edouard-harris

8 ms·

31.
by edouard-harris 3y ago
There's a hidden advantage to writing like this. It comes up when, e.g., you're communicating on a controversial topic in a forum like Twitter with a history of forming mobs against folks who communicate on controversial topics. S
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by edouard-harris 3y ago
> The entire purpose of starting a company is to get acquired. Certainly not in terms of expectation value. Most of the value of a startup at any given funding round is driven by the possibility of a public listing. This is true even th
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by edouard-harris 3y ago
This is the correct take. As the cost to do a bad thing decreases, the amount of political will society needs to exert to do that bad thing decreases as well. In fact, if that cost gets low enough, eventually society needs to start exerting
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by edouard-harris 3y ago
I've heard the licenses Meta releases its AI models under described as "open access", to differentiate them from the stricter "open source" definition.
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by edouard-harris 3y ago
If Steve Jobs had sold paint.
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by edouard-harris 3y ago
While the trend they're highlighting is absolutely real, it looks like the math in their first example isn't quite right: > For example, Carrefour said a bottle of sugar-free peach-flavored Lipton Ice Tea, produced by PepsiCo,
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by edouard-harris 3y ago
Agree with you on the cultural events, but the NYC subway is definitely dirty compared to the systems of the two other cities I've lived in (Toronto and London). I was mostly in LIC and Manhattan though. Maybe it's not so dirty in
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UK PM meeting with leading CEOs in AI(gov.uk)
3 points by edouard-harris 3y ago|1 comments
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by edouard-harris 3y ago
In practice, the real number is probably closer to 36% than to 65% (and likely even lower). Here's the problem: the article doesn't account for the capacity factors of the various new installed sources they mention [1]. A capacity
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by edouard-harris 3y ago
Hey — you're quite correct and I appreciate this feedback. Thank you.
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by edouard-harris 3y ago
I just tested GPT-4 on the Winograd schemas below, which I made up and (as far as I know) are novel. It scored 3/4, incorrectly answering "the pouch" instead of "the baby kangaroo" for Question 2 of Schema 1. And no
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
https://www.aitracker.org/ is good for a general audience, but doesn't go into as much details as some of the more research-oriented roundups.
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
> I've more often heard of the opposite problem. Yeah, my guess is this is the more common case for a randomly selected startup. But I suspect Casey doesn't advise a randomly selected sample of startups.
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
I mean, even if that is exactly what "x-risk research" turns out to be, surely even that's preferable to a catastrophic alternative, no? And by extension, isn't it also preferable to, say, a mere 10% chance of a catast
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On Breaking In(eharr.is)
1 points by edouard-harris 4y ago|0 comments
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
> Meanwhile while their first engineering hire, the person who probably wrote half the damn code for years, gets < 1% of the equity and none of the glory. For whatever it's worth, market comp for Engineer #1 equity is significant
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
As one more data point: I've angel-invested in a couple of Nigerian startups, and I can confirm this tracks with the black-market rates my portcos are seeing over there. The divergence (between official and actual forex rates for NGN&#
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
> Remember Alamada wasn’t a normal customer. It was acting as a market maker/counterparty of last resort to many other FTX customers. In that case there could be situations where ‘normal customer liquidation rules’ shouldn’t apply T
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The Story of VaccinateCA(worksinprogress.co)
16 points by edouard-harris 4y ago|0 comments
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
While it's true he's saying that founders can create a lot of value without employees, he's certainly not suggesting employees don't also create value. Obviously they do, or founders wouldn't hire anyone. > if yo
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
It's worth noting that at least one startup (Adept AI) is literally building exactly this as a full end-to-end system. See: https://www.adept.ai/act
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
> For what it's worth, Searle is a naturalist (so he thinks brains are "just" meaty machines) and he would also disagree with you. I definitely disagree that Searle's conclusion in the Chinese room experiment applies
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
> I'm a substance dualist so I'm admittedly a bit biased Thanks, I appreciate you pointing this out. Given that's the case, it might not actually be possible to reconcile our two views and we can just agree to disagree. (I
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
Can you give a concrete example of an output ChatGPT could give — or an experiment one could run on it — that would persuade you that it's intelligent? (For whatever definition of "intelligent" you prefer.) If you can&#x27
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
Yeah, in any given instance, "nothing happens" is true more likely than not. On the other hand, this is equally true in a game of Russian roulette. In both cases, "nothing ever happens" is not necessarily the right les
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
That seems a bit unfair. Every successful founder is irrationally optimistic about their own business — that's partly how they became successful in the first place. It doesn't seem at all unlikely that Zuck, Lütke, the Collisons,
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
Indeed. And in this case, it was from one day to the next.
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
Yep. This is the same strategy Instagram used a few years ago in copying Snapchat's Stories format, and likely has the same goal. The idea is not that Instagram can take back TikTok's audience — those users are well and truly lost
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POWERplay: A toolchain to study AI power-seeking(github.com)
1 points by edouard-harris 4y ago|0 comments
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by edouard-harris 4y ago
> It's basically been disproven at this point that simply lowering cost does not necessarily lead to better outcomes for the country. After untangling the double-negative, this is equivalent to saying: "It's basically been

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