Isinlor

8 ms·

31.
by Isinlor 4y ago
Actually USA is using the metric system. They just apply their weird conversions on top of the metric system, but fundamentally they use the definitions of the International System of Units. E.g. Pound is legally exactly 0.45359237 kilogram
32.
by Isinlor 4y ago
People overestimate what's possible short-term and under-estimate what's possible long term. Current AI models have three main limitations: - rapid skill acquisition. Example: someone invents a new programming language. Something
33.
by Isinlor 4y ago
You are arguing against strawman. I'm telling you that there is willingness to accept as high risk as it is necessary. Not that we should be aiming at sending suicide squads to Mars. > for which there is plenty of research that can
34.
by Isinlor 4y ago
> What would be the goals of the mission? Showing that's it's possible right now within reasonable budget. That's the fundamental difference in logic here. The goal is to get people to Mars as soon as possible. Not to dela
35.
by Isinlor 4y ago
None of issues you listed matter at all if launching stuff to space is cost prohibitive. Without cheap space access they are not even worth properly researching. > One where all of the waste we produce can be reused to create new drinkab
36.
by Isinlor 4y ago
The main challenge is rapid rockets reusability. The costs of delivering one kg of materials to space must go down by 10 to 100 times. Whether we go with manned exploration or robot exploration. Whether we choose the Moon or Mars. Nothing c
37.
by Isinlor 4y ago
It's not about current capabilities, but future capabilities. > But we are in the realm of reality, not fiction, and we have to learn how to crawl before we can walk, let alone run. In either case, the main challenge, is rapid rocke
38.
by Isinlor 4y ago
Russian aggression started from Ukraine wanting to join EU in 2014, not NATO. There is one really simple fact explaining why Ukraine wants to join EU. Polish and Ukrainian economies were exactly the same size in 1991 after collapse of the S
39.
by Isinlor 4y ago
To by fully correct we can say that discrete collection of data points collected from individual humans like levels of testosterone can be described or modeled by a bimodal continuous distribution. See: https://onlinelibrary.wile
40.
by Isinlor 4y ago
Here is an interesting one: > Ok, so distribution resulting from a sum of two Gaussian distributions with shifted peaks is a continuous function and bimodal, correct? > Yes, that is correct. A distribution resulting from the sum of tw
41.
by Isinlor 4y ago
This is really no different than a cookie - basically the same mechanism from the view of the server just different semantics.
42.
by Isinlor 4y ago
Polish and Ukrainian economies were exactly the same size in 1991 after collapse of the Soviet Union. In 2021 Polish economy was 3 times bigger than Ukrainian and almost 2 millions of Ukrainians emigrated to Poland for work. Very clearly Po
43.
by Isinlor 4y ago
Ghana GDP is 77.59 billion USD. That's almost 2 Twitters :) . Ghana is not triggering any chain reactions.
44.
by Isinlor 4y ago
I'm really curious how it will work out for them. The conventional wisdom in self-driving space seems to be that humans are not reliable controllers of automated systems that need input once every day or so. I'm quite sure that th
45.
by Isinlor 4y ago
You can check what I was saying a 2 year and 1.5 years ago: I want from 50% chance after Sep 2024 to 50% chance after Aug 2027. Rate of improvement IMO seems to be around 2x better every 6 months. But there is still a long long way from dri
46.
by Isinlor 4y ago
My prediction on Metaculus from May 2021 was Aug 2027. Today I still think that they will need 4-5 more years. They seem to be going at about 2x improvement rate every 6 months. https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11608
47.
by Isinlor 4y ago
I would say that FSD is like a driver who still learns to drive in order to obtain driving license. There also needs to be someone who watches over them :) .
48.
by Isinlor 4y ago
Tesla is being controlled by NHTSA. But overall you can blame / be happy about USA/Canada legislation and regulators. There is no way that they could release it so easily in EU, but this is also why all startups and big tech compa
49.
by Isinlor 4y ago
In the exercise took part Belgium, Bulgaria, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Sweden, Turkey, the United Kingdom, and the United States. https://www.navalnews.com&#x2
50.
by Isinlor 4y ago
It's dubious rumour by German intelligence if the publication is correct. The claimed original source of the intel - Russian intelligence - is already extremely unreliable and adversarial. And then we add Chinese whispers game on top.
51.
by Isinlor 4y ago
There is no taboo, figure out reliable operationalization and submit the question yourself.
52.
by Isinlor 4y ago
If we are speculating without any basis then why not also Turkey, Qatar or Azerbaijan? Maybe Iran? They are all profiting from either selling their own gas or reselling Russian gas. After deep reflection my bet is on Venezuela. They are in
53.
by Isinlor 4y ago
If we are speculating without any basis then why not Turkey, Qatar, China or Azerbaijan? Maybe Iran? They are all profiting from either selling their own gas or reselling Russian gas. After deep reflection my bet is on Venezuela. They are i
54.
by Isinlor 4y ago
Let's not forget about Turkey and Qatar! China is also reexporting Russian gas to Europe. My bet is on India tough! /sarcasm Please, stop speculating without any basis. You can make a case for basically anyone who trades gas or ha
55.
by Isinlor 4y ago
If we are speculating without any basis then why not Turkey or Qatar? Please, stop speculating without any basis. You can make a case for basically anyone who trades gas or had any issues with Russia.
56.
by Isinlor 4y ago
If we are speculating without any basis then why not Turkey? They are now signing deals with Russia about transporting gas to Europe. Obviously it was Turkey! No, no, sorry - it was Qatar! They are signing gas deals with Germany now. They s
57.
by Isinlor 4y ago
Sounds like extremely reliable Chinese whispers. He said that she said that he heard that she said that he was planning to do it. Obviously it was him!
58.
by Isinlor 4y ago
In many ways we have done that to ourselves. We blocked and shut down nuclear power plants, we blocked shell fracking and places like Groningen gas field. Then we partnered with Russia for our energy needs. Now we are partnering with places
59.
by Isinlor 4y ago
Even email is not really that decentralized - it's mostly Google + Microsoft.
60.
by Isinlor 4y ago
That's fine for me as I'm in EU :) .

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