bumby

40 ms·

751.
by bumby 2y ago
Is your point that student loan debt is flowing to the administrators of higher education and making it's way back to the economy to push up home prices? If so, it's an interesting hypothesis, but there's a few questions like
752.
by bumby 2y ago
I think what you're referencing is just a change in social norms. The lowest rate (according to BLS data) is 35-44 year olds and they are still spending > 2 hours per day just watching TV. In an era where groceries can get deliver
753.
by bumby 2y ago
It's not irrelevant if housing size is a driver of cost. Material is still one of the primary costs, generally above labor. But again, in more rare areas like SV, that general rule is distorted which is why it's not a good compari
754.
by bumby 2y ago
Do you know of anyone who took out student loans to buy a home? Presumably, the OP was saying that debt was already spent on something non-fungible (like education). By most examples, that money is spent by the time a student graduates.
755.
by bumby 2y ago
> a house that cost $80k in 2012, that exact same house now costs $360k in 2024 I think this is making a similar mistake in sampling. Your baseline is a price that still hadn't recovered from the housing market crash of 2008-2010.
756.
by bumby 2y ago
Now do it adjusted for housing size. Part of my point is that we want much much larger houses on average now than in the past, which skews the comparison. If the average car was a manual hatchback 40 years ago and now the average is a huge
757.
by bumby 2y ago
All I’m saying is that the degree is unique. By and large, home prices have went up in other parts of the country but not by 10x like implied by the author. Once you strip away the preference piece (ie, measure by $/sqft rather than ab
758.
by bumby 2y ago
I think it’s a bad comparison. The author cherry picks the SV area which is not indicative of the country as a whole. (And it goes without saying that the explosion of tech in the area coincides with the decades being compared). The author
759.
by bumby 2y ago
I meant moreso the “betterment of the human condition” than the Mars mission specifically. I believe Bezos has said he’s not in favor of an approach to colonize another planet. My issue is that each of those steps can also be cast as a path
760.
by bumby 2y ago
Do you extend the same generous interpretations to the other space-faring company owners like Bezos, Branson, Bigelow etc. or is this unique to Musk?
761.
by bumby 2y ago
I think it depends on what is being audited. My issue with the Mars claim is that it really doesn’t pass the smell test for me. Practically any use case for Mars ignores a better mitigation on Earth. So it comes across to me as one of those
762.
by bumby 2y ago
I would actually disagree with how genuine those ambitions are. I personally think they are more PR-gloss than actual business plan.
763.
by bumby 2y ago
> I don't know why he'd lie on this particular topic. IMO, it makes for a good story and narrative that plays extremely well for PR purposes. There's just so many holes in the idea of executing that plan that I don't
764.
by bumby 2y ago
> Does it matter, no. I think the OP may be a bit strong in their language, but I think your quote borders on cult-of-personality. Can you name a business where delivering on promises does not matter? To take it back to the featured art
765.
by bumby 2y ago
Understanding people's incentives is extremely important if you want to understand their behavior. As Charlie Munger once said, "Show me the incentives and I will show you the outcome." Based on your replies, you seem to thin
766.
by bumby 2y ago
Do you take politicians at their word? Car salesmen? If not, it’s because we recognize people have many different incentives than they publicly display.
767.
by bumby 2y ago
Since you assume he doesn’t want to prioritize profit, what do you think he is prioritizing?
768.
by bumby 2y ago
What went into your decision to drop out? Good on you too not wrap your identity too much in a credential to allow yourself that decision and also having unconditional support from those close to you.
769.
by bumby 2y ago
I don't know it's origination, but I suspect the 6+6 was probably a result of having the ability to split operations of a 24 hour day into even crews (not much different than the civilian 8 hour allowing factory work to be split i
770.
by bumby 2y ago
A sleep cycle is roughly 90 minutes. Is there evidence that ~5 continuous cycles is any better/worse than 5 non-continuous ones?
771.
by bumby 2y ago
It's my understanding that our ideas of eight hours of continuous sleep window may be an artifact of the industrial revolution and electrification. Meaning it may not be ideal for us, but just the assumption that we've become accu
772.
by bumby 2y ago
Many of those you mentioned are still part of the goal of getting a human on the moon. That's like saying Starliner's Demo flights don't count as human-rated because they were uncrewed. About a one third to one half of NASA&#
773.
by bumby 2y ago
Anecdotal personal experience in safety-critical design: A team was tasked with modernizing their multi-million dollar decades old test stand. The entire time they were cursing previous engineers for their lack of documentation that made re
774.
by bumby 2y ago
To a certain extent, this functioned exactly as how the Commercial Crew Program was intended. There were NASA engineers raising concerns with both SpaceX and Boeing and they would periodically be told to basically stand down because it wasn
775.
by bumby 2y ago
But it’s now spread across many, many more missions. People sometimes forget that human exploration is just one of multiple directorates within NASA.
776.
by bumby 2y ago
> with many of the systems in the doghouse missing and the insulation taken off. I'm curious where you're getting this? I've read speculation, but I've never seen any authoritative source claim the test hardware conf
777.
by bumby 2y ago
I don't think this is good logic without more information about the actual calculation of risk. It should come down to who can accurately measure the risk and whether that risk is acceptable. People can roll the dice on low probability
778.
by bumby 2y ago
Is there data on how stable personality assessments are? I've heard they tend to change depending on one's mood or circumstances. I can also imagine some people are really good at displaying the traits they think someone wants onl
779.
by bumby 2y ago
> Certain traits, like conscientiousness and agreeableness, are generally seen as universally positive It's my understanding that agreeableness isn't universally positive. Think about if you had an airline quality engineer who
780.
by bumby 2y ago
I've not made any claims that science is the only path to truth. But we are talking in the context of scientific domains of physics and cosmology, so using science as a benchmark is probably apt. If you want to discuss philosophy, that

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