago
The alternative to a rule driven machine is human decision makers whose emotions will play a role, sooner or later. (Prejudice and favouritism is just two emotions that are bad in this case) With a rule driven machine, the rules and be revi
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by nroets 7y ago
"You can test it yourself" : If you die, just make sure to leave a bad review on Alibaba. Do your bit to prevent survivor bias.
267.
by nroets 7y ago
BitCoin was mentioned at nearly every party at the end of 2017. Google Trends showed massive growth in the search term. Many unsophisticated investors poured money in solely based on past performance. It was not a single whale. It had all t
268.
by nroets 7y ago
There are many barriers to fire people in the EU. Not just laws but also reputational risk to the managers doing the firing. In fact, the EU is over regulated as a rule and discourages risk taking. For example GDPR compliance cost. Also, th
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by nroets 7y ago
Until StarLink has proper coverage.
270.
by nroets 7y ago
Even if nuclear technology provides all US electricity within "5-7 years", gasoline will still be needed to power the majority of US vehicles and aircraft. It will be hard for Americans to stay at home some vacations, to build den

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