You can check what I was saying a 2 year and 1.5 years ago: I want from 50% chance after Sep 2024 to 50% chance after Aug 2027. Rate of improvement IMO seems

You can check what I was saying a 2 year and 1.5 years ago: I want from 50% chance after Sep 2024 to 50% chance after Aug 2027. Rate of improvement IMO seems to be around 2x better every 6 months. But there is still a long long way from driving millions of miles without disengagement to meet their internal benchmark. https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11608/self-driving-taxis-available-to-metaculites/#comment-48148 https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11608/self-driving-taxis...