angelzen

77 ms·

481.
by angelzen 5y ago
Humor has a fundamental role in bounds probing in a social setting. Make a joke, observe the (nonverbal) feedback, preserve social bonds through shared laughter. In a world driven by CoCs, there is no room for laughter.
482.
by angelzen 5y ago
Speaking of 'you stepped on my toe', that is a classic schoolyard bully line.
483.
by angelzen 5y ago
Think like an engineer. First job of a policy designer in a democracy is perception shaping. For example, in a poll from Dec 2020, perception of covid hospitalization rates in <24 age group was about 8%, vs. reality 0.1%. For general pop
484.
by angelzen 5y ago
"This org is kind of shitty. Sadly, I need to move on.". That's what the vast majority of people do. Unless there are clearly illegal acts, say withholding pay or physical endangerment, not sure why people would want to pick
485.
by angelzen 5y ago
Good point. Radically libertarian is a nightmare. In general, radically $ideology usually is a nightmare. Some cultures even have a word for moderation, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lagom
486.
by angelzen 5y ago
> Two doses of BNT162b2 or ChAdOx1 vaccines in Alpha variant index cases independently reduced PCR-positivity in contacts (aOR, adjusted odds ratio vs. unvaccinated=0.18[95%CI 0.12-0.29] and 0.37[0.22-0.63] respectively). > The Delta
487.
by angelzen 5y ago
Thanks for sharing. Just to make it clear, I am in full agreement that covid vaccines are very effective at reducing covid infection severity, especially in older age groups. The document we are discussing confirms as much. > simply bec
488.
by angelzen 5y ago
Correct!
489.
by angelzen 5y ago
The UK report also says on page 6: "With the delta variant, vaccine effectiveness against infection has been estimated at around 65% with Vaxzevria and 80% with Comirnaty" which corroborates with your information, 80% vs 95% but s
490.
by angelzen 5y ago
The reality: The tsunami didn't end Japan. <50 age group covid is survived by 99.9% of the population. There is no Armageddon, at least not if the virus doesn't get significantly worse. Life expectancy might get a hit, fewer pe
491.
by angelzen 5y ago
I am interested in push back, because the publication is internally inconsistent. One one hand they say on page 5 "With the delta variant, vaccine effectiveness against infection has been estimated at around 65% with Vaxzevria and 80
492.
by angelzen 5y ago
As we delight at the thought of bringing misery to our fellow man, let's take a look at this intriguing report from UK, specifically the covid cases table at page 13 and covid case rates at page 17. Something strange: covid case rates
493.
by angelzen 5y ago
Cool!
494.
by angelzen 5y ago
There is a worrying strain of scapegoating lurking around, asserting that unvaxxed are infecting us all, and/or are a reservoir of dangerous mutations. There are ruthless politicians perpetuating such messaging and enacting discriminat
495.
by angelzen 5y ago
The UK vaxx rate goes above 90% in high risk older populations. Note how 1,565 of the 1613 vaxx deaths are in the >50 age group. Simplifying a bit, the absolute numbers indicate: * The death rate in >50 and vaxx population is 5x small
496.
by angelzen 5y ago
UK has fantastic data: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-vaccine-... Latest report: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/...
497.
by angelzen 5y ago
They could, but "I'm feeling kind of funny, it must be the weed" is easier to slide by compared to "I'm feeling kind of funny, I need to call Dad ASAP".
498.
by angelzen 5y ago
The idea is that the masks filter particulates at the source, and then again at the destination. See https://www.livescience.com/face-mask-visualization-droplets... for a visualization. Reasonable. Wearing masks when having
499.
by angelzen 5y ago
Until your landlord or your bank kick you out for being behind on payments. Which is bound to happen if you can't go outside and, I dunno, work.
500.
by angelzen 5y ago
Alabama, Georgia, Missisipi, South Carolina all show a similar profile: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/region/us/alabama https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/region/us/georgia https://cor
501.
by angelzen 5y ago
Natural immunity as a direct effect of an infection wave is my first guess. In some circles 'natural immunity' has become a dirty word :/ The assumptions between the equation rt = r0 * (1 - (vacRate * eff)) are too simplistic
502.
by angelzen 5y ago
Over the summer Florida has been in the news because of an ongoing epidemic spike. Using hospitalization rates, the spike started sometime in early July. By late Sept it is almost gone. The fully vaccinated rate increased from 48% to 59% du
503.
by angelzen 5y ago
Asymptomatic spreader: Person with an active infection that exhibits symptoms under their own personal threshold for self quarantine. Core vaccines observable effect: Reduce manifestation of symptoms in infected persons. It is possible that
504.
by angelzen 5y ago
Sometimes I picture a lot of the covid measures as raising sandbag walls in front of a tsunami. Feels good to do something, anything, but the tsunami is going to do its thing, at best delayed a bit. The second the earthquake hit, Sendai was
505.
by angelzen 5y ago
I meant vaccination targets, according to recent remarks by the President. I edited the OP accordingly.
506.
by angelzen 5y ago
That is not a RCT, that is comparing 2 data points selected after the results were known. The reason we have RCTs is that it is very easy to fool oneself, for example by filtering the experiment populations after the results are known. Reme
507.
by angelzen 5y ago
That is a good point. I used to fantasize of living in a fictional world where there is such a thing as inalienable human rights. I struggle to swallow the hard pill that a disease with a survival rate of 99.9% in under 65s has upended that
508.
by angelzen 5y ago
You have no right to tell other people what to do with their bodies.
509.
by angelzen 5y ago
There is no scientific proof, e.g. RCT, that lockdowns work. When did 'stay at home if sick, live life otherwise' become obsoleted? Edit: "3) is a new development that was apparently somewhat unexpected". That evolutiona
510.
by angelzen 5y ago
Anectodally, last school year all in-person schools were closed in WA state. https://www.governor.wa.gov/news-media/inslee-extends-school...

More ›