jdewerd

13 ms·

121.
by jdewerd 3y ago
I was hoping for at least 190% earnest.
122.
by jdewerd 3y ago
My parents infected me with the same disease -- an intense conviction in the nobility and virtue of individual hard work -- and it led me to a terrible place, the physical sciences, where I received a harsh lesson in the nature of capitalis
123.
by jdewerd 3y ago
> AMD diverged their GPU architecture development into separate CDNA and RDNA lines specialized for compute and graphics respectively. Ooooh, is that why the consumer cards don't do compute? Yikes, I was hoping that was just a bit o
124.
by jdewerd 3y ago
He ran for office. Are you saying he also went around denying climate change and screaming about vaccine microchips? I don't see that part. Am I missing something? Or did you make that up?
125.
by jdewerd 3y ago
> The 3-step plan you just outlined Speak for yourself. > (1)... Holy shit your fevered imagination came up with a bad plan. But they are your words, not mine. Your plan, not mine. You should reflect on that. There's nothing ins
126.
by jdewerd 3y ago
"I spent 1 word giving lip service to side A and the rest of my post scolding side B. I am very fair and balanced." I admit, I could be wrong. Maybe if I go through your history I'll see attention paid to the prior rounds of
127.
by jdewerd 3y ago
40 years of pressure-cooker zoning: not class warfare. Blatant tax advantages for capital: not class warfare. Reporting tax cheats: class warfare. Oh no! (Clutches heart dramatically.) How detramental to social cohesion! We must do somethi
128.
by jdewerd 3y ago
The system is run by the rich, for the rich. The unfair advantage is the entire point . You will run face-first into a titanic wall of money if you try to deprive capital of the various rent-seeking advantages it grants itself. Sometimes n
129.
by jdewerd 3y ago
One pays deadweight loss, the other receives deadweight loss. If they are literal neighbors, they are not metaphorical neighbors.
130.
by jdewerd 3y ago
I'm not keen to report my neighbor, but my landlord is not my neighbor. They could hardly be more not my neighbor if they tried. When my rent skyrockets amid lots of vacant new construction (I'm not in CA, we're actually
131.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Tesla has simulations too, of course. Thing is, the world has fractal complexity and synthetic data only captures the variation that you tell it about. Simulations for synthetic data generation are literally my job -- this is where my intui
132.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Maybe, but I think that feedback and training data from supervised driving will continue to propel Tesla along the march of 9s until FSD has genuine superhuman performance. Of course, there is only one way to find out. Time will tell.
133.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Safety-driver miles are more useful for training. Driverless miles are more useful for proving. Like I said, different paths: remove the human then expand scope vs expand scope and then remove the human. Waymo is undeniably further along pa
134.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Of course. I feel the same way. Nobody is asking us to behave differently.
135.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Tesla's data isn't just more volumnious than Waymo's, it's also higher quality. Macrodiversity is important. LiDAR isn't. Scene reconstruction got good in the last few years, and that's what LiDAR was competing
136.
by jdewerd 3y ago
DRIVE PILOT is ready to chauffeur you under conditions that help ensure a secure ride. Conditions include: Clear lane markings on approved freeways Moderate to heavy traffic with speeds under 40 MPH Daytime lighting and
137.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Do you think it isn't? I'm not here to argue that the overly enthusiastic timetables weren't cringe. They definitely were. I'm just here because there seems to be consensus that FSD is doomed and it doesn't remotely
138.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Should you remove the human and then expand scope (Waymo)? Or expand the scope and then remove the human (Tesla)? I dunno. I personally think the Tesla approach is fundamentally better because it obtains more data, faster. Millions of miles
139.
by jdewerd 3y ago
ChatGPT intentionally plows through low-confidence scenarios. It just tries to do its best because "I dunno" is reliably low-utility while a hallucination doesn't gamble lives. It errs on the side of hallucination by design
140.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Their existing system is pretty strong evidence that it was in fact a model training problem -- do you mean to say that you think training will stall out before it gets to the point of being viable?
141.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Why would they want to abandon FSD? I look up videos whenever these threads come out and over the last few years it seems to have made astonishing progress. 2 million miles per day of FSD driving is impressive. The resulting training data f
142.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Sure, a few brief points. 1: Remember that 3BP had to break the speed of light (among other things) to make the story work. A first strike is a huge gamble, you have to make sure your shot in the dark kills the monster rather than makes it
143.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Right, and while I'm no expert in this field I vaguely recall some proposals that consciousness / self-awareness fell out of planning and the need for a representation of your future / hypothetical self in those plans. If s
144.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Right, but the engineering output exists... in the google graveyard.
145.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Yeah. Back when machine architectures were churning so fast that compiler flexibility allowed portability that otherwise wouldn't have happened, UB freedom was a net good. Now that those arbitrary architecture choices have stabilized,
146.
by jdewerd 3y ago
If Big Tobacco is full of spooky masterminds, why were we able to virtually eliminate smoking in the USA?
147.
by jdewerd 3y ago
Yeah, it's a shame they've been audience captured. At the beginning they leaned a bit to the rosy side, clearly glossing over visible negatives. Somewhere around when they left and were able to speak about good and bad but hadn&#x
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by jdewerd 3y ago
It was never worth it to retool for decades ? Or was there a pathological lock-in between suppliers and manufacturers that prevented even the most obvious innovations from happening if they required any amount of coordination?
149.
by jdewerd 3y ago
12 Volts is 12 Watts per Amp. 48 Volts is 48 Watts per Amp.