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Rent Control Creates Higher Rents in SF
- xenadu02 12y agoTech kids don't vote. An informal poll of my coworkers reveals those that live in SF didn't vote last election, some because they thought you had to live here for over a year before you can vote. Tech companies don't seem to do anything to encourage people to register either. I voted (especially for pro-building, pro-housing candidates). Maybe if everyone else did the same we could change a few things.
- ktothemc 12y agoBingo. Please register here: http://registertovote.ca.gov/ http://registertovote.ca.gov/ It's very easy!
- ChuckMcM 12y agoWish I could vote this up twice. The people who approve (or don't) the building of new housing units, The people who vote to control or not control the rents, and the people who make the rules about what you can and cannot do on a saturday night when out with your friends are all elected. If you don't like it you can easily affect the outcome of a city council election by getting your friends together to vote as a block.
- mahyarm 12y agoHow about people on visas? Like H1-Bs and so on? That is a significant part of the industry.
- cskozmo 12y agoYou do have to be a U.S. citizen to vote.[1] [1]http://www.usa.gov/Citizen/Topics/Voting/Register.shtml http://www.usa.gov/Citizen/Topics/Voting/Register.shtml
- klipt 12y agoNot only that, but accidentally voting (e.g. because the person at the DMV said you could) can bar you from ever becoming a citizen and even get you deported: http://www.immihelp.com/forum/showthread.php/91741-Denied-N-400-due-to-voting?s=18f21e6f3839fb3d17471d72bc1ac2d3 http://www.immihelp.com/forum/showthread.php/91741-Denied-N-... http://www.hg.org/article.asp?id=27445 http://www.hg.org/article.asp?id=27445 http://www.gmanetwork.com/news/story/141110/pinoyabroad/pinay-in-us-ordered-deported-for-voting http://www.gmanetwork.com/news/story/141110/pinoyabroad/pina... https://beki70.wordpress.com/2011/03/03/fortunately-i-wasnt-deported-a-citizenship-story/ https://beki70.wordpress.com/2011/03/03/fortunately-i-wasnt-...
- mrgriscom 12y agoSome states and local governments allow voting by non-citizen residents. They still can't vote in federal elections, though.
- jekdoce 12y agoIt seems like green card holders, who in some cities can vote in local elections, can not vote in SF.
- GuiA 12y agoA lot of "tech kids", myself included, are immigrants and can't vote. And, on a separate note, it's ridiculous that I have lived here for over 4 years and paid hundreds of thousands in taxes but do not have any way to influence the democratic process (it is equally ridiculous that I can still vote in my home country despite not setting foot there for more than 2 weeks per year for the past 6 years and not contributing to its economy at all. The current definition of citizenship is completely outdated in the globalized world)
- Kalium 12y agoAlso, a lot of "tech kids" like myself aren't in SF proper and thus can't vote on things like SF rent control. It's amazing how privilege acts to protect itself.
- superuser2 12y agoI'm sorry, what? Why should you be able to vote on a government that doesn't have jurisdiction over you? Remember that SF is an anomaly. Generally it's the wealthy in the suburbs and the underprivileged in the city. Suburbanites voting on urban policy (in general) is the last thing you should support if you are concerned about privilege.
- Kalium 12y agoWe can't afford to live and vote in the city where we work because those with privilege have used it to push us out.
- dasil003 12y ago> * Remember that SF is an anomaly. Generally it's the wealthy in the suburbs and the underprivileged in the city. * It's not an anomaly, it's a trend.
- hueving 12y ago>Generally it's the wealthy in the suburbs and the underprivileged in the city. That's why rent in Manhattan is so cheap.
- raldi 12y agoInstructions for how to register to vote-by-mail: https://www.reddit.com/r/housingforsf/comments/22xoht/help_hfsf_register_to_vote_by_mail_and_tell_us/ https://www.reddit.com/r/housingforsf/comments/22xoht/help_h... It's easy and takes five minutes! Give it a shot and post a reply below either confirming or denying that it's really as fast as I claim.
- kelnos 12y agoTech companies don't seem to do anything to encourage people to register either. My company (a tech company) sent a bunch of emails about registering to vote and voting, and also had a drop box for voter registration forms, and encouraged people to get out of the office to vote. Yes, this is just one anecdote, but there are people at tech companies who recognize that political issues are important and push people to get involved.
- ghouse 12y agoAnd Prop 13 creates higher home prices in CA. Both do little to protect their intended target (artists and elderly) both do a lot to protect the non-mobile (and in fact discourage mobility).
- digikata 12y agoTalking to relatives who live out of state, Prop 13 really does protect the elderly from rising property taxes. I think you don't really see it because it has largely solved the problem of rising-propery-tax-based evictions without much fuss, so you don't really feel it in action. One issue with Prop 13 is that it should maybe only protect property owners who live in their property as a primary residence, but currently covers commercial properties, vacation homes, etc.. Higher home prices get locked into the tax rate if the property changes hands so I'm not sure what the link is to Prop 13 creating higher prices....
- dragonwriter 12y ago> Higher home prices get locked into the tax rate if the property changes hands so I'm not sure what the link is to Prop 13 creating higher prices.... Prop 13 has several provisions, the two most important being: 1) It limits the nominal rate of ad valorem property taxation. 2) It limits the increase in the tax basis value of property except when a reset to the full assessed value is allowed for certain qualifying events (changes of ownership and certain improvements.) The first directly increases property values by making it more attractive to own property because of lower cost of ownership and less tax risks regardless of length of ownership. The second restricts mobility (and therefore, both supply and demand) because it discourages exchanging one property for another, because doing so increases almost always increases effective tax rates (and total tax costs for like valued properties.) Because the it affects supply more than demand (insofar as some demand comes from people moving from out of the state, who aren't affected by Prop 13 on the demand side), this also increases prices, though its main effect is to reduce market clearing volume independent of price and thereby increases price volatility.
- Domenic_S 12y ago
- shittyanalogy 12y agoRent Control is about enabling community through housing stability. Places where the housing costs have skyrocketed out of the reach of anyone but investors are also the places with the lowest community participation and highest Landlord rights. If you want to run a city where only the rich have rights then don't have any rent control. But if you rent to people who aren't rich, and then when housing goes up you try to throw them out to make more money, they're going to want to get together, contact their politicians, and secure their housing stability. Just because you want to piggyback on the poor and lower middle class to float your investment until it starts making real money doesn't give you the right to complain about the poor and lower middle class for still being there. If you consider housing in one of the densest cities in the planet to be solely for investment purposes I think you have something wrong with your moral compass.
