birken

17 ms·

121.
by birken 6y ago
Woodworkers also commonly use argon, most often via the product "Bloxygen" which is just canned argon. I've used displacement, vacuum sealing, CO2 via my breath and argon. Argon works the best and is the easiest.
122.
by birken 6y ago
There is an extremely large difference between taking an approved (with emergency authorization) vaccine and joining a research study where you could be getting a different vaccine at earlier stages of approval or potentially a placebo. J
123.
by birken 6y ago
What about all the extra work every departing employee (either voluntarily or not) has to do in the 90 days after they leave to decide whether or not they want to exercise their options, and if so be forced to spend and risk potentially lot
124.
by birken 6y ago
It is a question of opportunity cost. If you are studying openings at the expense of doing tactical puzzles and sharpening your tactics, it is not the most efficient use of your time at the 1200 level. If you have a 1200 level tactics skil
125.
by birken 6y ago
On the flip side, every NBA player who has won league MVP in the lottery era (>1985) was drafted in the first 15 picks. Steph Curry of course has won MVP twice and was drafted behind the 6 players you mention, but then he was drafted ne
126.
by birken 6y ago
I'm not a virus expert, but my understanding is this type of virus is very unlikely to mutate in a way where the vaccine will not work against it, and it is going to become endemic regardless of what we do. So I don't think eithe
127.
by birken 6y ago
Children are low on the priority list because they get severe symptoms at a much, much lower rate than adults and especially older adults. And the schools are not closed right now because of the fear that younger children are going to get t
128.
by birken 6y ago
Well if you founded a company then you should probably go with your instincts on what is good advice and what isn't. A random angel investor knows far less about your company than you do, no matter how successful their company was.
129.
by birken 6y ago
A very good post, but angel investors can also give you terrible, terrible advice that you should completely ignore. If you are founding a company, take the good advice, sure, but ignore the bad advice. Don't just assume because some
130.
by birken 6y ago
And also, I love Google, and I love Apple, but once upon a time, unbeknownst to me, my salary at Google was being artificially restricted due to illegal collusion with Apple, among other companies. Just because these companies have built am
131.
by birken 6y ago
The way to detect an obvious cheater is when somebody rated like 300-400+ rating points below you, a matchup which generally only occurs in tournaments or the like (normally you wouldn't be paired down to such a large extent), plays in
132.
by birken 6y ago
This is correct. I've played many thousands of games online and have run into obvious cheaters fewer than 5 times, and in those cases it is obviously obvious. If somebody is cheating so stealthily, why do I care? Their rating will re
133.
by birken 6y ago
Not to mention that 538 gave Biden a ~90% chance to win right before the election, whereas betting markets gave Biden a ~60-65% chance to win. So if you go by the most important metric of what was trying to be predicted, 538 was far more ac
134.
by birken 6y ago
That quirk is true on PredictIt, but currently on Betfair there is a very liquid market with millions of dollars on both sides where the implied odds are roughly 95% for Biden and 5% for Trump. Now, betting markets do have the problem where
135.
by birken 6y ago
Betting markets currently give Trump a 10% chance of winning this election. On election night, most betting markets had Trump a severe favorite (75-80% in many places), which in retrospect seems severely mis-calibrated. This year betting
136.
by birken 6y ago
I do not understand the apocalyptic takes so many people have. The major problem SF has had for a long time is housing is too expensive. People leaving the city will help counter this, which is going to probably benefit the city in the lo
137.
by birken 6y ago
Here you go: https://danbirken.com/crib.jpg
138.
by birken 6y ago
I use the just-in-time method of building things. I was spending the time before he was born building the changing tables and dressers for all his clothing.
139.
by birken 6y ago
Yes, I fully understand the time problem. I put off building the crib until my son was 4 months old expecting to be able to finish it in 2-3 weeks. It took over 8 weeks and by the time it was done it was at least 1-2 weeks overdue. And a
140.
by birken 6y ago
I don't know your woodworking experience, but I don't think building a crib is dangerous at all. The safety standards are pretty straightforward and they are very clearly spelled out. And for me at least, no mass manufactured pi
141.
by birken 6y ago
Interesting enough, the mail-in ballot returns on a per-precinct basis were actually shockingly consistent, even over time, likely proving by this method that there wasn't any voter fraud. The thing is though, if you look at the retu
142.
by birken 6y ago
You are right. The author is assuming the premise that all mail in ballots go to some central location, get shuffled together and thus should have a uniform count. The mail in ballots actually go to local precincts which count them and re
143.
by birken 6y ago
> It was the high school with the highest average SAT score It also shouldn't be that surprising that a school with an SAT-like admission test would produce graduates who have incredibly high SAT scores. It is an admission process
144.
by birken 6y ago
Prop 65 was passed in 1986. Most Californians today didn't vote on it. So you really don't know what current Californians do or do not embrace.
145.
by birken 6y ago
They'll probably make electric versions of those vehicles? Is there any reason those types of vehicles must be gas powered?
146.
by birken 6y ago
Your link (0) doesn't rebut the seroprevalence studies at all. It is talking about T-cells, which is not what the CDC seroprevalence studies are measuring. The CDC is testing for SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies in blood. And look, if the
147.
by birken 6y ago
What do you think the numbers are? Why do the CDC's seroprevalence studies [1] consistently show the estimated case counts are much higher than the reported cases (6x in NYC area, 5x in Philly, 9x higher in South Florida)? Do you not t
148.
by birken 6y ago
FWIW, the # of actual COVID cases in the US population is better estimated at ~15% [1]. Only counting verified cases drastically undercounts, because testing has always been very constrained, and many people don't have severe symptoms
149.
by birken 6y ago
I wouldn't call the RCP piece "reporting", it is an op-ed where one of the authors works at a conservative think tank. Neither of the authors has written more than 2 pieces for RCP. And obviously as you point out, they are
150.
by birken 6y ago
They've talked about this issue a lot on TWIV [1], and apparently many of the most commonly used PCR machines do the maximum number of cycles on every sample and then test to see if the sample is positive or negative. So they couldn&#

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