skat20phys

9 ms·

31.
by skat20phys 7y ago
This has really hit home for me. I'm pretty sick with a 102 fever, cough, and aches. My guess for various reasons is that it's influenza A, but there are reasons to think it's not crazy to think it's COVID19. The issue i
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A Journal of the Plague Year by Daniel Defoe(en.wikipedia.org)
5 points by skat20phys 7y ago|0 comments
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by skat20phys 7y ago
Negative probabilities interestingly are showing up in various other realms. There seems to be converging interest in the topic from a number of areas. For example, in relating Bayesian inference to algorithmic complexity-based inference:
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by skat20phys 7y ago
That's a good point regarding MAP estimates versus, e.g., EAP estimates, although it does lead to questions about whether one or the other is preferable, and I think good arguments can be made either way.
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by skat20phys 7y ago
I haven't read the linked paper yet, but the blog post points a little to what's on my mind. To borrow a bit from a different paper and anonymous reviewer on one of my papers, inference serves different aims or philosophies. Somet
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by skat20phys 7y ago
I'm amazed at smartphones and videochatting to be honest, but at some level it's something that seems like a natural evolution of what was there before. For example, in a lot of ways we live in a sci-fi future, if the number of cl
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by skat20phys 7y ago
My reaction to this is kind of similar to yours, and sort of in-between a lot of others'. A lot of posts here seem to be nay-saying the piece, but I'm not really sure that's right or wrong. The problem as I see it is it'
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by skat20phys 7y ago
The issue is that psychosis/schizophrenia isn't like testing for a bacterium or looking at an x-ray. It's really a label for a set of presenting behavioral patterns, and is heterogeneous (I don't mean this critically, ju
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by skat20phys 7y ago
This is a good point but similar kinds of phenomena could lead to something more benign but equally problematic. For example, let's say someone inherits (genetically or environmentally) etiologic factors for psychosis and blindness. It
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by skat20phys 7y ago
I use kubuntu as my preferred system and love it. I will say that in my experience initial releases are often kinda glitchy or something, and that it can take awhile for brand new hardware etc to be supported well. But it's usually sol
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by skat20phys 7y ago
Psychology is no more predicated on mind-brain duality than computer science is predicated on hardware-algorithm duality. It's a level of analysis issue. There's plenty of psychology close to the neuron, and there's plenty of
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by skat20phys 7y ago
I think the tricky part is that at some level you want to be comparing counterfactuals. That is, accident rates of Teslas on autopilot with a driver of Tesla-driver abilities, in road conditions where the accidents occur, and so forth. It k
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by skat20phys 7y ago
This "driver aid" model itself is starting to sound like a problem to me. You either have safe, autonomous driving or you don't. A model where a driver is assumed to disengage attention, etc but then be expected to rengage in
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by skat20phys 7y ago
I knew there were things like what I was mentioning, but couldn't remember the names of them. Thanks. I don't think any of these biases are necessarily consciously enacted, but I think they exist in some of the ways you mention. T
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by skat20phys 7y ago
I guess as I'm thinking about it and reading through the comments, I'm maybe ok with the reviews being available, although I still believe anonymity is important as an option (although I'm not sure true anonymity can exist wi
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by skat20phys 7y ago
I'm actually very opposed to visible branding on a lot of things, especially clothing. At first I felt like I was being a little obsessive-compulsive but then eventually realized it's an ethical issue for me. Every time someone pu
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by skat20phys 7y ago
So, I've edited a journal, been on journal editorial boards, and reviewed a lot. I'm skeptical that more transparency in peer review will make a difference at all. In fact, some of the proposed solutions might hurt a bit. In the v
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by skat20phys 7y ago
My experience with gel ink pens is that they're incredibly smooth to write with but that you go through refills a lot more often than with ballpoint or rollerballs. I've settled on a Retro 51 Tornado. Nice price when I've bou
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by skat20phys 7y ago
Your intuition is right but it's complicated. This paper gives a discussion of different biases: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4504518/ There's a standard paper on this topic the auth
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by skat20phys 7y ago
What's really amazing to me is the rendering quality, if that's the right word for it, the resolution. This seems different to me than the "structural realism" in the sense of how plausible the face is in it being repres
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by skat20phys 7y ago
For me, this whole thing goes in the category of "what the @ #$ were they thinking?" I'm not sure if I should interpret it as a isolated case of misjudgment, evidence of poor organizational features, overinterpreting the sig
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by skat20phys 7y ago
Every time I read about this I'm amazed it isn't getting more attention in the wider press.