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You seem to be trying to identify causation from a single graph. That's not how data analysis needs to be done. You have to compare different datasets that vary
by thu2111 5y ago
You seem to be trying to identify causation from a single graph. That's not how data analysis needs to be done. You have to compare different datasets that vary in the control variable. In the case of Europe the UK vs Sweden is a good comparison because they are similar in most ways that should affect viral propagation except for lockdowns. Sweden has seen significantly better death rates than the UK, despite the theory saying they should have done much worse, meaning the theory is wrong. Because the theory is wrong you can't derive anything by looking at UK curves in isolation and comparing them to a theoretical counterfactual.
You can also look at the different performance of US states (none) despite very different measures.
That chart is etched into my brain because of how worried I was
In other words you were terrified and forced that fear on your family, based on a mis-understanding of how to use data to draw scientific conclusions. And now you're accusing anyone who points out the truth to you of political axe grinding, although it's you who just threw in a random mention of "conservative ministers" implying their politics is responsible for lots of deaths. That's a political talking point!