Tenoke

20 ms·

271.
by Tenoke 4y ago
While generally true, for what is worth the recently popular play money prediction site Manifold Markets, as well as the general predictions site Metaculus both seem to do well and reflect what you see elsewhere quick.
272.
by Tenoke 4y ago
At least in my University, in 2010, they were very adamant to let us know in our first month there that Freud was quite wrong and that this is not what modern Psychology is like. If you think Freud is well-accepted you might be getting your
273.
by Tenoke 4y ago
>The exact way Unix time handles leap seconds* is complex and an unnecessary detail for this article, but it will suffice to say that (i) whenever a positive leap second occurs, a timestamp is used twice, and (ii) if a negative leap seco
274.
by Tenoke 4y ago
>Matt Levine participated, and he basically called SBF out on running a Ponzi scheme and being OK with it ( That's not quite how it went. Matt Levine wasn't especially negative of him, just found it wild. And they were talking
275.
by Tenoke 4y ago
That's definitely not true. I occasionally buy 5-6 random 8-20e wine bottles from the local supermarket and they typically vary massively. Even when I order my favourites trying others listed as similar all taste very different to me.
276.
by Tenoke 4y ago
I don't see how that follows. There's an enormous amount of different $20 bottles. There's probably enough different ones every year that if you try to you can have a different wine every single time you drink and still spend
277.
Using AI to study 12 years of representation in TV(blog.google)
3 points by Tenoke 4y ago|0 comments
278.
by Tenoke 4y ago
Yes exploitability is improving but this hasn't been that much of a problem with top chess engines at any point.
279.
by Tenoke 4y ago
Why would they want to avoid them? They just add liquidity to the market, incentivising better forecasters and improving the overall accuracy and robustness. More useful for them to gamble on that than something else.
280.
by Tenoke 4y ago
Sure but often there isn't an obvious financial market to check. Prediction markets still update faster and more accurately than say the news or pundits. Hopefully they stop being hindered and become more popular so liquidity increases
281.
by Tenoke 4y ago
That's not really an accurate characterization. The most promoted cause by EA has been the Against Malaria Foundation because it saves the most money per $ spent. If you donate to GiveWell (a basic recommended way to donate in EA) they
282.
by Tenoke 4y ago
How was he not doing EA? He was lying AND donating to causes. I'm very pro-EA but that's a weird claim.
283.
by Tenoke 4y ago
I'm a software engineer and I still suspect Twitter will be on average no worse (could be better even) with 1/3rd or less of its current engineer count.
284.
by Tenoke 4y ago
I watched it recently and at no point in the movie is it clear that's what's happening (is it?). They specifically show abstract scenes when she leads them to a house. As far as I could tell it was on purpose so there's no sp
285.
by Tenoke 4y ago
By that logic paintings aren't art because the Soviets made some for propaganda purposes.
286.
by Tenoke 4y ago
It's obviously entertainment. It could additionally be other things, how Top Gun is both entertainment and propaganda or bar drinking is both entertainment and has health risks. The math might come to the risks being higher than the be
287.
by Tenoke 4y ago
I don't think it's that ridiculous. The default should be not to ban entertainment, and it's not so clearcut whether the danger outweighs the benefits much more than for many other legal forms of entertainment.
288.
by Tenoke 4y ago
Que Scott Alexander's cute short story on the topic. https://slatestarcodex.com/2015/04/21/universal-love-said-th...
289.
by Tenoke 4y ago
>If these substances would simply fire random neurons in a brain you would expect more of a delirious/deluded and dream-like state. They don't fire completely random neurons. All drugs have some consistent(ish) effects. Among o
290.
by Tenoke 4y ago
Again, that's the Alameda arm, I'm talking about the exchange.
291.
by Tenoke 4y ago
I mean, I don't see how it could've been losing money. Even if it had less users surely the fees they take more than make-up for the costs the exchange itself has.
292.
by Tenoke 4y ago
FTX wasn't just like Coinbase, they were a better exchange than Coinbase with more products. They just ruined that by using the exchange's money to bail out Alameda's unrelated investments. As far as I can tell if they hadn&#
293.
Blizzard Entertainment and NetEase Suspending Game Services in China(investor.activision.com)
2 points by Tenoke 4y ago|0 comments
294.
by Tenoke 4y ago
>the entire "decentralized" ecosystem to collapse. Because it doesn't? While all centralized exchanges are suffering from FTX's collapse, decentralized ones like Uniswap aren't facing any existential risks from
295.
by Tenoke 4y ago
It's more like if you could only drive approved cars on the regular roads.. which is already the case but regulated by the government instead.
296.
by Tenoke 4y ago
Why wouldn't it be? Clearly people don't mean anything sexist by it, given that most don't know about it, and nobody as far as I know is offended. Who do you want to ban the word for?
297.
by Tenoke 4y ago
Sure but that's not what speed refers to in practice and if you go buy some speed instead of Adderall those are the realities of what you'll get/have gotten in the past.
298.
by Tenoke 4y ago
Hey, maybe when dealing with a runaway trolly or when deciding what worlds to bring into existence you can really nitpick the details but I don't really need to have that sorted out to tell that I prefer 10 people's lives saved co
299.
by Tenoke 4y ago
You are thinking of just amphetamine (so d or l) while speed often is/has other Ahmphetamine type stimulants[0], typically other similar substances with a longer name that has amphetamine in the name and a similar effect. It just depen
300.
by Tenoke 4y ago
Different types/ratios of amphetamines (there's plenty), different purity levels (dosages of speed are way higher for similar level of effect) and cutting agents (e.g. ephedrine, meth), different dosages and consistency of taking

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