woofie11

71 ms·

601.
by woofie11 7y ago
I'm not sure the economic toll is necessary. We just haven't bothered to try to mitigate it. It's like the lockdown itself; do nothing for a long time, then we'll use a nuke.
602.
by woofie11 7y ago
This article ignores stimuluses, printing money, and inflation.
603.
by woofie11 7y ago
I'm not sure that's the trade-off. My experience is that it's hard to predict where new technologies will be used (see history of radio and telephone). With something like eInk, getting it into the hands of engineers building
604.
by woofie11 7y ago
Of course. As I said, you can try to paint a pretty picture, or an ugly picture. We don't know mortality rate very well yet (or much of anything else). Ever estimate has huge error bars in both directions, and the scientific estimates
605.
by woofie11 7y ago
The virus takes a while to run its course. We don't know how many people die in the end. There's a huge number of people who have neither recovered not died yet. A lot of people focus on Diamond Princess, which was at <1% fatal
606.
by woofie11 7y ago
To be fair, the mortality rate could be a lot higher than estimated. That has huge error bars too. We all look on the bright side (why it might be lower). There's also a dark side.
607.
by woofie11 7y ago
This is all false. Try to find a scientific citation. I dare you. N95 masks, incorrectly fitted, are at least as effective as surgical (in studies, they came out ahead, but not by a statistically-significant amount). In conjunction with han
608.
by woofie11 7y ago
Staying at home and limiting spread is the most effective way to help professionals. PPE helps limit spread. The trick is to buy stuff which doesn't take away from doctors. Cotton masks. Face shields. Etc. In contrast to nonwoven fabri
609.
by woofie11 7y ago
That's the general guidance in countries getting overrun by COVID-19. In countries which have stopped it, everyone wears facemasks. Chinese scientists have good data that surgical masks help in both directions. Face shields reduce flow
610.
by woofie11 7y ago
It increases the effective time large droplets need to spend in the air to get to me, and decreases the airflow around me. It's about the same reason plexiglass screens help, and keeping a 6-foot distance helps. Plus, it stops me from
611.
by woofie11 7y ago
What if I want to protect myself and my facemask from large droplets. I also want to protect myself from accidentally touching my face. Is a face shield okay then? And if so, why not drop $300 million to get one for everyone in the US? They
612.
by woofie11 7y ago
Yes. In January and February, we were "meant to" all keep traveling, spending, going to conferences, and parades. I'm not sure how a passive "meant to" helps. And we were all "meant to" not wear face masks
613.
by woofie11 7y ago
I was hoping everyone in the US might be able to buy one. Ideally, they'd be cheap enough for municipalities to buy and distribute.
614.
by woofie11 7y ago
This is absolutely correct. The best teams I've worked on understand both the business and the technical domain, and are able to leverage synergies to keep things simple.
615.
by woofie11 7y ago
That's how I like to code. That's just called good abstraction. What microservices allow is for different teams to use different technologies and to upgrade components independently. On service might by Python+postgresql, another
616.
by woofie11 7y ago
For every microservices system I've seen, this feels about right. It oversimplifies things a bit, though. It's odd; I've never seen a "monolith" simplified by moving to microservices, but everyone seems to be doing
617.
by woofie11 7y ago
Ginko Bioworks. Apparently it's grown quite a bit since I've spoken to my friend. When we last checked in, it was a little startup. Now, it's a $2.4 billion dollar operation. I guess my friend is probably worth a few hundred
618.
by woofie11 7y ago
I have a friend who runs a company which genetically engineers cells to make chemicals for a living. This doesn't seem like 2040-era science fiction. Indeed, I'm not sure it's out-of-scope for 2020-era technology.
619.
by woofie11 7y ago
I think the assumption is that in 2 months, we'll have test capacity, lower number of cases, and we'll be able to switch to containment. But this assumption definitely needs to be articulated.
620.
by woofie11 7y ago
$200k is about the threshold needed to qualify for a mortgage in the area he's living for a comfortable, but not luxurious single-family home. That's also a good baseline for a standard-of-living where all necessities are met, wit
621.
by woofie11 7y ago
I worked for a not-for-profit where, 3 years in, we learned the CEO was making as much as everyone else combined for the first year. Guy was also doing minimal work. I got fed up with these things. If Khan either open-licenses the platform,
622.
by woofie11 7y ago
That's a reasonable argument to make, and a correct one. That's different from the lie which is being given to the population: that they don't help.
623.
by woofie11 7y ago
I would rather pay a higher delivery fee and (1) have enough workers to deliver my goods (2) Have them (and me) protected adequately. The whole way delivery works is broken right now.
624.
by woofie11 7y ago
Why not? When I run the numbers on what happens if we don't stop this thing, that's where they land. Perhaps we'll stop it. Then we won't need them. Perhaps we won't. Then we will. I'd rather have them than pla
625.
by woofie11 7y ago
It's good they're getting made, but the quantity and timeline is problematic. The US has on the order of 100,000 ventilators, and needs on the order of 1 million. 1000 per month won't really do much. It's a start is all.
626.
by woofie11 7y ago
To be frank, I'd like this all the time. For most videos, buffering is more annoying than resolution, and I don't care about quality. The only time I care about quality is some educational content where there are e.g. small equati
627.
by woofie11 7y ago
Old-school cotton masks help a lot too. We don't know exactly how much, but they do. They reduce viral loads by at least 30% and more likely by something like 70%. Cover your mouths.
628.
by woofie11 7y ago
They make sense to do, but there are better bailouts. https://docs.google.com/document/d/1YbtJGn7ida2IYNgwCFk3Sjhs... We need a consistent approach across the board -- small businesses, individuals, etc. Pausing t
629.
by woofie11 7y ago
To be frank, I made similar predictions. I knew exactly what kind of virus this was, but I kind of assumed the US government was preparing this whole time. It was only towards mid-to-late February that I could see we had a problem, when non
630.
by woofie11 7y ago
So it makes sense to have these systems sunset in a year.

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