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Cash Squeeze at Tesla, SolarCity
- chollida1 10y agoTesla has a great credit facility backed by Goldman and Deutsche bank. Unfortunately, those lenders just made Telsa amend their ABL (Asset backed loan) such that when the Solar City deal goes through Solar City will need to be firewalled off from Tesla for purposes of borrowing money. Essentially the lenders have made Tesla agree that Solar city would not be a subsidiary of Telsa for purposes of borrowing on their ABL. I've never seen this type of provision before and I dont' think Telsa expected it when they initiated the merger. Solar City had to issue debt for an 18 month term at 6.5%. With today's markets those are almost loan shark terms. I think its telling that with so much cash sloshing around, Musk had to step in and buy so much of the issue. With Tesla's credit rated in junk bond territory and both Solar City and Tesla needing large chunks of cash in the next year, it looks like Telsa is going to have to tap the equity markets again. Hopefully the markets continue to believe in Musk. If not I'd expect Musk to be talking to Washington about a government backed loan. Couple this cash crunch for two of his companies along with the Space X rocket explosion today, I can't imagine the amount of stress Musk is under right now!!
- forgetsusername 10y ago>Solar City had to issue debt for an 18 month term at 6.5% HackerNews tends to rip on the "bankers" for deceptive practices during the mortgage crisis. Yet SolarCity is offering unsecured and untransferable bonds, directly to the public, and on the front page is comparing the available interest rates to savings accounts and GICs: https://solarbonds.solarcity.com/ https://solarbonds.solarcity.com/ With the financial situation as you describe, there is far more risk involved in buying these bonds than a savings account, so the appeal to the high rate of interest is not a fair comparison. I'm curious what people here think about this practice.
- hga 10y agountransferable bonds There's such a thing??? Sure enough, found with Google, and evidently they've been doing this for a couple of years: https://solarbonds.solarcity.com/customer-agreement/ https://solarbonds.solarcity.com/customer-agreement/ The Solar Bonds I purchase may not be listed or traded on any secondary market or exchange, and even if they are, they may not be actively traded. As a result, I should assume that I may have to hold the Solar Bonds until maturity. Also, because I am purchasing the Solar Bonds directly rather than through a broker or other financial intermediary, it may be more difficult for me to sell my Solar Bonds, even if a trading market is or becomes available. I suppose if you view them as you should any crowdfunded thing, don't expect anything back, but you're hoping to help something you believe in, that's OK, but....
- Tloewald 10y agoThis is beginning to sound like a greener version of Enron.
- mr_spothawk 10y agothey're backed by customers paying electricity bills. seems safe for 18months, as I don't see much risk for a whole tranche of credit worthy homeowners electing to turn off their electricity. *edit swypo
- hga 10y agoIf the interest rate of 6.5% is high, which as far as I can tell is the case, i.e. it appears to be in the lower range of "junk" bonds, and they're unmarketable, and (here it gets iffy due to the acquisition) Musk and company had to buy most of their latest offering, they're by definition risky. The very first detail, their interest rate, tells you that, for no one pays more money to borrow money than they have to. And, BTW, SpaceX just had a rocket and its payload go ka-boom on a launchpad pre-flight test.... Musk's attention and potentially capital just got a huge distraction. See also https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12405092 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12405092 , Tesla's lenders did not act favorably towards the merger. Ah, and see this in particular: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12406715 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12406715 Math and physics are seldom friendly to "green" efforts.
- tcoppi 10y agoI'm pretty sure the market has been expecting another Tesla cash raise at some point before the Model 3 launch. Maybe not one that is happening quite this soon, but I don't think this is a major shock. I expect this might be a larger hit to their share price than other cash raises because of that + SolarCity, though.
- stevenj 10y agoIs there an article that discusses Tesla needing to be firewalled off from Solar City for financing reasons? I hadn't heard that before, but am interested in learning more about it.