- taeric 12y agoThese sound like bold claims, honestly. I have never lived in a rent controlled area, but I have also never had the money to enter into the only rent controlled areas I know of. Such that it is easier for me to understand the possible negatives of rent control over the positives. Do you have good reading on why they are false? (Basically, your moral argument sounds like I could see the appeal, but mostly false. Whereas the other arguments lack any appeal to morality, but seem much more likely.)
- Kalium 12y agoHow do you propose addressing the problem of the high market rents in SF, then?
- Karunamon 12y agoPerhaps I'm misunderstanding basic economics here, but: The 20 people who originally couldn't find houses in SF (who formerly would have needed to bid $4), can bid $2 on some of the formerly rent controlled houses. They get leases. If the market rent is $4, and the control is $1, and the control disappears, why on earth wouldn't the landlords in possession of the formerly-controlled properties immediately raise their prices to the market price?
- stephencanon 12y agoBecause there aren't 100 people in the model city willing/able to pay $4 rent. The landlords might attempt to do what you suggest, but as they fail to rent their properties month after month, they will gradually drop the rent they are asking until equilibrium is reached.
- hiou 12y agoHere are a few reasons[0] you might want to look into about this fabled "equilibrium" in commercial real estate. [0] http://www.ezracompany.com/2012/04/30/why-do-landlords-let-spaces-remain-vacant-2/ http://www.ezracompany.com/2012/04/30/why-do-landlords-let-s...
- sefu 12y agothis assumes a perfect system, with specific conditions. the real estate market tends to be neither. apartments go vacant all the time waiting for the $4 swm.
- astrodust 12y agoThis highly simplified example doesn't have sufficient information to calculate what the equilibrium will be. Obviously it will be lower than $4, but what?
- endtime 12y agoIf supply goes up and demand is fixed, prices go down.
- 12y ago
- acomjean 12y agoI live in cambridge MA. We had rent control on some units, now we don't. It seems to have done little to stem the tide of expensive rental units. I think building more adding more supply is the only way to help keep rents and sales prices at a reasonable level. They charge higher taxes to non-resident owners, which is an interesting tactic. But rents have gone up enough that people who leave my building often opt to rent their units rather than sell them. It doesn't help that my state doesn't seem to make public transit outside the city core a priority (Boston, Cambridge, Somerville, Brookline), meaning commutes into the city from outside can be painful.
- vonkow 12y agoI grew up in Cambridge. When rent control went away, the rent skyrocketed and a large swath of the lower/middle class was forced to move to the suburbs. It sucks, because only 2 or 3 towns in MA had rent control, but developers scared city councils across the state into voting to ban the practice.
- driverdan 12y ago> It sucks Why does it suck? The market should be allowed to work.
- glibgil 12y agoThey already told you. "a large swath of the lower/middle class was forced to move to the suburbs". Read.
- s73v3r 12y agoWhy? Why is the market considered the be-all, end-all of desirable outcomes? Quite frankly, I consider "the market" forcing people out of areas they've lived in for most of their lives to be a far worse outcome.
- aetherson 12y agoI genuinely don't understand all of the native bias in these discussions. Like, if Joe lives in town A, and Frank lives in town B, and both would like to live in town A, and Joe and Frank are otherwise utterly equivalent people, lots of people seem to regard it as totally natural that Joe should have primacy over Frank. I don't. I don't really know why anyone would. Like, ideally in a perfect world both Joe and Frank would be able to live where they want, but given that land is a persistently scarce resource, what's the basis for privileging Joe over Frank? And what is the magnitude of the privilege that we should regard as a natural right? Surely not infinite.
- ghouse 12y agoA more constructive discussion would be regarding what % cap in rent increases best balances competing interests. Last year in SF rent-controlled housing (muti-unit, built before 1978) had a cap of 1.9%. http://www.sftu.org/annualincrease.html http://www.sftu.org/annualincrease.html
- meddlepal 12y agoRent control isn't the only problem. We don't have rent control in Boston/Cambridge but we also have skyrocketing rental prices. The fact is supply needs to at a minimum match demand or outpace it to suppress severe rent inflation. You can only get to that happy place if you make development easier; both San Francisco and Boston have very strong NIMBY groups in the various neighborhoods.
- TheOtherHobbes 12y agoYou can't have skyrocketing rental prices. That's economically impossible. If you do have skyrocketing rental prices, you should buy yourself an Econ 101 textbook and educate yourself about why this is impossible. Then the problem will go away. >both San Francisco and Boston have very strong NIMBY groups in the various neighborhoods. Well, yes. In the real world - the one that doesn't consider 'just so' stories an explanation of anything - it's well known that rents depend on a mix of factors, not least of which is strong government support for affordable social housing. Germany has a very strong rental culture, and excellent availability. Rentals remain reasonable, because there's a critical political mass of renters who would cause problems for politicians if they stopped being reasonable. London, meanwhile, has limited housing stock and no rent control. The result is that rents are increasingly insane, landlords are increasingly disinterested in spending money on repairs (...so much for that argument) and most ordinary people are either sharing in overcrowded conditions, living in spare rooms, or moving elsewhere. As a test case, this is hardly a resounding success for the no-control lobby. London used to have a solid reservoir of social housing, but that was deliberately eliminated in the 80s. The result has been a steady cycle of manic-depressive boom/bust explosions. Currently property prices are being driven up by foreign speculators. Wherever there's boom, capital flocks to it - until prices crash again, and then the greater fools are left behind, trying to capitalise on decrepit slum properties. Rent control on its own isn't a solution to this. But an integrated and thoughtful housing policy certainly can be.
- myrryr 12y ago"You can't have skyrocketing rental prices. That's economically impossible." "If you do have skyrocketing rental prices, you should buy yourself an Econ 101 textbook and educate yourself about why this is impossible." ok, this made me laugh more then it should :)
- zyxley 12y agoRent control wouldn't have nearly this much of a distortive effect on the SF housing market if SF actually had enough housing in the first place.
