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As someone that is the food mostly spice trade prices have started going up in the last 2-3 weeks though prices have not even reached pre pandemic levels. Black

As someone that is the food mostly spice trade prices have started going up in the last 2-3 weeks though prices have not even reached pre pandemic levels. Black Pepper prices have jumped 20+% in the last 20day that price is still 50% cheaper than what it was 4-5 years ago. The largest problem is not availablity of goods rather shipping. I would advise investing in shipping companies if you are active in the stock market. As now days they are charging 3-4 times the freight and still hard to get space so they probably rare raking it in

H8crilA 6y ago
Surely you're familiar with the Baltic Dry Index, an index of shipping costs: https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/baltic https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/baltic Also, in case anyone thinks the current environment is crazy then check out the commodities bubble period of 2008 for that index.
- propertymagnate 6y ago
  Woah. For anyone interested, go to stats and click 25yrs - it's pretty clear what the above comment is referring to.
- adventured 6y ago
  Which was all caused by an extremely large drop in the dollar. Anytime there is such a drop, you get global food chaos from a big spike in the price of commodities that destabilizes markets until they're able to adjust. And then you get civil wars out of that inevitably, it helped to cause the Arab Spring as one example. The US Dollar Index was at 120 in early 2002, and then proceeded to fall persistently until the middle of 2008 when it rested at around 71. An epic collapse by the dollar that triggered all sorts of nasty global effects. Fortunately this time around the dollar drop hasn't been so bad, most major currencies are debasing at the same time. The dollar is merely back to where it was in 2015 and 2018, so far.
  - ragnot 6y ago
    I'm just beginning to learn about investing...Is there any book and/or website to learn about how the dollar can affect commodities that you would recommend?
    - tastyfreeze 6y ago
      I don't think you need a book. When commodities are priced primarily in USD then a decrease in the value of USD leads to an increase in the number of dollars required to make the same purchase. Increase in any price can be seen as an increase in item value or a decrease in USD value. It takes a more in depth analysis of the market to determine which is the cause of price increase.
  - lupire 6y ago
    Its amazing that a 50% drop in the dollar was barely detectable in US, due to price stickiness, subsidies, and whatever else.
  - dencodev 6y ago
    Are there books that would help me get more familiar with these sorts of things?
- pottertheotter 6y ago
  Be careful with your reliance on BDI. As the name implies, it does not reflect prices for the entire shipping industry (e.g. container ships). I used to have investments in the area as an institutional investor, and it was common to see people not understand this.
european321 6y ago
Most shipping companies in the stock market have rocketed in the past 2-3 months, so that opportunity has passed I think.
- Cthulhu_ 6y ago
  Common stock advice: if you hear about an investment opportunity, you've probably already missed out. Ex: Bitcoin stocks (yes they're stocks / investment products) are only really reported on when they're at an all-time high. They may go up a little more if you're reading something fresh off the press, but it's not going to go up as much as it already has. I mean if you bought a year ago you could have had a 10x return on investment, if you invest now it'll be 10-20% return on investment at best.
  - ChuckNorris89 6y ago
    Pretty much this. Once the hype has reached the mainstream, the opportunity has peaked or already passed.
  - bitexploder 6y ago
    Bitcoin has different fundamentals IMO. For buy and hold I still think 10x from here (over the long term) is possible. This year we might see up to 100k. It’s extremely fickle. We could easily see 5k again. No one really knows, though. The best fundamental analysis that gives a bright future is of Bitcoin replacing some significant market cap for gold. Probably not though.
  - wtf_is_up 6y ago
    Where can I find this Bitcoin corporation that issues stock?
    - base698 6y ago
      $MSTR is one.
  - WrtCdEvrydy 6y ago
    Yep, the only reason you should buy into the Bitcoin is when you see the news that it's going the other way (ie: Bitcoin drops $2,000 in 30 minutes)

H8crilA 6y ago

Surely you're familiar with the Baltic Dry Index, an index of shipping costs: https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/baltic https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/baltic Also, in case anyone thinks the current environment is crazy then check out the commodities bubble period of 2008 for that index.

propertymagnate 6y ago
Woah. For anyone interested, go to stats and click 25yrs - it's pretty clear what the above comment is referring to.
adventured 6y ago
Which was all caused by an extremely large drop in the dollar. Anytime there is such a drop, you get global food chaos from a big spike in the price of commodities that destabilizes markets until they're able to adjust. And then you get civil wars out of that inevitably, it helped to cause the Arab Spring as one example. The US Dollar Index was at 120 in early 2002, and then proceeded to fall persistently until the middle of 2008 when it rested at around 71. An epic collapse by the dollar that triggered all sorts of nasty global effects. Fortunately this time around the dollar drop hasn't been so bad, most major currencies are debasing at the same time. The dollar is merely back to where it was in 2015 and 2018, so far.
- ragnot 6y ago
  I'm just beginning to learn about investing...Is there any book and/or website to learn about how the dollar can affect commodities that you would recommend?
  - tastyfreeze 6y ago
    I don't think you need a book. When commodities are priced primarily in USD then a decrease in the value of USD leads to an increase in the number of dollars required to make the same purchase. Increase in any price can be seen as an increase in item value or a decrease in USD value. It takes a more in depth analysis of the market to determine which is the cause of price increase.
- lupire 6y ago
  Its amazing that a 50% drop in the dollar was barely detectable in US, due to price stickiness, subsidies, and whatever else.
- dencodev 6y ago
  Are there books that would help me get more familiar with these sorts of things?
pottertheotter 6y ago
Be careful with your reliance on BDI. As the name implies, it does not reflect prices for the entire shipping industry (e.g. container ships). I used to have investments in the area as an institutional investor, and it was common to see people not understand this.

european321 6y ago

Most shipping companies in the stock market have rocketed in the past 2-3 months, so that opportunity has passed I think.

Cthulhu_ 6y ago
Common stock advice: if you hear about an investment opportunity, you've probably already missed out. Ex: Bitcoin stocks (yes they're stocks / investment products) are only really reported on when they're at an all-time high. They may go up a little more if you're reading something fresh off the press, but it's not going to go up as much as it already has. I mean if you bought a year ago you could have had a 10x return on investment, if you invest now it'll be 10-20% return on investment at best.
- ChuckNorris89 6y ago
  Pretty much this. Once the hype has reached the mainstream, the opportunity has peaked or already passed.
- bitexploder 6y ago
  Bitcoin has different fundamentals IMO. For buy and hold I still think 10x from here (over the long term) is possible. This year we might see up to 100k. It’s extremely fickle. We could easily see 5k again. No one really knows, though. The best fundamental analysis that gives a bright future is of Bitcoin replacing some significant market cap for gold. Probably not though.
- wtf_is_up 6y ago
  Where can I find this Bitcoin corporation that issues stock?
  - base698 6y ago
    $MSTR is one.
- WrtCdEvrydy 6y ago
  Yep, the only reason you should buy into the Bitcoin is when you see the news that it's going the other way (ie: Bitcoin drops $2,000 in 30 minutes)