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- pfarnsworth 10y ago> Couple this cash crunch for two of his companies along with the Space X rocket explosion today, I can't imagine the amount of stress Musk is under right now!! Self-induced stress. There is no reason for Tesla to have purchased Solar City. It was an extremely financially stupid and ego-maniacal deal, and the fact that financial institutions want protection against it just proves it. If there is ever a moment that people turn back and ask why Tesla failed, it will be this. I don't think Tesla as a company will disappear, but I can definitely see Musk losing control because of financials spinning out of control, and this would be the jump-the-shark moment.
- endswapper 10y agoSelf-induced, yes, but not stupid, and there is a reason. Egomaniacal, narcissistic, who cares? There is decent consensus that these qualities benefit (https://hbr.org/2012/07/narcissism-the-difference-betw https://hbr.org/2012/07/narcissism-the-difference-betw, http://www.psychologicalscience.org/index.php/news/minds-business/is-narcissism-essential-for-success.html http://www.psychologicalscience.org/index.php/news/minds-bus...) entrepreneurs and leaders. The reason is that as a single unit the combined companies are a much more compelling offering as a next-generation energy company managing, both supply and demand of a sustainable, renewable resource. I'm not aware of anyone doing this strategically, building bridges from both the supply and demand side, and at this scale. The article is an interesting example of how entrepreneurship, and any startup battles similar issues with growth, debt and financing, regardless of the financial position, or level of influence of the founder. All the more reason not to be disheartened when facing challenges of a similar nature, though likely at a different scale. Master plans 1 and 2 from Musk have been large in scope, practical, achievable steps towards what I think is the moonshot, which is a renewable energy ecosystem for the future.
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- harryh 10y agoIt's not at all clear to me that power generation via solar has anything at all to do with supplying electricity to cars. The power generated can be used for anything. The vast majority will go to things other than cars. Electric cars can consume electricity from any source and, at least for a while, the vast majority will be coming from sources other than solar. Vertical integration can make a lot of sense in weird markets where goods aren't fungible or there isn't a high quality market for trading. Electrical power is basically the opposite of this though. There is a very very large and very liquid market for pricing electrical power. I see no reason that SolarCity can't just be a supplier to this market while Tesla Owners would be consumers. It's pretty clear to me that the merging of the companies is mostly due to cashflow management on the part of Musk and has little to do with any real synergies between their businesses. Stockholders in one or both companies are likely to suffer due to the merger.
- shostack 10y agoIs there a possibility this was pushed by the banks in an effort to drive them back to the equity markets for more, at a reduced price? I'm not very knowledgeable about how that stuff works but it almost seems like a power play setup vs just a bank innocently managing their risk.
- ddeck 10y ago>vs just a bank innocently managing their risk I wouldn't overthink things. Revolving credit facilities like Tesla has are very common and typically secured. It's not entirely clear to me what "firewalled" means, but adjusting terms in the wake of a merger/change of control event is to be expected. Tesla had drawn $678 million under the agreement as of June 30, and had several billion in assets (inventory, machinery etc.) pledged against this and various other credit agreements. What some might not realize is that although Tesla are doing very well from a PR perspective, they are still massively cash flow negative, even at the operating level (i.e. excluding capex). Solar City is even worse (-$741 million operating cashflow last year and -$2.47 billion including capex). These are numbers that any loan officer would be wary of.
- CCND0110 10y agoTotally agree. The entire solar space is over leveraged - there is already an oversupply issue on the solar module space, and nobody has figured out a consistent business model(s) that make sense over the long haul. One hiccup in the overall economy will send many of these companies into bankruptcy. There will be a ton of assets available for investors to scoop up, ala Sun Edison.
- shostack 10y agoMakes, sense--thanks for the clarification.
- shortsightedsid 10y ago> Hopefully the markets continue to believe in Musk. If not I'd expect Musk to be talking to Washington about a government backed loan. Or when it's too big to fail. The point really should be that he's taking a risk and it's probably a calculated one. Everyone takes some risk or the other in their lives. Therefore, it follows that if the idea fails, or the execution fails, then the company must fail regardless of the emotion behind it. I don't see why taxpayers have to fund failed ideas if it comes down to it. Having said that, I hope that Tesla succeeds and continues to change the automotive market.
