seanmcdirmid

4 ms·

1.
by seanmcdirmid 5d ago
Having been an extreme novice once, I can appreciate these laws. But as always you’ll probably get your experience the hard way.
2.
by seanmcdirmid 5d ago
Aren’t new DRAM fabs being built in China?
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by seanmcdirmid 5d ago
Taiwan cannot make chips without western inputs and spare parts, so China taking over Taiwan or Korea or Japan doesn’t really give them access to making those chips.
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by seanmcdirmid 6d ago
Chinese auto factories are heavily automated, to the point that some are already lights out. Yes, they still need technicians and some blue collar labor, but it’s not Mao or even Jiang’s China anymore.
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by seanmcdirmid 6d ago
$80k AUD isn’t far off from the American average car price, so I can see it being a reverse incentive for people at the boundary if the tax isn't graduated in.
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by seanmcdirmid 7d ago
People have lessened what they read because they can more easily watch a video or listen to a podcast. It’s not like the 1800s where books were the only game in town. And why read an AI written article when you can listen to the AI generate
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by seanmcdirmid 7d ago
Jalapeño also used to be a Java VM written in Java at IBM.
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by seanmcdirmid 8d ago
I use LLMs for nailing down the narrative in bullet point form. It proposes a lot of inappropriate points that I tell it to remove, but makes some useful proposals as well. It’s actually fairly efficient for narrative exploration, I then ke
9.
by seanmcdirmid 8d ago
Even if Japan doesn't want to defend Taiwan, the close geography makes conflict between china and Japan (and the USA) if China invades Taiwan.
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by seanmcdirmid 8d ago
If you are an American, you have to start looking into the housing deduction to make your taxes work since the foreign tax credit doesn’t go very far in Singapore (and you need the FTC after the foreign earned income credit caps).
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by seanmcdirmid 9d ago
> and they've tried to source their RAM from Chinese CXMT who declined because all capacity was already locked in contracts. The US Government also wouldn't let Apple use Chinese RAM anyways, even for product that was just goi
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by seanmcdirmid 9d ago
You can sandbox with tool hooks, at least in antigravity, I think a lot of other harnesses support similar features. Sandboxing via the prompt is just dangerous and unreliable.
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by seanmcdirmid 10d ago
No, this will probably fall apart before Trump is out of office and a Democrat will be expected to clean up his mess again.
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by seanmcdirmid 10d ago
I think they are, it just doesn't appear as often. They are also limited by the chips they can get (limiting what power they can bring to bear), and also have NO PROBLEM building new power plants or other kinds of infrastructure (unlik
15.
by seanmcdirmid 10d ago
> There were many other books/articles/documentaries with the same doom-and-gloom published since. The USA losing its pre-eminent superpower status doesn't mean the end of the USA, or even the end of life as we know it. Ar
16.
by seanmcdirmid 10d ago
That's what we thought 8 years ago.
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by seanmcdirmid 10d ago
> That’s not to say they haven’t done a phenomenal job with demand destruction it’s just their own domestic usage is still very high and they have to import unlike other heavy users. They will, just not as much as everyone was predicting
18.
by seanmcdirmid 11d ago
I'm guessing China? China has shown the world that it can tolerate the shock, and it was even a huge boon for them as they are successfully exporting excess EV production. World demand is significant, China alone was expected to increa
19.
by seanmcdirmid 11d ago
The main complaint from Greece and Italy has been that Germany (and maybe even France) demanded (and got) strong monetary discipline for the Euro, so I'm pretty sure that the Euro itself isn't going to affect their debt much.
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by seanmcdirmid 11d ago
Is the euro doing or expected to do something strange?
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by seanmcdirmid 11d ago
US could choose defaulting as a better option to hyperinflation. It would lose all its credibility either way. The only thing it should do now is seriously jack interest rates, and maybe consider some austerity, but the working class is alr
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by seanmcdirmid 11d ago
> Markets will simply adjust and financial services will arise to smooth instances where liquidation is problematic. The market will address by the wealth moving to where the wealth tax isn't. Then the countries will start creating
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by seanmcdirmid 11d ago
Having lived in West Richland before (in the Tri-cities, on Red Mountain, scrub and all), I don't think thats really true. Well, it is definitely sunnier than Seattle, but nowhere near Phoenix. It is more normal than special. Barring t
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by seanmcdirmid 12d ago
I can't imagine these are very popular in Arizona, but in the PNW the sun isn't a big problem for 10 months out of the year.
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by seanmcdirmid 12d ago
I'm further along in my funemployment project: https://github.com/mcdirmid/cleanroom So far I have bazel macros up that can produce tested code with a ~30GB MoE model (Jundot/Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-oQ6-mtp, I can ge
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by seanmcdirmid 12d ago
> US currently hold enough power to make them paying their debts oversees too. The US is increasingly a less relevant country every year. With a wealth tax, yes, all those Americans will have their wealth eventually confiscated (0.5% a y
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by seanmcdirmid 12d ago
The rich will just move to a different country, negotiate with a Swiss canton for a fixed sum tax. I don't see how a tax that punishes wealth is sustainable, the wealth will just go somewhere else. Maybe if we had a world government or
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by seanmcdirmid 12d ago
You’ve got parts with oil that have to be done every 10 years or are completely sealed into the part and are expected to last as long as the part does.
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by seanmcdirmid 12d ago
Wealth taxes require liquidating investments early and don’t promote good practices, especially if they are applied broadly. I would opt for a tax on loans instead (you have to prepay tax on loans that use investments as collateral and no m
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by seanmcdirmid 13d ago
A UBI society doesn't mean jobs aren’t available. There most certainly will be jobs. But with UBI and universal healthcare, the jobs can pay whatever the market really demands. People always complain about the government subsidizing lo

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