argonaut

16 ms·

121.
by argonaut 6y ago
Unfortunately, it's difficult to conclude that children are the "key" to superspreading, because the study suffers from the same limitation as the South Korean study the media used to make the same claim. Which is that it&#x2
122.
by argonaut 6y ago
These studies are very tricky to interpret because there's no context for how bad these results are. How many healthy people have (presumably benign) cardiac abnormalities when you do a cardiac MRI? How many people who got a cold or fl
123.
by argonaut 6y ago
Antibody testing is getting tricky now, because antibodies are starting to fade, so unfortunately seroprevalence numbers will become underestimates with time. That being said, in one hard-hit area of Stockholm, seroprevalence was 19% ( http
124.
by argonaut 6y ago
Flipping a coin 10 times and seeing that there are 7 heads does not imply that the probability of tails has a ceiling of 30%.
125.
by argonaut 6y ago
> We know that almost no one has perfect pre-existing sterilizing immunity to the novel coronavirus, because we've seen highly-connected populations (homeless shelters, slums, boats, etc.) where almost everyone tested positive. We d
126.
by argonaut 6y ago
You seem to be under the mistaken impression that reductio ad absurdum is a fallacy. It isn't. It's a logical argument.
127.
by argonaut 6y ago
None of this is necessary for non-healthcare workers, since the virus will die off on a fabric mask in a few hours. 1) Not a single study has demonstrated that viable Sars-Cov-2 virus survives on porous materials in the real world 2) Even b
128.
by argonaut 6y ago
You're confusing a pure "free market" with "democracy." A democratically elected government can ban anything they want, as long as it is constitutional (and this clearly is). A democratically elected government can
129.
by argonaut 6y ago
Have you actually read the article? The study's methodology is super confusing and just plain doesn't make sense. From what I can decipher, they conflated obesity, diabetes, smoking, immune disorders, and several other factors all
130.
by argonaut 6y ago
The jury is still out on "economic failure." The evidence cited on the economy is thin at best. The main piece of evidence is that "Sweden’s central bank expects its economy to contract by 4.5 percent this year, a revision fr
131.
by argonaut 6y ago
People believe you can lock down to 0, then suppress further growth with test and trace, mask wearing, etc. This sounds perfectly fine but it has never been done before. So ironically it's not "backed by science" since there
132.
by argonaut 6y ago
No no no, this is a major misunderstanding, and it has contributed to a lot of public mistrust of public health authorities. Even though flatten the curve was largely believed by the media and the public in March to mean "mitigate Covi
133.
by argonaut 6y ago
Except in practice, the vast majority of Amex users also have Visa/Mastercard just in case (e.g. Visa/Mastercard users are close to a superset of Amex users).
134.
by argonaut 6y ago
The stats are all over the place. This report says Amex + Discover is ~11% of US purchase volume in 2019. https://nilsonreport.com/publication_chart_and_graphs_archiv...
135.
by argonaut 6y ago
I don't get it -- bringing up Amex and Discover is like bringing up Bing and DuckDuckGo when people talk about the Google monopoly.
136.
by argonaut 6y ago
My understanding is that retail trading volume is several orders of magnitude too low to be responsible for swings in most stocks (such as airline stocks), and certainly not the market as a whole. Random low volume penny or bankrupt stocks
137.
by argonaut 6y ago
Sweden's GDP grew by 0.1% in Q1 2020 (0.4% annualized). Germany's GDP fell. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/29/coronavirus-swedens-gdp-actu... . The UK's GDP fell as well. Sweden's economy h
138.
by argonaut 6y ago
This demonstrates the superiority GM's Super Cruise approach. They have interior cameras that make sure the driver is looking forward (you're allowed to look away for brief periods). Tesla only forces you to keep one hand applying
139.
by argonaut 6y ago
I looked at the linked study. It's not very complicated. In fact one could argue their method was too simple. They estimated the number of illnesses by dividing the number of hospitalizations by a series of probabilities (the probabili
140.
by argonaut 6y ago
I find your comment to be even more mind boggling - I'm not exaggerating. The shutdown has been short but it has completely wrecked with education and entry-level jobs, which define a young person's development. 1) Anyone in schoo
141.
by argonaut 6y ago
Doesn't this page answer all those questions? https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/how-cdc-estimates.htm
142.
by argonaut 6y ago
That is simply incorrect: https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Pages/press-release-04-...
143.
by argonaut 6y ago
No, Alameda County has always been vague about the dates. As late as Sunday (today/yesterday), Alameda County hedged and did not give an specific date, only saying "early this week" ( https://www.mercurynews.com&#x2
144.
by argonaut 6y ago
Restaurants have two advantages: 1) Drivers can do other work during down time (wash dishes, clean, etc.). I think some places don't even hire drivers, they just have whoever is free deliver the order. 2) They can eat the loss because
145.
by argonaut 6y ago
The primary argument against legalization (or normalization) of sex work is that it leads to increased human trafficking and organized crime. There actually is some evidence to back this up, but I wouldn't call the debate settled.
146.
by argonaut 6y ago
My limited understanding is that battery degradation is not linear. It's gradual for a long time and then falls off rapidly.
147.
by argonaut 6y ago
For California residents, the top state schools are ~$57k in tuition for all 4 years (total). Yes, American private universities would cost more, but that's a choice to pay more if you think it's worth it.
148.
by argonaut 6y ago
0% has been common for years. 2015-2018 they were super common. Only the automaker offers these loans, and it's because they just take the loss out of their profit margin.
149.
by argonaut 6y ago
I'm not equating Covid-19 to the flu, but ground glass opacities are common among people with influenza. They're also not uncommon in older folks with no history of smoking etc. Right now the evidence of long term or permanent dam
150.
by argonaut 6y ago
What regulation? Colleges have always required that you request deferral. This was almost always granted, but was never guaranteed.

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