adventured

7 ms·

61.
by adventured 5mo ago
The world has never been thankful for the positive things the US has done. The only thing it ever garnered were the briefest of superficial nods. China gets drastically more respect with their approach than the US ever has, while doing a ti
62.
by adventured 5mo ago
Cloudflare operates as an at-cost registrar. They charge wholesale prices for domains. What cut are you talking about?
63.
by adventured 6mo ago
An estimated 22,000 addresses, 1.1 million Bitcoin. Present value $78 billion. That would make him the 23rd richest person in the world. Bill Gates by comparison is 'only' worth $102 billion these days. If you priced Gates backwar
64.
by adventured 6mo ago
Not just yet, they should wait for a little bit. The US isn't done depleting its inventory yet, the US might get itself in a lot deeper yet, and the US population will only detest the war even more given time. All of those things will
65.
by adventured 6mo ago
Gemini, GPT and Claude will all have ads on the consumer side. They will go together in quasi lock-step into the ad future, because that money is gigantic and they're going to need it. The masses will have no say in the matter. Just as
66.
by adventured 6mo ago
For several early years search was thought to have no great business model (banner ads and similar). And then it did. GoTo.com -> Google -> $$$
67.
by adventured 6mo ago
AWS is legitimately a giant and it should be considered in enterprise broadly. It's infrastructure more than enterprise software of course, which is where Anthropic is at. Anthropic is not trying to host the world's databases and
68.
by adventured 6mo ago
LLM usage will largely replace traditional search, and that's stage one. To be specific, search will be consumed by the LLMs, it'll be merely an aspect of what they do for the user, and that'll include handling the more intri
69.
by adventured 6mo ago
The LLM usage will generate hundreds of billions of dollars in ad revenue, which will be wildly lucrative in terms of margins (not as good as Google search used to be). If GPT is a leader in that, they'll take a sizable share of that p
70.
by adventured 6mo ago
Their ~$50 million total Alibaba investment turned into ~$70 billion. As of two years ago they were still liquidating out of it. January 26, 2024 - "Japanese investment holding firm SoftBank Group Corp has largely cleared its ownership
71.
by adventured 6mo ago
The deep state is any agent of meaningful power/influence that works for the government or is very closely entangled with the government, and that retains some or all of their power/influence from one admin to the next. That inclu
72.
by adventured 6mo ago
If they move on correcting that properly of course. We'll see what they do. The US requires an exceptional surge in manufacturing output for ammo.
73.
by adventured 6mo ago
Iran has been a target since long before 9/11. Look up General Wesley Clark's seven countries in five years YouTube video. This was the plan all along, Trump has nothing fundamental to do with it, he was just willing to pull the t
74.
by adventured 6mo ago
The single most interesting thing that will come out of the Iran war, is it's giving the go-ahead signal for China. I don't mean morally specifically, I mean practically: China is plainly seeing the US can't sustain a long ca
75.
by adventured 6mo ago
They've all avoided loading up their LLMs with ads to this point. That is going to change dramatically over the next 2-3 years. All of them will be loaded with ads, and Google will partake as expected given their ad network & capab
76.
by adventured 6mo ago
LLMs haven't remotely begun to be integrated into the lives of the typical person. Not even close. The typical person is using LLMs not at all as it pertains to their daily life tasks. They're using them almost entirely for limite
77.
by adventured 6mo ago
They don't understand esoteric areas of computer science very well at all. I had a mistake in which a large back-up file deletion event happened during a robocopy. 600gb of files got 'deleted' (file headers toast etc). Trying
78.
by adventured 7mo ago
The US hasn't really needed that kind of sympathy since the 1860s Civil War. Other nations being sad when you get punched in the nose is only useful if you have no effective way to respond. Half the world disliked the US during the Col
79.
by adventured 7mo ago
No, that's precisely solving a problem. Shotgunning it is an entirely valid approach to solving something. If AI proves to be particularly great at that approach, given the improvement runway that still remains, that's fantastic.
80.
by adventured 7mo ago
Screen real-estate for legitimate content is often at a premium and then they go and steal some of that land with sticky headers and or footers. I occasionally run across mobile sites that use both at the same time, while throwing in ads he
81.
by adventured 7mo ago
Incomes are dramatically higher in the US than in Japan. Their economy has imploded so badly due to debt + currency destruction that they're now just barely above Lithuania (which has come a long ways of course) on economic output per
82.
by adventured 7mo ago
No it won't, that's merely fantasy projection (a personal desire for the US to suffer for what it's doing). US hegemony ended with the rise of China's economy into superpower status over the past 10-15 years. There was n
83.
by adventured 7mo ago
Water, lithium, high-purity sand, various other high-value metals. There isn't going to be a shortage of blood being spilled for resources.
84.
by adventured 7mo ago
It's extremely common for people to be unable to project into the future when there is a bias in the way. Anytime you see a blatant failure to look beyond the tip of their nose by a person, it's almost always due to their own bias
85.
by adventured 7mo ago
There will be continued hyperscale AI in the datacenter for some use cases, and AI in the smartphone (or PC) for other use cases. It is guaranteed to split that way. Apple's remarkable capabilities around custom chips will enable it to
86.
by adventured 7mo ago
Your response is over the top. Oracle isn't going to fire 30,000 employees to fund anything. That's the story for Wall Street. Oracle went on a huge run in the market, that it did not deserve, and they're going to attempt to
87.
by adventured 7mo ago
These days Nvidia has more money than it knows what to do with. They could certainly push $5b+ into each company annually and never miss it. They're tracking toward an astounding $200b in operating income (maybe over the next four quar
88.
by adventured 7mo ago
You say that like the typical 18 year old has any idea what they're doing when it comes to proper encryption and communication safety. That is never going to be the case. It's a communication channel attached to the most popular s
89.
by adventured 7mo ago
> So, why are we expecting others to give up quietly? We're not. That's why we're bombing the regime and associated military targets. Iran was never expected to give up quietly.
90.
by adventured 7mo ago
Nobody was desperate to invade North Korea prior to their acquisition of nukes. It's a horrific war field and combat prospect. Iraq and Afghanistan were each a cakewalk next to going into North Korea (again). North Korea was safe as th

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