8 ms·
I really, really hope so. My hope is it is way more widespread than we think, and while that means it's going to be near impossible to contain, the denominator
by Ozzie_osman 7y ago
I really, really hope so.
My hope is it is way more widespread than we think, and while that means it's going to be near impossible to contain, the denominator is so large that the CFR ends up being much lower than expected.
- alexanderhorl 7y agoMaybe in the end the CFR will be the same as the regular flu.
- dnautics 7y agoThe only thing that matters in the end is total population mortality rate.
- seanmcdirmid 7y agoThat is a bad metric. The death rate could be really bad yet the overall death rate would still not change very much.
- imtringued 7y agoIf I am the only person on the planet with a 100% deadly disease why should I force everyone else to suffer because of me?
- seanmcdirmid 7y agoThe fear and suffering alone is enough to have a negative effect on people, so it matters.
- spookthesunset 7y agoSo is shutting down the entire worlds economy. That has massive, very real impacts well beyond just money.
- seanmcdirmid 7y agoYa, but the anxiety of thinking you might sick and die also has negative impacts beyond just money.
- hellofunk 7y agoIt has already proven to be far worse than the flu in its strain on healthcare systems.
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- steve_adams_86 7y agoIsn't that largely due to a lack of immunity? Too many people getting it at once in clusters?
- beatgammit 7y agoIf this becomes a cyclical thing, I'm sure we'll have vaccines for it like we do the flu, at which point it'll just be annoying like the flu is.
- Drunk_Engineer 7y agoIf Covid-19 does end up being a dud, then we are in real trouble if/when an actual pandemic arrives -- because by then everyone will say the CDC is Crying Wolf.
- hellofunk 7y agoIt’s already proven not to be a dud — healthcare systems stretched to beyond 200% capacity is solid evidence of something no one has seen in recent memory. When youngish healthcare workers are dying, something is going on.
- huffmsa 7y agoNot necessarily. If it's already in a sizable portion of the population but mostly undetected, it will kill some seemingly healthy young people. They may have some unknown underlying condition, may have the genetics to trigger a lung destroying cytokinin storm, or may just have gotten unlucky.
- nradov 7y agoHere's some more information about cytokine storm syndrome treatment in COVID-19 patients. https://www.uab.edu/news/research/item/11176-covid-19-do-not-forget-the-host-in-treating-this-disease https://www.uab.edu/news/research/item/11176-covid-19-do-not...
- thu2111 7y agoWhere did you get that number from? A report from Lombardy yesterday says so far everyone with any reasonable chance of recovery has been treated: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-ethics-speci/all-is-well-in-italy-triage-and-lies-for-virus-patients-idUSKBN2133KG https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-... As far as I can tell so far, no hospital systems have collapsed due to this, even in the most extreme hot zones. The fear is that they will, and that sounds totally reasonable. But we also are basing that fear on data that's not robust. So we don't really know yet what will happen.
- mikx007 7y agoI dont think thats true. Unfortunatelly I dont see mortality rates like in Seattle reported in other retirement facilities.