bumby

66 ms·

781.
by bumby 2y ago
> you selected a metric that you thought was favorable to yourself Please point to where I first used forum upvotes as a useful metric.
782.
by bumby 2y ago
What you’re missing is there is not a debate about your point. The debate is about whether it adds anything to the discussion. Saying “the sky is up” and having people respond by telling you that is a trivial point shouldn’t be conflated wi
783.
by bumby 2y ago
If internet points are how you’re measuring the validity of a point, there’s all kinds of things going wrong. Again, people pushing back doesn’t mean you’re fostering fruitful debate anymore than flat-earthers are generating debate “with co
784.
by bumby 2y ago
I don't think anyone is claiming that science isn't biased because it's conducted by humans. Just like I don't think anyone is really claiming that the OP is incorrect in their statement. The comments I've read are
785.
by bumby 2y ago
What makes you think I have a strong reaction? > What I wrote needed to be said There are apparently plenty of people who disagree (myself included) based on the comments. I think the reaction you're getting is because it's no
786.
by bumby 2y ago
If you are trying to make a scientific argument, you should bring data since that's the cornerstone of science. You seem to be implying that people treat these models as gospel. I suspect most of those who are deep enough in the field
787.
by bumby 2y ago
> but it does mean we should refrain from assuming it must be true just because nobody can find anything better. The vast majority of science is not disproving a theory but adding nuance to it. Newtonian physics wasn't disproven by
788.
by bumby 2y ago
Avionics software has a much more stringent and regulated software process (and pilots still there just in case). Are you advocating the same for cars?
789.
by bumby 2y ago
> Where the company owns the store that is what the top manager makes This seems to be the minority of instances, though. For example, I looked up McDonalds numbers in 2021 and only about 5% are company owned, with the rest being franch
790.
by bumby 2y ago
It's of course up for debate, but one of the general assessments is that the resentment caused by the Treaty of Versailles gave fertile ground for the rise of the Nazi party. It's hard to see how unconditional surrender would have
791.
by bumby 2y ago
Does each store have multiple managers like that or is this equivalent to someone who manages a region of stores? I've worked fast-food in the past as a run-of-the-mill front line worker and wasn't aware of such a position (althou
792.
by bumby 2y ago
> I think that the top manager at each store is making $200k, and the top 4 are over $150k Curious what this range is based on? According to ~3.8k self-reported salaries from Glassdoor, the McD manager salary ranges from $37k-$64k with
793.
by bumby 2y ago
> but we do know it will cross a line two thirds of the way down the block sometime before the human reaches the end of the block. I'm trying to be careful here because I don't want to come across as if I'm against invest
794.
by bumby 2y ago
This is a great explanation, thank you. If I'm reading that chart correctly, out to 2060 or so, the uncertainty is high enough that both high and low temperature change scenarios overlap, but the overall risk is still moderate to high,
795.
by bumby 2y ago
But the uncertainty in the dog analogy is the length of the leash. If we don't know the length of the leash, we can know the general directionality but can't make very strong conclusions about where the dog will be, right? I don&#
796.
by bumby 2y ago
> there is some uncertainty around the edges. I'm not a climate scientist so take this in the curious vein that it is intended, but do we know that the uncertainty is only around the "edges"? From what I know about weathe
797.
by bumby 2y ago
There's definitely some research around "hyperbolic discounting" and "dynamic/time inconsistency" that would disagree with this conclusion. There are many examples where we prefer a lesser short term payoff.
798.
by bumby 2y ago
Adding to this, even knowing the subconscious biases doesn't necessarily mitigate them. Kahneman talked about how he was still subjected to such biases, even though he was an expert in studying and identifying them.
799.
by bumby 2y ago
I thought it was the 6th amendment: "the accused shall enjoy the right to a speedy and public trial..."
800.
by bumby 2y ago
If they are ordered by severity, with the most severe coming just before lunch, the implication is the harsher sentencing is due to the ordering rather than the hunger pangs of the judge. Ie the hunger thesis is a spurious correlation.
801.
by bumby 2y ago
That’s good point. The authors of the original papers the “hungry judge” idea also did work on what they call “priming” which would include what you suggest. I don’t know if that has been replicated though.
802.
by bumby 2y ago
Yes, in the words of the linked paper it injects exogenous decision making. In other words, the decision is based on more than just the judge so we can’t conclude the discrepancy is due to the judge’s personal bias.
803.
by bumby 2y ago
I believe the original studies were shown to be faulty because they didn’t account for the fact that the cases were ordered. Less severe cases were seen first, which meant the more severe cases (ie those with more severe penalties) were sho
804.
by bumby 2y ago
> Ammonia has lower heat capacity You’re probably confusing gaseous ammonia, but the GGP said “of all liquids.” Liquid ammonia has a higher heat capacity than liquid water. Refrigeration is just an engineering application of the heat ca
805.
by bumby 2y ago
> If that were the case and employees were compensated equally in stock vs cash, then yes there is no _rational_ difference. Even if this assumes an equal net present value, wouldn't the volatility of stock vs. cash make a very rat
806.
by bumby 2y ago
Snark aside, replication is a cornerstone of science. If someone doesn't want to be involved in science because they think it's soul-crushing, perhaps academia isn't the right place for them.
807.
by bumby 2y ago
I agree that in an idealized way, this would be much better. But what do you do about going through all this process and ending up with a bad reviewer?* In those cases, how would you handle re-submitting to a different journal without looki
808.
by bumby 2y ago
> “replication crisis” were small-effect-size social science experiments that fundamentally weren’t that important outside of popular science news. I don't know that this is accurate. Some of these make their way to large-scale pub
809.
by bumby 2y ago
Yes, statistical insignificance doesn't "prove" the null hypothesis, it just fails to reject it. It's a subtle, but sometime misunderstood distinction. It's a measure of how big the effect size is and how often you&
810.
by bumby 2y ago
> why should PhD students do that work? I think there is some reasonable argument that replicating research is the first step to learning how to do good research on your own. In an ideal world, PhD students should probably be trying to

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