- mathattack 12y agoRent control is one cause (of many) of the housing problem. People are less likely to invest in real estate, especially targeting low income, if there are restrictions on how they can monetize it.
- Joky 12y agoMaybe there would be more housing built if the area was not under rent control?
- x0x0 12y agoNew housing in sf is not rent controlled.
- deleted 12y ago[deleted]
- 100k 12y agoThere is no way San Franciscans renters should give up rent control without landlords giving up Prop 13. Landlords can hold property for decades without seeing their taxes go up, yet they cry crocodile tears about rent control (which resets every time a tenant leaves). Rent control and Prop 13 are two sides of the same coin.
- sologoub 12y agoProp 13 for individuals/families serves largely the same purpose as rent control - to ensure that the place they live in stays affordable. If property values increase and there is no rent control, do you really expect landlords to not pass the property tax increases to the renters? In fact, I would argue that more home ownership would be a lot better than rent control, because if the home owner chooses to leave a given area by selling, he/she is able to benefit from the increased values. Renters on the other hand cannot. While it would be very interesting to contrast the tax situation in Washington state (property taxes adjust every year there from what I understand) with that of California, I doubt the current situation would greatly improve prop 13 gone, and I know for sure a lot of people would be squeezed.
- michaelt 12y agoIn the UK, houses are placed in 'council tax bands' based on the estimated value on 1st April 1991. So the tax band stays the same regardless of housing market fluctuations. The tax rates for the bands are then set by the local council, as a political decision. Band A property? £1000 a year. Band E property, maybe it's £3000 a year. Admittedly, assessing a tax band is a little subjective - but it seems to work OK. Any idea why local government taxes in the US aren't calculated the same way?
- sologoub 12y agoI'm sure they can, but like you said - it's all political. From what I know, WA state uses real estate tax as one of the primary revenue streams (in addition to sales tax), whereas CA also has income tax. CA and WA seem to have similar sales taxes, so the main difference in funding is in WA not having an income tax. There are many more differences, but I don't know if those are for a "good reason" or bloat. My personal biases make me lean to CA budgets being bloated...
- ChainsawSurgery 12y agoNot to sound like a complete dick, but... duh? Is this a controversial opinion really from a finance perspective? I was under the impression that almost all arguments surrounding rent control are: 1) Moral/legal arguments 2) Whether rent control is the small problem and lack of housing development due to zoning laws or NIMBYism or conspiracy or whatever is the much bigger problem - i.e. rent control is one small facet of the housing issues in SF.
- nullc 12y agoThere are efficiency arguments as well. The solution where each participant in a market acts to optimize their own returns is sometimes nowhere near the global optimum allocation of resources (for basically _any_ theory of optimum allocation other than "whatever the market did").
- mathattack 12y agoThis just seems very basic. Rent control discourages investment in real estate. Less investment in real estate means lower quality and fewer apartments. There are some lucky winners who get cheap apartments, but the rest pay higher prices to live in worse places. The same thing happens in New York City. The economically sound answer is to make it as easy as possible for builders to make large buildings with lots of apartments. Right now it is so hard to build that only luxury apartments are profitable.
- ktothemc 12y agoThey considered that financial disincentive for new construction when rent control was implemented in 1979. It does not apply to new housing units built after 1979.
- mathattack 12y agoValid point. My perception (Based on SF and NYC) is that many of the laws that go along with rent control make it difficult to build low income housing. The time to get permits, and the difficulty in rehabbing, make anything except luxury apartments unaffordable.
- aetherson 12y agoIt's always difficult to build low-income housing: * It's just not inherently very efficient. If you can build 12 luxury apartments that will rent for $3k per month or 20 low-income apartments that will rent for $1k per month, then you're leaving a lot of money on the table. * Incumbent neighbors hate hate hate low-income housing and will fight to destroy the project during public meetings (because they believe that their property will become less valuable/their neighborhood less desirable with low-income neighbors). * Low-income tenant are more likely to stop paying rent/force an expensive eviction process than high-income tenants. * Much of the maintenance cost on an apartment is per apartment or per tenant, not per square foot, so your maintenance cost may be lower on fewer larger apartments. * Low-income housing developers do not have the resource of market-rate housing developers to move through the (complicated, awful) permitting process, or to buy land. Financing of low-income housing is much more complicated than financing of market-rate housing. Mostly market-rate developers who occasionally put together a low-income project tend to give those projects low numbers of resources/backburner them. Source: My wife is a project manager at Habitat for Humanity.
- ADRIANFR 12y agoIf the City needs teachers, social workers and others with traditionally lower wages, wouldn't it make sense that their wages would also go up (based on demand) if the rent control goes away?
- VLM 12y agoBingo, the most important question that is not being discussed. This whole discussion is a social class issue. The folks there have defined their upper class and they actively don't want lower class people there. Otherwise, if you insist on hyperinflation of tech salaries and hyperinflation of property prices, there's no reason not to glorify a similar hyperinflation in teachers salaries or a hyperinflation in social worker salaries. But no, there's agony and terror that a lower class human might soil our pristine streets if we paid them a living wage...
- Kalium 12y agoHave you considered that it's simply a case where an unprivileged group is unhappy with being denied access to a good or service available to a privileged group? I don't know anyone who wants to push out "lower class" people. I do know lots of people who want to live in a San Francisco where everyone can afford rent. Everyone includes programmers, teachers, social workers, and dishwashers.
- s73v3r 12y agoThe professions you mentioned are government positions, which are largely funded with tax dollars. As it is, governments are currently full of people who are extremely anti-tax, and are against paying these people more.
- moron4hire 12y agoAll of the arguments I have heard for rent control act like the vast majority of us who live in non-rent controlled areas are going through a Boschian nightmare hellhole of landlords jacking up our rents, driving us out of our ancestral homes, and sticking pitchforks in our collective asses. <checks cranium> nope, no screw-vices here.
- rmc 12y agoIt can happen in some places. In Dublin, Ireland someone's rent went up by 50% http://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/dublin-couple-forced-to-live-in-their-car-after-50-rent-increase-652187.html http://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/dublin-couple-forced-to-l...
- mrgordon 12y agoIt's not relevant for less crowded areas but friends who live in NYC (or SF, without rent control) often see 20%+ increases amounting to at least a few hundred dollars per month. That's pretty rough after you found a place to live and spent a year setting it up.
