adventured

8 ms·

91.
by adventured 7mo ago
That's an exaggeration. Young people on average have grown up with drastically greater understanding of what a file is than any other generation that has come before them. They grew up using Chromebooks or laptops in school, constantly
92.
by adventured 7mo ago
Nothing has changed in decades regarding this. People just like to pretend something new is happening, because they're extremely desperate to proclaim a fundamental turning / ending of the US (which is why every single event bring
93.
by adventured 7mo ago
The outsource-prompting-to-India stage will almost entirely be skipped (it already has been). Developing nations that were looking to tech to climb the economic ladder, are watching that ladder be pulled up. Most of the upside will go to th
94.
by adventured 7mo ago
OpenAI is sitting on top of a $100+ billion ad revenue business just waiting to happen. Those 95% of users not paying anything are about to start paying something.
95.
by adventured 7mo ago
There's nothing special about art re humans and it doesn't require feeling or lived experiences. That's an arbitrary wall you're putting up.
96.
by adventured 8mo ago
People always want the upstart hotness. Look at the shiny growth (which is meaningless if they're just going to end as a slow growth obese giant anyway, it's all rinse & repeat). Maybe Stripe sees the end writing on the wall a
97.
by adventured 8mo ago
FedNow is what has PayPal's former investors so terrified (so much so that investors don't even think PayPal warrants a double digit multiple). No cost instant financial transfers between US financial users is coming over the next
98.
by adventured 8mo ago
They're going to become PayPal. There's no scenario where that doesn't happen as they get larger and larger and larger. Especially as competition is eliminated.
99.
by adventured 8mo ago
Stripe is overvalued by about 10x judging by Block and PayPal. Best case scenario: Stripe gets larger, gets bloated, slower, eats some competitors, becomes their competitors. The street presses down on their valuation as their growth races
100.
by adventured 8mo ago
An IPO today is mainly a way for major investors - those that want out - to liquidate out in a big way by dumping to a very large mass of investors. There is no other means to do that without signaling a gigantic loss of confidence. Raising
101.
by adventured 8mo ago
Open source should acquire greater, multiplied value once the new scaffolding is put into place. The open source community is still using the past approach, which is going to be largely washed away. More people with more agents freely contr
102.
by adventured 8mo ago
It's software eating everything that it can as capabilities and reach are added. This has been going on since the earliest software programs launched. It's identical to Craigslist hollowing out offline classified ads. Classified a
103.
by adventured 8mo ago
'Consensual' sex between a 50 year old President - the most powerful man in the world - and a 21 year old intern. Yeah right. Clinton had a decades-long history of being a sexual predator. He was repeatedly accused of rape. He was
104.
by adventured 8mo ago
It would very slowly escalate toward nuclear, and then all at once. Nuclear rhetoric would escalate rapidly by the losing / weaker side. It's a common fallacy that conflict between two nuclear powers would instantly jump to nuclea
105.
by adventured 8mo ago
> I want to mention that the Federal Reserve can and does increase money supply by buying US Treasury Bonds from banks (converting the asset into cash reserves). Fun small print. As though that's not the exact mechanism of the bruta
106.
by adventured 8mo ago
Historically it's reasonable for anybody to have roommates. It's a modern scenario where having your own place is supposed to be the standard. Historically housing was much smaller. And people lived with their families for a lot l
107.
by adventured 8mo ago
There will be a split of two major outcomes from LLM coding near-term. The larger often half-baked projects will flail like they always have. People will get tired of bothering to attempt these. Oh look you created a big bloated pile of gar
108.
by adventured 8mo ago
The bumbling dope is the default go-to characterization by the left, they always target intelligence first no matter what. Bush 1 was a dope. Dan Quayle was a dope. Bush 2 was a dope (until they decided they liked him). Sarah Palin was a do
109.
Washington Post begins widespread layoffs(cnbc.com)
5 points by adventured 8mo ago|2 comments
110.
by adventured 8mo ago
It'll be a combination of advertising and subscription fees, and there will only be a few big winners. Gemini is practically guaranteed. With the ad model already primed, their financial resources, their traffic to endlessly promote Ge
111.
by adventured 8mo ago
If you have the greatest coding agent under your thumb, eventually you orient it toward eating everything else instead of letting everybody else use your agent to build software & make money. Go forward ten years, it's highly likel
112.
by adventured 8mo ago
Grok is losing pretty spectacularly on the user / subscriber side of things. They have no path to paying for their existence unless they drastically increase usage. There aren't going to be very many big winners in this segment an
113.
by adventured 8mo ago
Trump was elected by the people of the United States. Twice. Soundly. Not a dictator. Xi was never elected to his position by the people of China. Being a bad president isn't the same thing as being a dictator.
114.
by adventured 8mo ago
There's a question as to whether China's surplus capability is enough to overflow the deprivation that a space program might suffer in a chaos Taiwan scenario. Their resources and capabilities are obviously substantial and sustain
115.
by adventured 8mo ago
The French have created Mintel. May the world tremble. It's a shame the Americans don't see the ramifications of their political decisions.
116.
by adventured 8mo ago
There's no reason to think the brilliant minds at SpaceX are supportive of focusing their mission in any manner-what-so-ever on datacenters in space. You can't call on their genius as the supportive argument accordingly.
117.
by adventured 8mo ago
Bezos has been pushing manufacturing-in-space for a long time, as a ideal candidate for what to do in space that you might prefer to not do on Earth. Robotics, AI automation, manufacturing - combo it in space, let the robots manufacture for
118.
by adventured 8mo ago
SpaceX saves its biggest customer money by being the superior, cheaper launch option. The alternative was ULA, which was an extraordinarily expensive monster. Please highlight the problems you have with how it pertains to this context, how
119.
by adventured 8mo ago
The especially stupid side of the hype usually goes to comical extremes before the crash. That's where we're entering now. There's nothing else to fluff the AI bubble and they're getting desperate. A lot of people are ea
120.
by adventured 8mo ago
Nadella has the golden ship taking on water right now. He has entirely botched AI top to bottom. He has screwed that up to such a degree that it would be difficult to overstate. If he doesn't correct these mistakes extremely soon, he&#

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