wdewind

42 ms·

331.
by wdewind 11y ago
> One issue is that if you have a large effect that's consistently and easily reproduced, you don't actually need very accurate measurements or a statistical analysis at all. I mostly agree with this, but you never have that in
332.
by wdewind 11y ago
Right, but I guess what I'm getting at is frequently we see people doing even worse: making policy decisions based on data that doesn't even hit a minimum threshold for acceptability. I totally agree that people shouldn't ma
333.
by wdewind 11y ago
> "3. Scientific conclusions and business or policy decisions should not be based only on whether a p-value passes a specific threshold. There is no lower threshold at which the data becomes non-predictive?
334.
by wdewind 11y ago
Sorry but your examples don't add up. You're showing a 20 year time frame of outperformance, and admitting there are places where performance is a negative, and then claiming all of this shows that there is a strategy that works
335.
by wdewind 11y ago
The major point of OPs statement is that while sometimes you can get lucky for a short period of time (which is what you just cherrypicked), for an endowment you can't really do stuff like that because you are so big and have such a lo
336.
by wdewind 11y ago
Right, in 2008 when the entire economy tanked they also tanked. You can't really out-diversify the entire economy tanking. What happened in the years after that? Oh right that paper has no idea because it was last updated in 2010.
337.
by wdewind 11y ago
Yes, you're not going to get paid market rate as a junior developer coming from a bootcamp. Hell, most startups aren't paying senior level people market rate when compared to G/FB etc. My first job was hugely under market
338.
by wdewind 11y ago
Apply to startups. I don't know what else to tell you. I'm seeing TONS of people (for better or worse) get placed in jobs after completing coding bootcamps. Some of them have >90% placement rates.
339.
by wdewind 11y ago
I don't know if that's true. This strategy certainly isn't going to land you a job at Google/FB/etc. but I'd be happy to chat with someone in their 30s who'd just gone through a bootcamp kind of thing and
340.
by wdewind 11y ago
> When I asked why, I was told "this worked because you were naive enough to think that this would work". I've been here four years now, and it's still the most important email I've ever sent. Maybe luck, maybe n
341.
by wdewind 11y ago
This is also not the only project Matt was working on while deployed because I remember talking to him via email about some other pretty ambitious stuff. Kudos to Matt for really taking away the excuse of not being able to try something on
342.
by wdewind 11y ago
I've actually met him and talked about his beliefs as well as read a lot of what he's written. I quite like him, but I think he frequently gets the broad strokes correct but misses on the details, and I don't think this is t
343.
by wdewind 11y ago
> Too much politics, too much inane nonsense. Yet I feel compelled to go there. A valid criticism of facebook, but that's not at all what he's talking about. He's saying that to the extent that he uses facebook for his ca
344.
by wdewind 11y ago
That was actually the original point: the pinky is extremely necessary in swordfighting and by cutting it off you made yourself more dependent on the clan. It's a show of commitment.
345.
by wdewind 11y ago
> a profound impact on my health Can you expand on that?
346.
by wdewind 11y ago
Title.
347.
by wdewind 11y ago
The article has a title, and the contents don't match the title until nearly half way through the piece, and also don't really continue to match it past there. The length of the introduction is appropriate for a short book, not a
348.
by wdewind 11y ago
Seriously...what a poorly written article. 2 paragraphs of content surrounded by fluff.
349.
by wdewind 11y ago
Yeah I was implying that the green line is the way most people get from BK, BX and upper manhattan into Midtown, where most of the jobs are. But yeah I pretty much agree with everything else you wrote. It's a tough situation.
350.
by wdewind 11y ago
Just to play devil's advocate: the vast majority of (even technical) people have no interest in running a mail server. Who should Google optimize for?
351.
by wdewind 11y ago
> Street congestion is increasingly a problem, not so much because it slows down private cars but because it slows down buses. Those bus delays in turn increase subway ridership, and overcrowding slows trains loading and unloading. I thi
352.
by wdewind 11y ago
Sept. Doubt it.
353.
by wdewind 11y ago
> but Manhattan could have significantly higher population density without overwhelming the infrastructure. This is not really true, mostly based on the transportation infrastructure. Manhattan is absolutely not ready to move more peopl
354.
by wdewind 11y ago
That price is insane. I pay less for a bigger apartment with brand new appliances, dishwasher, roof deck, doorman etc and I live in a much better location in Manhattan. I even pay less than the unfurnished price.
355.
by wdewind 11y ago
And cannot choose to just liquidate these shares whenever they want. There are rules, and these things require multiple months advance warning and lock in.
356.
by wdewind 11y ago
> My guess is that some VCs were leveraged and had to liquidate positions. VCs cannot just sell public stock on a whim, these things are scheduled far in advance and can only happen during trading windows.
357.
by wdewind 11y ago
Point a) is actually heavily contended. Fraud is not estimated by any credible economist to have had a major (>5%) impact on the financial crisis. In a market situation there is always a disagreement about whether or not a security is
358.
by wdewind 11y ago
> but not pass anything onto the consumers, instead using it for more high risk trading The economy was destroyed by passing it onto the consumers through subprime lending (and a bunch of other things - not trying to assign fault for the
359.
by wdewind 11y ago
https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/uber/funding-rounds
360.
by wdewind 11y ago
I actually think the insulin response 100% affects psychology (which is why I think we are in agreement here, still). At this level it gets very tricky to differentiate between "just the psychology" and a physical reaction, thoug

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