- moron4hire 12y agoThat's funny, because NYC has the longest-running rent control program in the country.
- mrgordon 12y agoSure, but whether a city has rent control wasn't relevant to my comment, which is why I mentioned San Francisco as well. I was saying that landlords in popular areas whose properties are not subject to rent control (whether or not the surrounding area predominantly has rent control) will naturally act in their own self-interest and raise prices quickly. If the tenant improves the property during their lease, then the landlord will immediately be able to charge more for it which is another perverse incentive. Here is an excerpt from an article that discusses rent control in Singapore & Hong Kong, among other places: "Rent controls [in Hong Kong] were renewed in 1973, to halt increases exceeding 90% of prevailing market rates or hikes above 30%, for two years" They actually had to add rent control there because the landlords acted exactly as you described. http://www.theonlinecitizen.com/2014/05/is-regulating-rents-in-singapore-the-answer-to-rising-rentals/ http://www.theonlinecitizen.com/2014/05/is-regulating-rents-...
- bcg1 12y agoPrice controls almost always lead to shortages, for the very reasons the author described. If rent control is used to keep prices down, it is self evident that the market clearing price must be higher for those units... otherwise you could just get rid of rent control all together and there would be no side effect. I guess the real question in my mind is "cui bono?" Seems that this policy would greatly benefit any landlords with non-rent-controlled property, since the artificially low price would create an increase in demand... since the price of those units can't increase the effects would presumably be felt in the next best substitute(s), i.e. free market apartments and/or values in the surrounding areas. Seems like property developers in the both the city and the suburbs might have a strong interest in distorting the market in this way.
- wuliwong 12y agoIf I understood his argument, I think he was saying that only non rent controlled apartments are factored into things like average rental price. So, in this case, the rent controlled properties are basically just not part of the market right now. So his argument was that removing the rent control would more than double the apartments on the market. The price for the rent controlled properties would increase but since they previously weren't being counted, the average price would ultimately drop with the larger supply now available to be bid on in the open market.
- btilly 12y agoThis is literally economics 101. If some of the supply is tied up in below market prices to people who would not have bought at the market price, then you shift the supply curve more than the demand curve and the price of the free market bit will be higher. Anyone who cares to know this, does. People who don't want to know this won't be convinced by a carefully reasoned toy example. But if you really want to understand the problems with the housing crisis, http://techcrunch.com/2014/11/02/so-you-want-to-fix-the-housing-crisis/ http://techcrunch.com/2014/11/02/so-you-want-to-fix-the-hous... is unusually good.
- deleted 12y ago[deleted]
- claudenm 12y agoIt's falicious to think demand is fixed in SF. Removing rent control does nothing to stem demand. Also arbitrary deeming '$2' affordable is made without any supporting evidence.
- tdaltonc 12y agoIt's trivial to show out that rent control increases the cost of rent for new renters. It's been talked about in the academic literature since the 40's[0]. The harder question is, "is it worth it?" Do the people who build a community in a place, and contribute to it's value, deserve to be shielded from the price increase they helped create? Home owners are incentives to help build a valuable community, shouldn't renters? [0] Friedman, Milton, and George Joseph Stigler. Roofs or Ceilings?: The Current Housing Problem. Foundation for Economic Education, 1946.
- jim_greco 12y agoYou need more data. Just because 72% of apartments are under rent control doesn't mean that 72% of apartments are going for under market rate rent. Even with rent control, San Francisco would benefit from being denser. There's a lack of all kinds of housing which is making it unaffordable. Manhattan is 70,000 people/mi2. Brooklyn is 35,000 people/mi2. SF is 17,000 people/mi2.
- jskonhovd 12y agoWhile you all are enjoying your high rents, I would like to brag about my hometown Memphis, TN. We just got some hype in the WSJ. "In a nod to the youngsters, the survey found that the top markets offering “the right live/work/play environment” for millennials were Nashville, Brooklyn, Portland, and Memphis."[1] In all seriousness, I think its a shame that SF can't keep up with housing. It's a tough problem. I don't envy the people in Government that have to balance all the different interests. Then again, I would hate it if the majority of my paycheck went to my rent. [1] http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2015/03/11/u-s-regained-top-spot-for-real-estate-investment-in-2014/ http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2015/03/11/u-s-regained-top-s...
- bmelton 12y agoAs a native, but former Memphian, while I've always thought that they get plenty of things right, it's hard to compare it to San Francisco. For one, there's the freedom to sprawl, while San Francisco proper is constrained to a much smaller geographic space. That alone skews a lot of the comparisons. I was reading this today, and it struck a chord especially after yesterday's "rent in SF" article, and while I feel that the Houston approach is indeed the enlightened one, I don't know that it's appropriate for every particular place. http://joshblackman.com/blog/2015/03/15/the-economist-houston-is-not-pretty-but-it-thrives/ http://joshblackman.com/blog/2015/03/15/the-economist-housto... Beyond that, of course, as much as it pains me to knock my home town, we left Memphis because of the rapid rise in crime, and that hasn't seemed to improve terribly. Since we've left, they've apparently done a fantastic job of buggering up the schools. The draw of home pulls strong on me, and I frequently contemplate moving back, especially with the craft brew scene producing what I believe are some of the best beers in the nation (especially High Cotton), but between the things I've already mentioned and the oppressive summers, it's a tough sell.
- jkot 12y agoPrague had rent control for over two decades. Regulated rent was about 5x lower than commercial. Over time this lead to some interesting stuff: - home owners would cut hot water and electricity, just to get tenants out. - there was regular black market where one could buy contract for cheaper rent - tenants with lower price would subrent apartments for commercial price - in Prague it was highly discriminatory for students and other poor people, who had to live in Prague. - It did not protected city center anyway, people eventually moved away. - there was huge conflict of interest. Some PM, government members, town hall officials... lived in cheaper apartments.
