thu2111

20 ms·

121.
by thu2111 5y ago
I feel like the biggest issue facing journalism is the lack of any kind of engineering mindset in the field. Even though journalism theoretically has some clear goals to work towards (more accurate, less biased, faster, clearer etc), as a f
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by thu2111 5y ago
But how often do Lukashenko and his circle actually fly out of Belarus anyway? He already had no problem with closing his own borders before anyway, so it's not like this is going to seem like a strong move to him and it only really hu
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by thu2111 5y ago
I honestly want to know what changed so suddenly such that it's now okay to discuss the lab leak hypothesis in polite company. The proximate cause? Probably the reporting of Nicholas Wade, whose article is targeted at the mainstream
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by thu2111 5y ago
Wuhan does not have bats, indeed. Some of the evidence is not co-incidence based, for example, the documents that appear to show the US was funding GOF research on bat coronaviruses at the WIV. However, the reaction of the Chinese authoriti
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by thu2111 5y ago
Well, he said it was "very, very strongly leaning toward this could not have been artificially or deliberately manipulated". There are multiple related claims that fall under the umbrella of lab leaks: 1. Did it escape from a lab?
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by thu2111 5y ago
From Nicholas Wade's article (it's now the canonical reference for this stuff): "Steven Quay, a physician-researcher, has applied statistical and bioinformatic tools to ingenious explorations of the virus’s origin, showing f
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by thu2111 5y ago
You're welcome. I agree it's reasonable to view BLM as a leaderless social movement, and that the existence of people who claim to speak for it is a bit suspicious. But the original point I was responding to was that neo-Marxism i
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by thu2111 5y ago
Not quite. BLM in particular is called Marxist because the people who actually organize that movement have called themselves "trained Marxists" and the British BLM website for a while claimed their goals involved overthrowing capi
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by thu2111 5y ago
You seem to be trying to identify causation from a single graph. That's not how data analysis needs to be done. You have to compare different datasets that vary in the control variable. In the case of Europe the UK vs Sweden is a good
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by thu2111 5y ago
Seriously? You do realize that we're talking about the capacity of the air vs land , not individual trains vs individual planes? Yes, a single train has more capacity than a single plane, but the limit to how many planes can be in t
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by thu2111 5y ago
That makes no sense. You're claiming that natural viruses will of course leak all the time, but GOF enhanced viruses are "novel" and thus won't? That's implausible, the GOF enhanced viruses are bred to be more vir
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by thu2111 5y ago
You're comparing apples and oranges. Rail is as expensive as a plane ticket that goes much further because the railways have far more limited capacity than the skies do. It's not related to competition or lack of it - those rails
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by thu2111 5y ago
I understand that mechanism just fine, and that counts as a form of remote control. But it's clearly not good enough for this situation which was both totally unacceptable and very, very easily resolved by anyone who could control the
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by thu2111 5y ago
They don't work regardless of when deployed. The idea the UK was late is doing the rounds inside the UK establishment but it's wrong. If they worked places that stopped doing lockdowns would have seen huge surges and higher death
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by thu2111 5y ago
Anti-smoking campaigns were decades earlier and did not involve measures anywhere near as harsh as currently deployed.
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by thu2111 5y ago
Three leaks? Where did you get that number? Lab leaks are extremely common, far more common than 3 in the last century! Quoting the Wade article this article starts by referencing: The smallpox virus escaped three times from labs in Englan
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by thu2111 5y ago
I suspect some readers are thinking ok, so it's ~6x worse, surely that's noticeable. But the COVID numbers are seriously inflated relative to past epidemics by the enormous testing programme, and the way mass PCR testing has cut d
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by thu2111 5y ago
Yes. What people are thinking of here is Galileo and the idea that the Earth revolved around the Sun. Nobody has ever thought the Earth was flat in any great numbers because it's obvious to anyone living in a society that has boats tha
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by thu2111 5y ago
Wade's article explains that. With SARS-1 they did find the animal transmission path very quickly (within months). Part of the argument here is that despite an overwhelmingly large and well incentivised search, no such path has been fo
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by thu2111 5y ago
There's basically no evidence either way The article this article is about (Nick Wade's article) is built around the opposite claim, that there actually is by now quite a lot of evidence and it supports the lab leak theory. And
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by thu2111 5y ago
There's no actual lockin, it's just that JetBrains put a lot of resources into the IntelliJ plugin and the quality of that plugin is a large part of Kotlin's value. You can easily write Kotlin in any other editor of course, b
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by thu2111 5y ago
Huh, TIL! It'd be interesting to see what percentage of users got waivers vs charges over time.
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by thu2111 5y ago
But Google are claiming that the erratic behaviour was caused by the remote assistance in this case. So they must be able to control the car. Yes, VR is far from perfect, granted. But is it worse than what they appear to be using instead? A
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by thu2111 5y ago
I think there is some evidence that lockdowns at least offered partial mitigation, but my memory is fuzzy on that. If you remember, please do post so I can take a look. Because, the evidence I've seen is all completely unambiguous an
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by thu2111 5y ago
No it wasn't. I will keep repeating this fact on HN until my fingers fall off - lockdowns do not work. They. Do. Not. Work. The data is in and the data is unambiguous, lockdowns have no effect at all . The UK having worse outcomes tha
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by thu2111 5y ago
They could simply require that they are. Clearly they're not yet at the point where nobody driving is actually possible, they just require third party drivers to cruise the area in case the vehicles get stuck.
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by thu2111 5y ago
The car has 360 degree awareness of what's going on and cameras everywhere. VR headsets are real. I see no reason why remote drivers couldn't have even better situational awareness than a normal driver given the sheer number of se
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by thu2111 5y ago
Are you insane? There are tons of countries that are not totalitarian, with big land borders, that have done far better than the US .... There are obviously thousands of things that could have been differently and or better. The latter pa
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by thu2111 5y ago
As far as lockdowns go, they work until you end them, at which point you have just delayed the inevitable. Where in the data can you see this? Lockdowns don't appear to work. If they did, then places that didn't use them or canc
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by thu2111 5y ago
But why don't they let the operators drive the car remotely? That's the obvious thing to do. I was really shocked that the support agent couldn't do a damn thing except sit there and watch until someone physically turned up.

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