user43928

4 ms·

1.
by user43928 5d ago
It's not really odd when you look at the numbers in my comment, where the datacenter investments are 0.8T vs 126T GDP. That's 0.6%. Subtract last year's investment and then we're talking yearly growth. Turns out it'
2.
by user43928 5d ago
Same. With some 500 hours of usage in just my project at home, across both the $200 Claude and Codex subscriptions, I have not once encountered a situation where I would have attributed unsatisfactory results to a degradation in the model.
3.
by user43928 5d ago
And it's not. A conspiracy theory is what it is. I have no reason to doubt the claims of the employees at OpenAI and Anthropic who have told us personally multiple times, including here on HN, that they do not degrade the models in ord
4.
by user43928 5d ago
I understand DeepSeek 4.1 Flash is available on US providers with Zero Data Retention if that is what you are asking.
5.
by user43928 5d ago
I disagree. If GPT-7 can draw the Mona Lisa in MS Paint via computer use, this would be interesting. That it isn't the most efficient way to achieve the same end result is irrelevant.
6.
by user43928 5d ago
You don't think it's useful to learn whether a model's "intelligence" generalizes beyond the tasks and modalities it is usually optimized for?
7.
by user43928 5d ago
> with a proposed shutoff date of November 12, 2026 That said, I don't expect them to benchmark Astra in their Cursor harness given the situation.
8.
by user43928 5d ago
Their leading benchmark with cost per task shows a tough sell compared to Fable 5.1 Low and doesn't reach the performance of Fable 5.1 Medium. How representative that is of real world usage, I don't know. In their benchmark GPT 5.
9.
by user43928 5d ago
> At this point AI must achieve all its stated economic impacts or there will still be a huge economic crash I had a look at the numbers. The investment into data centers is estimated around $800B/year currently. OpenAI + Anthropic
10.
by user43928 5d ago
The internet is a much more appropriate comparison than crypto or tulips, which bring no or negligible value. Some differences to the market at that time seems to be that during the dotcom bubble, many of the companies had little to no reve
11.
by user43928 5d ago
I have read an interview with Acer's CEO claiming that the shortage is already over. He alleged memory maker's public announcements of the shortage lasting throughout the end of 2027 are attempts to covertly signal the others on p
12.
by user43928 5d ago
Datacenters and AI obviously work and come with a credible value proposition and path to profitability. Comparing this to crypto or turnips makes me doubt the merit of any other opinions your comment offers.
13.
by user43928 5d ago
I have seen comments on X that they will consider a revenue cap for the non-commercial restriction. A researcher commented among the lines that they have no interest in restricting creators from using it for monetized YT content. The way he
14.
by user43928 6d ago
This achieves absolutely nothing to that end. People can continue to use closed SOTA models to generate outputs for commercial or malicious purposes. What this research license achieves is that we cannot use this model in applications we pu
15.
by user43928 6d ago
It's not going to matter unless you plan to commercially deploy the model, as far as I see. If you were to generate outputs for commercial use, I think it would still violate this research license, but it's not like they are going
16.
by user43928 6d ago
You obviously don't need to put such things into .md files. They are already present in the harness. In my opinion there is all kind of worthless advice going around, including skills or prompts, where the authors have never benchmarke
17.
by user43928 6d ago
A 1000% productivity gain is quite possible on solo greenfield projects. At work, with a team and code reviews, the 50%-100% figure seems much more likely. This can probably move towards the more spectacular productivity gains as the AI&#x2
18.
by user43928 6d ago
So far I have seen mostly positive reactions. I believe there is a large market of consumers in the US who can afford a $2000 premium phone compared to the $1300 iPhone Pro Max. In China, reportedly JD.com's Apple store received more t
19.
by user43928 6d ago
And doesn't "some vendors they are" mean the opposite?
20.
by user43928 7d ago
It's going to be mass market and I wouldn't be surprised if it sells out on launch day in the US.
21.
by user43928 8d ago
What's interesting about it? I looked it up, and he seems to have worked on research in that area for a decade. The author of the blog post could have checked the same before making the claims.
22.
by user43928 8d ago
While that might not be the largest academic footprint, I don't think you could dispute him being an expert or being 'somewhat well known'.
23.
by user43928 8d ago
No, but the author seems to be above being critiqued for supposedly not even knowing of the existence of the field. Considering that he is a somewhat well known expert in the field who has been doing full time research on it for a decade.
24.
by user43928 8d ago
Is it? As in, are you sure, and can you provide concrete examples?
25.
by user43928 8d ago
I'm not familiar with the author, and I'm still mildly offended by your comment. If I have years of experience on the topic and invested significant time into the project, I'd not be as civil as the author if someone came in
26.
by user43928 8d ago
The main risk you have presented is a supposed negative effect on children's development. I am not convinced that there will be a negative effect at all. On the reward side we have potentially curing most major disease, automating labo
27.
by user43928 8d ago
I couldn't disagree more. What I expect to see in 10 years is breakthroughs in science and medicine, with major diseases becoming treatable. You can disagree, but on what basis do you think your predictions are more likely to be correc
28.
by user43928 8d ago
Wikis made knowledge available. Making it accessible, understandable, and usable is another matter. How LLMs sound is not a fundamental limitation of the technology. The current model's poor writing style and tone are currently a main
29.
by user43928 8d ago
No. I also cannot make a competitive computer, yet can use one for my work to remain competitive. Yes, it could take some time to arrive on phones. It is questionable if it will ever make sense compared to using a paid hosted provider. But
30.
by user43928 8d ago
It is the largest democratization of knowledge that ever happened. The 'sell it back to us' argument falls short in my view. Free versions are abundant, and in some time useful models will ship preinstalled on all mobile phones. T

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