4 ms·

It could take up to 5 years to come into full effect, from my skim of the article. So, as revolutions in housing go, this is slow-burn. Needed, won't fix housi

by ggm 1y ago

It could take up to 5 years to come into full effect, from my skim of the article. So, as revolutions in housing go, this is slow-burn. Needed, won't fix housing next month or even next year. Sometimes I wonder if a state went out and bought the input supply stocks (wood, particleboard, roofing materials) and sold them below cost at the longer base-line price, but exclusively to builders constructing homes, if they could prevent a grey market re-sale to the less housing oriented market. The problem with trying to drag supply prices back down is making secondary markets between your rate, and the market rate. I am not believing there is an actual shortage worldwide of either construction grade lumber, or other inputs: Its shipping related, its logjams backing up because .. well .. the wheels fell off at the start of 2020 and we haven't got momentum back up. Oh right. Ships. So maybe the state has to buy ships.. which demands steel.. which is hard to get right now...

hamdingers 1y ago
The California housing crisis is a result of restrictive local policy preventing housing starts, not a shortage of materials.
- hopelite 1y ago
  These are not hard things to understand or solve, it's just that the majority of people don't want to understand them or face reality and the politicians will always serve up these kinds of con artist lies to placate people. You cannot add ~60 million foreign national people to the US population in the last 25 years without severely impacting the housing situation when the USA has only built 1.1 million housing units on average over that period; most of those being locked into high prices due to the massive inflation over that time. What makes it even worse is this obsession with both concentrating populations and jobs in urban centers, while at the same time being concerned with climate change and environmental protection. They are mutually exclusive things. This is an iron triangle issue, you can only have two of three things: affordable housing, immigration, climate/environment protection.
  - outside2344 1y ago
    I don't understand why this is a iron triangle situation. Higher density housing -- and a lot of it -- solves for all three, right? If not, why not?
    - xmprt 1y ago
      It's because the triangle is missing the secret forth vertex: single family housing with a big private backyard and a lawn in the suburbs that's only accessible by car.
  - gfehhffvvv 1y ago
    I don’t understand, why is urban concentration anathema to environmental protection? It seems instead to be in service of it?
  - pixl97 1y ago
    > They are mutually exclusive things. Source: You made it up. Being closer to where the things are so you can walk significantly drops the amount of fuel needed for transportation and opens up public transportation as a workable option. > USA has only built 1.1 million housing units on average over that period; That's a government issue, not a practical one. How many housing units did China build in that same amount of time?
    - hopelite 1y ago
      Please go back to reddit with your nonsense
  - cd4plus 1y ago
    What an incredibly weird take. Higher density cities are better in virtually any environmental metric per capita. This is widely supported
    - mothballed 1y ago
      Even as measured by pollutants per breath inhaled?
- zdragnar 1y ago
  Aren't there a lot of people in the Palisades still waiting for permits to rebuild from the fires almost a year ago? It's utterly absurd looking from the outside that officials are claiming the permits are being "fast tracked" even now.
  - pixl97 1y ago
    I mean, it was 16,000-18,000 homes that were destroyed? That's a hell of a lot when you consider that all the other new builds are still in the queue to be permitted too.
    - smelendez 1y ago
      Sure! But you could treat it as an emergency and staff up. It could even be through a mutual aid system the way utilities team up to do repairs after disasters, borrowing permitting experts from other jurisdictions.
      - pixl97 1y ago
        >borrowing permitting experts from other jurisdictions. I don't think those people exist... State/City budgets have already been cut lean on this stuff and most places that aren't in the middle of a disaster are many months behind as it is.
        zdragnar 1y ago
        The cost of permits alone would easily pay for the extra staff and overtime. Most places in California charge what, $1-3k per house?
  - greesil 1y ago
    I bought some furniture from a guy in Ben Lomond and he told me that after the CZU fires, permitting was the bottleneck for most folks, to the point that even four years after the fires some people still were waiting. It's insane. IMO the bottleneck here is likely staffing. If someone wanted to streamline this they'd actually allocate some emergency funds statewide for this.
- thordenmark 1y ago
  onerous and overly burdensome regulations make it nye impossible to build in this state. The environmentalists have a throttle on California. That is coupled with the wealthy not wanting their home values to go down with new low cost housing built anywhere near them. These add up to skyrocketing home prices in CA.
  - SilverElfin 1y ago
    > That is coupled with the wealthy not wanting their home values to go down I keep hearing this criticism but I think it’s less about home values and more about how many people - wealthy and not wealthy - simply value their quality of life and don’t want that to be damaged by forced rezoning.
    - smegma2 1y ago
      A large majority of SF residents support upzoning: https://growsf.org/pulse/growsf-pulse-october-2024/#allowing-more-homes-citywide https://growsf.org/pulse/growsf-pulse-october-2024/#allowing...
standardUser 1y ago
Multifamily housing developments take years to plan and build anyway, especially in California and especially in these urban areas.
- ggm 1y ago
  No single thing will fix housing, and lots of things will interact to make any fix complicated and slow. The fast single things like forms of eminent domain and retrospective law changes turn out to incur massive legal cost to enact. Short of seizing property and approvals for already lodged designs which were turned down for local opposition, it's all about time now. Time to start doing things under a new legal planning system.

