timr

3 ms·

1.
by timr 6d ago
I'm not European, so all I can do is shrug. Obviously there are tons of people in Europe and they're not all identical, but my observation is that compared to me , they're more comfortable with the inherent ambiguity of not
2.
by timr 6d ago
If by “curing”, you mean, “extending some indirect measurement that doesn’t correlate with survival”, then sure. Lots of those, usually backed by tiny, poorly controlled trials. Daraxonrasib was a rare exception. Most new cancer drugs are e
3.
by timr 7d ago
I don’t know where you’re from, but if you’re European (it sounds like it?), you probably take for granted the head start you get by knowing multiple languages from childhood. Every European I meet has a comfort with language learning that
4.
by timr 7d ago
There’s nothing in bad faith here. I’m telling you the truth as I know it, based on a wide reading of the literature. Your second paragraph did not “directly address the claim” - you just restated an opinion that you should do something whe
5.
by timr 7d ago
Well, now that everyone has had it several times, including you, it’s probably safe to go to a language meetup.
6.
by timr 7d ago
This is wildly off topic, but again, since you didn’t read it: there is no good evidence that the shots help you if you’ve already been infected. Not mortality, not symptoms, not transmission, nothing. Get the shot if it makes you feel less
7.
by timr 7d ago
It actually is how the human immune system works, and in particular, there’s a huge amount of evidence that humoral immunity is protective and long lasting for Covid. Worrying about this is roughly the same degree of reasonable as worryin
8.
by timr 7d ago
There are so many tools now that didn't exist even when I started. I don't know how people managed without being able to use translation apps, for example. Or in the case of Japanese, being able to take a picture of text, and se
9.
by timr 7d ago
Yes. Started Japanese for the first time in my late 30s. I am currently around CEFR B1, working toward B2. > I can't tell if the time constraints (family, work, life) or mental constraints are the bigger problem. Almost certainly ti
10.
by timr 7d ago
All of the the research I have seen on this topic have been observational retrospective studies, which are worthless and should be ignored. The confounders on the group of people who are able to learn a second language (let alone a third
11.
by timr 7d ago
Well, now that everyone has had it several times, including you, it's probably safe to go to a language meetup.
12.
by timr 9d ago
Honestly, the share lounge idea is not a bad one, at least in the major cities. It can be pretty difficult to find a working space that isn't a tiny pod or a monthly commitment. That said, the only Tsutaya share lounge I've seen w
13.
by timr 9d ago
While informing yourself, don't skip the part where you find out that "the environment" was the security equivalent of a wet paper bag.
14.
by timr 11d ago
Yes, let’s not do any experiments at all. Then we’re sure to remain ignorant. That always works well.
15.
The case for AI doom isn't convincing(understandingai.org)
3 points by timr 12d ago|0 comments
16.
by timr 12d ago
this reads like AI slop.
17.
by timr 12d ago
You can make whatever predictions you like. Don't expect other people to believe them and act on them unless you provide evidence .
18.
by timr 12d ago
> I am criticising the argument “every past apocalyptic prediction was wrong, therefore this future apocalyptic prediction is wrong” That is not the argument being made. That is the straw man version you are presenting. Read the full par
19.
by timr 12d ago
You're making a ridiculously improbable prediction that can never be falsified -- akin to beliefs in a vengeful God . Russell's Teapot is exactly the correct metaphor. The philosophical burden of proof lies on the person making e
20.
by timr 12d ago
You're arguing in favor of a teapot circling Mars. We can't prove it's not there, but telling me that "nobody has ever found it" is an invalid argument is obviously absurd. In that quote, the author is telling you
21.
by timr 12d ago
By that logic, literally any ridiculous supposition must be taken seriously, because you can’t prove a negative.
22.
Who Aligns the Aligners?(prestonbyrne.com)
68 points by timr 12d ago|99 comments
23.
by timr 12d ago
But it doesn't do that. "Imagine how you'll be wrong in the future" is just as shiftable as anything else, and has the distinct rhetorical advantage of being unfalsifiable. The substantive difference is that you're
24.
by timr 12d ago
No. The person making the improbable argument is required to provide an affirmative case for that argument. It's not my job to make the argument for them. For what it's worth, I have done your suggested exercise, and I find every
25.
by timr 13d ago
I don’t know if you’re being facetious, but last time I checked, the world had not been destroyed by glob thermonuclear war. So yeah, it has worked.
26.
by timr 14d ago
nono...it's "combined with a form of fusion", you see, so it's obviously based in science. People obviously know this stuff is absurd on some level, but it doesn't stop them from cherry-picking the parts they "
27.
by timr 14d ago
Read more sci-fi. The dystopian takes are not the only ones. They're not even the majority. Pick up an Asimov book in the Robot series, or any number of novels written by lesser authors in the 1950s. Fiction reflects broader societal a
28.
by timr 14d ago
True!
29.
by timr 14d ago
See my comment on the sibling thread. This take has been repeatedly claimed online, but nobody brings any evidence other than fanfic. Ironically, if you ask Google, the Gemini Annoyance AI [1] confidently asserts that what you're say
30.
by timr 14d ago
No: https://www.reddit.com/r/matrix/comments/1qatv42/is_it_your_... There is some stuff online suggesting that the original script had that angle, but the movies did not, and AFAICT it's fanfic. We

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