- mcdoug 12y agoHere's what I don't get about rent control: how is it actually benefitting the renter? If a landlord has a few different units, some under rent control, some not, and some cash to spend on improvements, why would he spend it on improving the rent-controlled units? The Facebook post that was here yesterday even said so much: > The few of us who still remain in San Francisco have no choice but to live in sub-par conditions like mold, windows that don't shut, rodents and countless other issues because there is no other choice, because the rents are so high you can't move so you don't. This is what you get when you set the price artificially below market value: subpar product. Has anyone here seen Soviet-era apartments? They were exactly like this. So in the long run, the place will fall apart around the renter, and they will be pretty much powerless to do anything about it. And the bit about "can't move" because it's too expensive just means that the area is now too expensive for you and rent-control is the only thing allowing you to stay here. If the excuse is that your job is here, well maybe your job is not paying you enough to live in SF. Perhaps founders should stop starting companies in this incredibly expensive area, and explore greener pastures.
- radley 12y agoThe price wasn't far below anything. The price has historically been average, if not above above average. Those problems persist because "bad landlord". The only difference now is the skyrocketing rates in SF due to dot com 2.0 immigration. The same thing happened back in 1999-2000. EVERYONE had to be in SF for the boom back them, so rates skyrocketed. When the bubble burst, rents leveled off while the rest of the country eventually (almost) caught up. Plus there's the "Google / Facebook" stipend. Google & Facebook were having a hard time hiring because employees couldn't find a place to live. Google / FB started offering $1k / mo above asked monthly rates to help employees get units quick. That also helped bump up even the worst apartments up to unrealistic levels.
- sbw1 12y agoI'm pretty sure this isn't a thing, at least as far as Google is concerned. At least, I work there and live in SF and have never heard of it. Pay is higher in the Bay Area due to high cost of living, like for most companies, but I've never heard of a housing-specific "stipend" or anything like that.
- radley 12y agoThis has little to do with rent control; It's all about development costs. New units get built with mortgage rates that are far above the standard rental rates. Buyers can't rent units significantly below their cost so they hit the market at the high rate. These units don't get rented, so they stay listed prominently. Meanwhile, a tenant leaves an old building and the landlord starts looking at existing rental rates. What do you know, that one-bedroom I was renting for $1500 two years ago now goes for $3500. I guess I'll up the rate! It's not as nice as the new unit, but at least it's not stuck in BFE China Basin (people will pay a premium to be near food / park / Muni). That's how rent rates got so high: development costs > listing rates > matching rates. Period.
- crystaln 12y agoThis is absolutely incorrect. Pricing is based on what people will pay, not development costs. Developers have high loan costs, and can not afford to let units sit on the table simply because they'd be "losing money" when measured against a sunk cost. It is very common for developers to lose money by selling units under cost in a down market. While there may be some resistance to pricing under cost, developers are not idiots and understand that investment made is already made. Further, any truth in your statement would argue against rent control. If owners could rent at discounted rates to fill their units, then raise rent to market, everyone would be better off. With rent control (in SF new units are not rent controlled) owners are incentivized to hold out for a higher initial rent.
- spankalee 12y agoRent control causes all kinds of bad effects. As noted by others here, it discourages maintenance and property improvements to rent control units. The landlord has an incentive to create a terrible living situation to get the tenant to move out. It also reduces tenant mobility. If you're a long time renter and have a great, but maybe just affordable to you, rate, and then have any life change where you'd normally want to move, you face a tough decision. Get a new job, want to move in with someone, have a baby, need to take care of a parent, sell or buy a car, etc... and when you would like to move, instead you're stuck. Rent control also directly causes Ellis Act evictions, IMO. If your building has occupants who've been there for a while then you're getting much lower income than market rate. One way to retrieve the true value out of the property is to sell it someone who will convert to private residence, thus valuing the property much more than a landlord. Rent control is a subsidy to renters paid by landlords. They bear almost all of the financial responsibility for this attempt to make housing affordable. Home owners don't, and employers and employees don't. And the subsidy is incredibly unevenly applied: You get more a subsidy the longer you've been in a rental, it's not dependent on how much you need the subsidy. As long as the city deems it beneficial to have a rental subsidy, they should just go ahead and have a real subsidy paid by taxes, and get rid of rent control. There's a good argument that a diverse population is good for the the city, so a subsidy funded by income, sales, corporate, property, and hotel tax makes a lot of sense.
- metaphorm 12y ago> It also reduces tenant mobility this is such a great point and I wish it was talked about more in the discussions of these issues. rent control basically traps people in a single apartment for the rest of their lives. it traps their sons and daughters there too (if they elect to "inherit" the apartment, which they frequently do). this is one of the ways that ghettos come in to existence. the ability to move to somewhere else is really fundamental to preserving a person's freedom and quality of life. rent control takes that away and replaces it with a market dislocation and transfer payment.
- netc 12y agoHave you ever looked at the possibility where one's family has to move every year or so because landlord decided to increase rent to 'catch up' with market. This is what it looks like in communities where lot of people wants to move in but no rent control. One can move in but will not have any stability.
- nwah1 12y agoThe law of rent... not just a good idea. It's the law.
- stormbrew 12y agoEliminating rent control without also making it possible to build up (literally) to a degree that (afaik) is currently impossible due to building and zoning restrictions would do little to ease the problem. By my understanding, though, actually building new housing is about as unpopular with the locals than ending rent control. There's no point in 'signalling to developers that it's time to build,' as suggested in the article, if they literally can't build anything. The annoying thing with the fixation on rent control over zoning is that at least rent control has some altruistic value to people who can't really afford their rents being raised. The zoning rules largely benefit property owners, I expect.
- JimboOmega 12y agoI support building new buildings - if we let them build new buildings, those buildings are exempt from rent control, too! Also, let's not forget that SF also has a pretty large amount of subsidized housing stock in the form of BMR (below market rent) units and other things. I don't see a problem with having the rent control stock transitioned to some sort of means-testing. I'd love to see them building, building, building. The amount of fighting that went on to knock down a Walgreens in the mission that was right next to a BART stop though, leaves me wondering if that could ever happen. Zoning protects owners, but remember that a tenant in rent control has a right not unlike an ownership right; it's a perpetual lease at a fixed price. They can sub-lease it, for instance. It is all but impossible for them to be evicted. So rising property values and quality-of-life in their area benefits them (the tenants) greatly; so opposing construction keeps the value and exclusivity of their position high. The tenants are accruing a large economic surplus that would normally accrue to the owner. Anyway, I've heard of quite a few anecdotes that involve people making huge salaries and having incredibly cheap rent-controlled apartments, or even worse, sub-leases of one. Never mind the pied-a-terre accusations. I have not seen any meaningful statistics, though.