by ggm 1y ago

hamdingers 1y ago

The California housing crisis is a result of restrictive local policy preventing housing starts, not a shortage of materials.

hopelite 1y ago
These are not hard things to understand or solve, it's just that the majority of people don't want to understand them or face reality and the politicians will always serve up these kinds of con artist lies to placate people. You cannot add ~60 million foreign national people to the US population in the last 25 years without severely impacting the housing situation when the USA has only built 1.1 million housing units on average over that period; most of those being locked into high prices due to the massive inflation over that time. What makes it even worse is this obsession with both concentrating populations and jobs in urban centers, while at the same time being concerned with climate change and environmental protection. They are mutually exclusive things. This is an iron triangle issue, you can only have two of three things: affordable housing, immigration, climate/environment protection.
- outside2344 1y ago
  I don't understand why this is a iron triangle situation. Higher density housing -- and a lot of it -- solves for all three, right? If not, why not?
  - xmprt 1y ago
    It's because the triangle is missing the secret forth vertex: single family housing with a big private backyard and a lawn in the suburbs that's only accessible by car.
- gfehhffvvv 1y ago
  I don’t understand, why is urban concentration anathema to environmental protection? It seems instead to be in service of it?
- pixl97 1y ago
  > They are mutually exclusive things. Source: You made it up. Being closer to where the things are so you can walk significantly drops the amount of fuel needed for transportation and opens up public transportation as a workable option. > USA has only built 1.1 million housing units on average over that period; That's a government issue, not a practical one. How many housing units did China build in that same amount of time?
  - hopelite 1y ago
    Please go back to reddit with your nonsense
- cd4plus 1y ago
  What an incredibly weird take. Higher density cities are better in virtually any environmental metric per capita. This is widely supported
  - mothballed 1y ago
    Even as measured by pollutants per breath inhaled?
zdragnar 1y ago
Aren't there a lot of people in the Palisades still waiting for permits to rebuild from the fires almost a year ago? It's utterly absurd looking from the outside that officials are claiming the permits are being "fast tracked" even now.
- pixl97 1y ago
  I mean, it was 16,000-18,000 homes that were destroyed? That's a hell of a lot when you consider that all the other new builds are still in the queue to be permitted too.
  - smelendez 1y ago
    Sure! But you could treat it as an emergency and staff up. It could even be through a mutual aid system the way utilities team up to do repairs after disasters, borrowing permitting experts from other jurisdictions.
    - pixl97 1y ago
      >borrowing permitting experts from other jurisdictions. I don't think those people exist... State/City budgets have already been cut lean on this stuff and most places that aren't in the middle of a disaster are many months behind as it is.
      - zdragnar 1y ago
        The cost of permits alone would easily pay for the extra staff and overtime. Most places in California charge what, $1-3k per house?
- greesil 1y ago
  I bought some furniture from a guy in Ben Lomond and he told me that after the CZU fires, permitting was the bottleneck for most folks, to the point that even four years after the fires some people still were waiting. It's insane. IMO the bottleneck here is likely staffing. If someone wanted to streamline this they'd actually allocate some emergency funds statewide for this.
thordenmark 1y ago
onerous and overly burdensome regulations make it nye impossible to build in this state. The environmentalists have a throttle on California. That is coupled with the wealthy not wanting their home values to go down with new low cost housing built anywhere near them. These add up to skyrocketing home prices in CA.
- SilverElfin 1y ago
  > That is coupled with the wealthy not wanting their home values to go down I keep hearing this criticism but I think it’s less about home values and more about how many people - wealthy and not wealthy - simply value their quality of life and don’t want that to be damaged by forced rezoning.
  - smegma2 1y ago
    A large majority of SF residents support upzoning: https://growsf.org/pulse/growsf-pulse-october-2024/#allowing-more-homes-citywide https://growsf.org/pulse/growsf-pulse-october-2024/#allowing...

standardUser 1y ago

Multifamily housing developments take years to plan and build anyway, especially in California and especially in these urban areas.

ggm 1y ago
No single thing will fix housing, and lots of things will interact to make any fix complicated and slow. The fast single things like forms of eminent domain and retrospective law changes turn out to incur massive legal cost to enact. Short of seizing property and approvals for already lodged designs which were turned down for local opposition, it's all about time now. Time to start doing things under a new legal planning system.