- rsync 10y ago"With Tesla's credit rated in junk bond territory and both Solar City and Tesla needing large chunks of cash in the next year, it looks like Telsa is going to have to tap the equity markets again." Didn't they just (effectively) get a ~500 million dollar interest free loan in the form of the hundreds of thousands of model3 pre-orders that were placed ? I would have thought tesla was relatively cash rich these days.
- retbull 10y agoOuch. I hope that things pull through. He is taking so much risk on with the SpaceX program, Solar City, and Tesla. I feel like it is a crazy risky bet which will either pay off very well or leave him totally broke.
- forgetsusername 10y ago>leave him totally broke. It might wipe him out, but people like Musk don't stay broke for long. Far too clever.
- rm_-rf_slash 10y agoClever doesn't pay the bills, but if [successful and world-renowned entrepreneur] wants to start a company, investors will beat down the door. Guy could end up dead broke, launch a Kickstarter the next day, and meet the funding mark by dinner time.
- arcanus 10y ago> totally broke. I would be absolutely shocked if he doesn't have 10MM stashed away somewhere. No longer a billionare? Sure. But broke, no. Furthermore, he could easily net several million a year just in speaking and consulting fees.
- pinaceae 10y agoplus book and movie deals.
- antoniuschan99 10y agoEver since hearing about him, I've worried he may end up like this guy :$ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_C._Durant https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_C._Durant
- reality_czech 10y agoElon Musk ends up slinging hamburgers and running a bowling alley to make ends meet? That would make a good headline.
- Cshelton 10y agoWall Street doesn't like long term Capital Expenditures. They can only see to the next quarter. For proof, go look at railroad companies. Same thing. Everyone knows the railroads will have periods of very high CapEx, yet they still only care about the current quarter. These articles are common for any company doing massive infrastructure projects. Raising capital is a business decision. Sure, he could wait a few years until he has the money to build the infrastructure (megafactory) he needs, but that's not how you grow a company at the speed it needs to. Also, I didn't read the article, I refuse to visit WSJ.
- api 10y agoThe economic interests tied up with WSJ also hate electric vehicles and solar and want these companies to fail.
- jonknee 10y agoWall Street has no problem with long term capital expenditures (bonds are at very low rates!), just when the parent company also does dumb stuff like burn up their very needed cash by buying an unrelated firm that is losing money very quickly (Solar City).
- Tloewald 10y agoI don't think they're buying solar city, isn't it a pure stock swap? The big issue is that SolarCity is barely hanging on while Tesla has been on a tear (at least PR wise), so hanging an anchor around its neck seems silly. Everyone was expecting Tesla to need to raise cash to scale model 3 production, so this wouldn't have been news is SolarCity weren't in the picture.
- devy 10y agoThis is a crazy idea, but why cash cow Apple lend some money to Elon & Co.? It should be a win-win situation (Apple takes a share of Tesla and perhaps tapping into Tesla's core EV tech/batteries production capability) and Tesla get to alleviate the cash situation. Ultimately, Tesla and Apple must join forces in order to advance / accelerate the sustainable transportation.
- ilaksh 10y agoThe Tesla Power Wall is designed to store electricity generated by Solar City's solar panels. The Tesla Power Wall and the Tesla battery pack for the car are very similar except one is larger and goes on the car and the other is smaller and goes on the wall. Solar power is not useful without having a way to store it. It is amazing how difficult it is for people to see the connection between these systems and that these are complementary products that are part of the same vision.
- computerlab 10y agoFun fact: Musk has said that he came up with the idea for SolarCity at burning man. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elon_Musk#cite_note-KQED-SolarCity-102 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elon_Musk#cite_note-KQED-Sol...
- seesomesense 10y agoGood short potential on Musk's bonds.