- x0x0 12y agoThere has been an abandoned gas station, surrounded by a chainlink fence, bums, and bumshit, at 23rd and valencia since 2008. It still, afaik, isn't being turned into housing. http://sf.curbed.com/archives/2013/12/05/whats_the_story_with_the_gas_station_at_23rd_valencia.php http://sf.curbed.com/archives/2013/12/05/whats_the_story_wit... http://missionlocal.org/2013/12/developers-turn-old-gas-stations-into-new-condos/ http://missionlocal.org/2013/12/developers-turn-old-gas-stat...
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- fasteddie 12y ago"I don't see a problem with having the rent control stock transitioned to some sort of means-testing." I would guess this would make landlords avoid renting to low income tenants at all costs -- better to rent to someone who is not qualified for the means test, even at a cheaper rent, to assure flexibility.
- mc32 12y agoFor me two of the biggest issues in the bay area, transportation and housing stock availability suffer from a lack of regional authority which could make decisions for the region as a whole. The Abag just does studies and isn't binding. I wish we had some county/city mergers like miami-dade. I think a regional authority would weaken the nature of neighborhood politics which conflict with larger regional goals. We could have an integrated transit system as well as well planned -or at least better planned- housing policies and strategies. Bay area nimbyism resulted in a fragmented Bart and uncoordinated transit system as well as wasteful low rise housing developments. I can only hope this changes. And also agree getting rid of rent control is a bitter but necessary pill. Build more and rent will go down.
- kansface 12y agoI don't think better trains would necessarily be the result of merging. There is a good chance we'd just expand the 101 and build new Interstates through neighborhoods.
- mc32 12y agoMaybe not. But my wish is for a unified transit system and a coordinated and progressive (for progress) housing policies. Allow density in the cores and peripheries of cities. We're not a pastoral society anymore --not with the population growth we're experiencing.
- unquietcode 12y agoOne thing I've never understood (but would still like to) is where does the imperative to build more and faster come from? I live in Berkeley, am very nearly priced out at this point, but see no reason why the community is required to take in more people. Permitting snd process ensures a snail's pace for new construction here, but from the perspective of those that live here (and most have rent control) why should they rush to grow? All I'm saying is, market prices reflect supply and demand, but they also balance the demand which would otherwise threaten to overwhelm the place. Who am I to say 'I want to live here! Make it happen!!' We could be building the city of our dreams, of the future, a mere 30 miles away.
- maxlybbert 12y agoThe incentive is that people who own land (or even people who own existing buildings) can make money if they rent it out. It boils down to simple greed; as Adam Smith said, "It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest." Adam Smith's big contribution was showing that, generally, if we assume people are greedy and will look out for themselves, we can still end up with a fair system. Lasseiz faire economics has a much better track record in that regard than the alternatives that try to ignore greed. You can set things up based on how you want them to work, or you can set them up based on how they really do work.
- spankalee 12y agoYou're right to a large extent. This king-of-the-hill attitude towards property is exactly what you see with Prop 13, rent control, severe building code restrictions, etc. Prop 13: The long-time home owners get to put a disproportionate amount of the tax burden on newer buyers. Rent control: long-term renters put a disproportionate cost of the rental prices on newer renters, and landlords. Building code: Land owners want to be able to build when it's their turn, but as soon as they build they want to restrict others for obstructing their view, or changing the character of the neighborhood. Public transportation: Residents who don't use public transport have typically fought against it coming to their neighborhood to keep the undesirables out, then find out that their property values are lower, or shops aren't doing well, because of this 30 years later. See Georgetown, DC. Basically, everyone wants to lock in their position, then keep everyone else out. That's really only rational, so I can't fault it that much. Where I personally get annoyed is when those motivations aren't acknowledged and also get paired with complaints about super high rent and property prices. The "rush to grow" is simply the reasonable response to skyrocketing prices. If the city doesn't want to grow, then it should be ok with those prices. What's not reasonable to want to be a desirable place to live, not grow, and have stable, affordable prices.
- mrgordon 12y agoThis article seems to miss a few important points. The people who have lived in a city make that city what it is and you can't just switch in new higher bidding tenets at every juncture and expect that community to remain. In particular, the people in the middle who could pay higher than rent control rates will still move away more frequently if you increase their rent by a couple thousand to get it to (somewhat reduced) market rates. For example, when they have kids and need more space then they won't be able to afford it but with rent control they could have already locked in housing costs. Just as their landlord was allowed to lock in property taxes so they wouldn't lose the property due to tax increases.
- tsotha 12y agoDuh?
- gress 12y ago"A cost control normally afforded to the privilege of owning" This is the most important line here. This article is about reserving rights to the already privileged. Nothing more, nothing less.
- chaostheory 12y agoHere's something rent control proponents also ignore: there are also other nice places in the Bay Area, that are way cheaper than SF, where you can live with good access to public transportation. Most public transportation in the Bay Area has good, cheap access to SF.
- chipotle_coyote 12y agoIt's hard to find places in the Bay Area that have good access to public transportation and are actually as cheap as rent-controlled apartments in San Francisco. Just being "way cheaper" than SF may not be enough if it still doubles your rent -- anywhere on the Peninsula down into Silicon Valley merely drops you from "most expensive in the country" to "in the top ten most expensive in the country," and even most of the supposedly "cheap" East Bay will run you far more than most other metro areas across the US. Apartments around Palo Alto, Cupertino and Mountain View, where there has never been any rent control, are not nearly as far behind SF's market rate as I think people sometimes imagine. I'm not making an argument for rent control, per se -- it's hard to dispute that it's a distorting influence on the market in San Francisco itself -- but it's hard to appreciate just how banana crazypants the housing market across this whole region is right now.
- nickstefan12 12y agothis. Its actually cheaper for me to live in rent controlled SF than "close to BART" Oakland. Bart isn't cheap. Owning a car isn't cheap. With the state of our transit, I would never want to live in Oakland without a car, but I would definitely live in SF without one. Basically, if we had the mass transit system of new york, the rest of the bay might actually not be that bad compared to walking to work.
- chaostheory 12y agoOakland isn't the only place with access to bart. Plus if you live further from bart, you can bike to bart as well.
- chaostheory 12y ago
- kuni-toko-tachi 12y agoGovernment interference in the free exchange of goods between free individuals causes problems? Why is anyone surprised?
