Leary

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361.
Italy's Coronavirus Death Toll Is Far Higher Than Reported(msn.com)
3 points by Leary 7y ago|1 comments
362.
by Leary 7y ago
More likely to work early on in the infection, I doubt any anti-viral would be very effective once the patient experiences ARDS.
363.
by Leary 7y ago
Russia shut its border with China super early, which helped. However, it better be careful now now that its population is unprepared mentally for a potential outbreak seeded by European travelers weeks ago.
364.
by Leary 7y ago
Reaching herd immunity level is a possibility but not inevitable
365.
by Leary 7y ago
There's no reason why 40-70% of people will inevitably get infected. California daily new cases already plateued
366.
by Leary 7y ago
80%-85% of the 68k are probably mild cases that will recover without medical help. 15-20% will need hospitalization. ~5% will need ICUs. 0.5%-5% will die depending on whether the medical system is overwhelmed.
367.
by Leary 7y ago
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0820-9
368.
by Leary 7y ago
The CDC produced 160,000 tests that were defective. Meanwhile, the FDA did not allow anyone other than the CDC to test for coronavirus. That is the reason why the US was weeks behind on testing.
369.
by Leary 7y ago
oh.. Well, here's a kinda similar European version https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_(weapon)
370.
by Leary 7y ago
Even the Europeans used curved swords: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sabre Generally curved swords are better at slashing and straight swords better at thrusting, which is particularly useful against weak points in arm
371.
by Leary 7y ago
As a democrat, I don't understand why the democrats in Congress are planning to give $40 billion in grants that don't have to be paid back to the Airlines. [1] Why not a loan or take an equity stake instead of these "new envi
372.
by Leary 7y ago
Alcohol/disinfectant in a spray bottle. Spray it everywhere inside.
373.
by Leary 7y ago
China's relaxed posture is stricter than America's quarantines in NYC, Washington, and California.
374.
by Leary 7y ago
This is actually good news because we are finally doing more testing after weeks of delay. If we can continue to ramp testing faster than the virus is spreading, we may actually come out of this okay in a month provided everyone minimizes t
375.
Italy, Pandemic’s New Epicenter, Has Lessons for the World(nytimes.com)
2 points by Leary 7y ago|0 comments
376.
by Leary 7y ago
So.. Don't psych yourself out if you have a high body temperature after breakfast?
377.
by Leary 7y ago
So according to these models, we should be Wuhan-ing our states?
378.
by Leary 7y ago
People look at the thousands of deaths in China and Italy and may think this is an overreaction. What they don't realize is that those figures are the result of tough lockdowns, without which, the death toll would've been easier a
379.
by Leary 7y ago
Nassim Nicholas Taleb discussed how superspreaders have a big effect[1] [1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LX_bqMQfWlw
380.
by Leary 7y ago
Landmark report not because it's likely to be accurate, but it scared the UK (and perhaps the US) into action from the high mortality figures based on the latest Italian data. However, let's look at how the report underestimates t
381.
America Needed Coronavirus Tests. The Government Failed(wsj.com)
4 points by Leary 7y ago|0 comments
382.
by Leary 7y ago
Let's think about how these viruses occur. They jump from one species of animal (dead or alive) to humans. How can we pragmatically reduce the risk? 1. Ban markets where two different species are kept close to each other. 2. Identify s
383.
by Leary 7y ago
Wrong! Local clusters can be suppressed when your testing and contact tracing capacity greatly exceeds the number of new cases. China's new domestic cases are in the single digits now. Even unsupressed, it will take weeks for the disea
384.
The Scientific Case Against Herd Immunity(unherd.com)
3 points by Leary 7y ago|0 comments
385.
by Leary 7y ago
"Currently, of the 200 million masks China makes a day, only 600,000 are N95 standard masks, used by medical personnel, according to the National Development and Reform Commission, a state planning body. " Wow, that is not enough.
386.
by Leary 7y ago
If fever+cough, be very careful. If runny nose, then more likely to be common cold. One way to disinfect is put disinfectant/alcohol in a spray bottle and spray places where the virus is likely to be. Another way is to put a simple mas
387.
by Leary 7y ago
I have read many reports of people improving during the middle of the disease when it suddenly takes a bad turn (respiratory failure/cardiac arrest). I wonder if that is at all related to this.
388.
by Leary 7y ago
It's probable that the virus transmits less readily in warmer and wetter places. By how much however, is a key question. Unless the R0 becomes less than zero, then countries still should take precautions to control their outbreaks, esp
389.
by Leary 7y ago
Mike Pompeo on March 2nd: “Our goal is reciprocity. As we have done in other areas of the U.S.-China relationship, we seek to establish a long-overdue level playing field,” Pompeo said in a statement to CNBC about the cap. “It is our hope t
390.
by Leary 7y ago
America will surely retaliate. Here's a timeline for those who haven't followed this: Feb 3rd: WSJ publishes opinion piece titled "China Is the Real Sick Man of Asia" Feb 19th: China expels three China-based WSJ reporter

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