- j_baker 12y agoThe argument (or lack thereof) that the author is making is hardly based on sound economic analysis. This "thought experiment" ignores a few fundamental facets of SF's rent control ordinance. As a "second-generation" rent control ordinance, the economics surrounding the issue are less clear-cut. For starters, the story doesn't account for the fact that new housing may be built without being rent-controlled. This allows new housing stock to be built without regard to whether it will be rented under rent-control. Secondly, SF doesn't have a "rent control" ordinance per se. It has a rent stabilization ordinance. Landlords can indeed increase a tenant's rent, but there are restrictions on how much they can raise a tenant's rent. It's based on the Consumer Price Index (though I don't think this is a good choice of index to peg rental rates to). What it basically boils down to is less about economics and more about social mobility. Between rent control and prop 13, the Bay Area is set up for social stability. It is intended to encourage people to stay where they are. Us techies, mostly being from elsewhere in the world, are more inclined to push for more mobility.
- PublicEnemy111 12y agoAren't SF residents actively fighting the building of new apartment complexes to "preserve the skyline"?
- Kalium 12y agoGenerally, yes. Sometimes the goal is to stop the new construction to preserve the character of the neighborhood. Sometimes it's to preserve "historic" (read: old and I like it) buildings. Sometimes it's to demand that the new complex be entirely below-market-rate housing. Opposition is pretty much guaranteed, though.
- twblalock 12y agoRent control is a case of the government forcing landlords to do something that is really the government's job. If the government wants housing to be affordable, it can build more of it, or provide households with tax credits or vouchers to help them afford to pay rent. Vouchers are less desirable than increasing supply, but they cause fewer market distortions and bad incentives than rent control, which is a price ceiling, which we know for sure leads to shortages. Instead of taking on this public policy responsibility, the government of San Francisco has decided to take the easy way out by capping rents on certain units, which unfairly forces landlords to shoulder the burden of a job the government ought to be doing. This incentivizes all kinds of crazy things, including removing housing stock from the market under the Ellis Act.
- nedwin 12y agoGreat point! Property owners are the ones wearing the pain, not the government. Doesn't help that landlords are in the minority when it comes time to vote.
- Spooky23 12y agoSupply/Demand imbalance raises rents. Rent control is one contributor. Rent control is more than an economic issue, it's a class and moral issue. Why should only people with the means to buy property have the ability to live a stable life? Imagine if your child had to change schools every year because your one of the overwhelming number of people who cannot absorb rent increases. I personally have zero or negative sympathy for landlords charging usurious rents while simultaneously crying proverty and getting all puffy about property rights. If you can't handle the regulatory environment, nobody put a gun to your head and made you a real estate speculator.
- gvr 12y agoThis times a thousand.
- api 12y agoSan Francisco is a city with an exploding economy that sits on a fault line and is geographically constrained by mountains and the ocean. If that wasn't bad enough, it's also got quite a bit of NIMBYism among its residents who want it to retain its "quaint" character. Tell me that doesn't explain basically all of it...? Rent control seems like a minor factor. I can see ways it might contribute, but if SF had plenty of land and no earthquakes I'm sure things would not be so bad.
- allworknoplay 12y agoThank you. The contributors who don't understand that obviously rent control reduces supply by the number of rent controlled units but that it also vastly increases stability for longer-term occupants are dominating this discussion. So again, thank you.
- tolmasky 12y ago> Rent control is more than an economic issue, it's a class and moral issue. Why should only people with the means to buy property have the ability to live a stable life? Imagine if your child had to change schools every year because your one of the overwhelming number of people who cannot absorb rent increases. Rent control is more than an economic issue, it's a class and moral issue. Why should someone pay less rent simply based on when they originally moved into the apartment? Imagine if you are a poor immigrant just moving to the city and having to pay market rate while reasonably well off people get to pay a rate that made sense 5 years ago. I personally have zero or negative sympathy for people paying lower rates than everyone else while simultaneously crying proverty and getting all puffy about the possibility of their rent going up. If you can't handle the price of the city, no one put a gun to your head and forced you to move here.
- michaelochurch 12y agoAlso there's price inelasticity. If you reduce the supply availability by 5%, you don't just get a 5% price increase. For something like housing, gasoline, or illegal drugs (typical inelastic goods) prices could double. That's why San Francisco is so expensive: not desirability, but regulatory corruption pushing down supply of an extremely inelastic product. I don't know if San Francisco has this problem, but New York has a lot of upper-middle-class, well-connected people who bought their way into rent control by paying "key money" and being named as family by a deceased beneficiary (who need not be related to them). They're now in an arrangement that is actually superior to ownership (because they don't pay property taxes). It's pretty disgusting. People actually used to follow obituaries as a way of finding available RC apartments.
- dreamdu5t 12y ago75% of the rental stock in SF is rent-controlled! Yet the city is "unaffordable." There are no statistics on how many of those people make salaries that can afford market rate... but in my experience as a property manager I more often than not saw people with totally middle-class jobs benefiting from it - not poor people. Why should someone who banks 80k a year get to keep a $700 apartment in the Marina? That is the problem with rent control.
- guhcampos 12y agoI'm amused nobody brought the word Gentrification to the comments yet. Yes, the arcticle does not mention that word. Neither the comments there or the comments here. But this is what giving up rent control encourages: gentrification. And it's really bad. I'm not a US citizen, I don't live there, but I've visited SF quite a few times. You can see gentrification happening yearly after every visit. It's sad. Perhaps the discussion should not be "rent control" vs "no rent control" and really "how to effectivelly control rent prices". In Brazil, landlords are allowed to raise the rent every year by the same ammount of one of the country's inflation indexes. It's not perfect, but people seem to be more or less happy with it. Also the rent price can never be more than a small percentage of the property's declared value per month (if you want to change the declared value, your ownership taxes will change accordingly). This helps a bit. This is just an example of my point: stop thinking binary - yes or no - and start thinking how.
- fiatmoney 12y ago"The city needs people who make less than X to live here (teachers, social workers etc). We shouldn't have a homogenous city of software engineers and bankers." This is mistaken. The cost of living is routinely taken into account when people are deciding what wages they will demand. If literally no teachers can afford to live in your city, and you wish your children to be educated, you'll have to pay a lot in order to import a teacher who can then afford to live there. That drives up wages to equilibrium. Furthermore, if literally no teachers can afford to live in your city, and you wish your children to be educated, you might very well decide to move to somewhere with a lower cost of living. This drives down demand to equilibrium. The only argument in favor of rent control is that it reduces short-term volatility of rent. This only makes sense if moving entails huge negative externalities. You do see people making this argument (they talk a lot about long-term community cohesion).
- chucksmart 12y agoIs there some reason a landlord can't pay a tenant to move out of a rent control situation? So they can renovate and clear the market?
- m0llusk 12y agoThis may be true, but the essential dynamics of the housing situation are more simple. Demand far exceeds supply. The permit process makes development relatively slow and expensive and sometimes blocks it entirely. With or without rent control the real solution to this problem is to increase the number of available residential units. That is not a trivial problem, but it is much easier than worrying in detail about the dynamics of the market.
- anigbrowl 12y agoOf course it contributes, but this analysis is too shallow to be really useful.
- irascible 12y agoThe massive influx of money from .comers fleeing the psychosocial wasteland of Silicon valley is what is driving rents up.
- irascible 12y agoIt is really really sad. SF used to feel a loophole in the American lie.. where interesting artists,creators, and thinkers could afford to live in a beautiful place, without being wage slaves.. this freed people to make the city even better by enriching it's culture. Now it's just filling up with Bros and fauxhemians that bring nothing to the table.
- azinman2 12y agoThe real answer is to increase supply. Build more housing in bigger and taller buildings. SF gov is living in a fantasy land.
- littletimmy 12y agoThere seems to be an underlying thought in many answers here, something like "the markets should be allowed to function". This is a very naive idea. The "market" exists only as a system protected by the state security apparatus. The state prohibits poor people to randomly capture property from rich people, in effect protecting landlords with the backing of violence. What do the poor get in return? Surely they must receive something to opt into the social contract? In general, that "something" is welfare. THAT is why welfare for poor renters is important, in the form of rent control or subsidies or whatever else they demand. A market propped up on the spectre of state violence is not "free".
- justin_vanw 12y agohttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q3cUmHAs3yY https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q3cUmHAs3yY
- b_rad 12y agoAn explicit and anecdotal rent control inefficiency I was made aware of firsthand in SF: A young man lived in a rent controlled apartment for many years. He eventually met a lovely woman and they began dating seriously. They moved into the apartment together and enjoyed several years there together. Eventually, they were ready to have children and moved to the East Bay, but they decided to keep the rent controlled apartment for occasional weekends in the city. At this point, between both of their incomes, it was a drop in the bucket. That apartment to this day sits mostly empty, while a housing crisis dwells around us and rents keep going higher. We talk about pushing people out of neighborhoods — this literally has taken a home away from someone that could be living and working in the city. No story is the same, but the inefficiency is clear.
- swehner 12y agoI don't think there is much reason to believe that SF would have lower rents without rent control. Obviously, many people want to live there. Keyword: delusion.
- thowar2 12y agoIs it possible to waive your rent control and eviction "rights"? Seems like one could negotiate a lower rent by giving the landlord some more optionality with their property.
- alexnewman 12y agoRent control crashes websites
- justin_vanw 12y agoThis isn't a convincing argument. Regardless of the rates paid by the people in rent control apartments, unless they vacate, the supply doesn't increase, so the market isn't changed at all. Since new buildings aren't rent controlled in SF, there is no discouragement to building due to rent control. The real answer is just geometry. SF is geographically constrained in such a way that there isn't really a way to build more housing within commuting distance. A city like Omaha (or even Berlin) has the available land go up with the square of the commuting time. SF has the land available for development go up roughly linearly (the valley doesn't get much wider until all the way to San Jose) The way to lower housing costs is to increase the available housing as a function of commuting time. The easiest way to do this is high speed rail. It's not a coincidence that all the communities in the valley have fought tooth and nail against high speed rail. http://www.cahsrblog.com/2011/04/anti-hsr-activism-is-a-rich-mans-movement/ http://www.cahsrblog.com/2011/04/anti-hsr-activism-is-a-rich... Once it becomes possible to get to SF from Gilroy in 40 minutes, tons of housing will be built far from the city, where land is available and cheap. People won't have to choose between paying a huge premium to avoid a long commute, or spending 3 hours of every day sitting in a car. This is economics 101. The marginal property is south of San Jose, and the premium for living in SF is about 2 hours * 20 days of commute time a month, which if you are making $200k per year is about $4166 of lost time per month, assuming a 40 hour work week and ability to convert that time into salary (a bad assumption, but this is the actual analysis to figure out how much more prices should be in SF, it just doesn't factor everything in appropriately). It's not a coincidence that this is roughly the difference in rental costs between these two areas.
- yoanizer 12y agoPrice control (not just rent control) causes similar effects in all industries.
- notlisted 12y agoSimplistic model predicting major benefits, while none are likely. Abolishing rent-control could never take effect immediately, but would be phased out slowly to protect current occupants. Hence, the number of apartments coming on the market would increase slowly, owners could rent this 'new' inventory out at "market rates" ($4, aka the max the market can bear right now and 'the norm') and the best we can hope for is a (temporary) drop or slowdown in rental rate increases. With a more realistic ratio of people looking for apartments (250 for 100? 500?) there may be no slowdown or drop at all. End result: neighborhoods pulled apart as long-term residents are forced to leave, rents not affected measurably, $4 considered 'normal'. PS I live in NYC, where local renters compete with people parking their money due to overly lax taxes on non-residents, making it worthwhile to own but not occupy. Many buildings are half empty as a result (many thousands of apartments). Rents meanwhile go through the roof. A good way to affect housing stock in NYC would be to make non-residential ownership not longer interesting. I suspect the same is valid in SF. The suggestion below of increasing housing stock by allowing bigger buildings and improving commute times seems to be a much better long-term solution.
- davidf18 12y agoThe housing shortages are caused by politically induced scarcity through zoning density restrictions and overuse of historic landmark status. This has been explained by many including Harvard economist Edward Glaeser and recently referenced by Economics Nobelist Paul Krugman. In microeconomics this polticially induced scarcity is called "rent seeking." Fix the "rent seeking" by overturning the zoning and landmark status laws that create the scarcity and your housing prices will drop.