pinkmuffinere

3 ms·

1.
by pinkmuffinere 5d ago
> They may in principle have established the technologies to be self sustained but that’s only relevant and sustainable if they develop an economy based on domestic consumption rather than exports. Which they are struggling with as well.
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by pinkmuffinere 6d ago
Are you trying to say that including the weasely claims makes the article better and more scientific? You are “possibly” right.
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by pinkmuffinere 9d ago
> Swedish death cleaning is a decluttering practice from Sweden that emphasizes organizing your belongings before you die Well I haven't died yet, so I suppose the time is right.
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by pinkmuffinere 9d ago
lol this is a great quote, it's like a couplet from a standup set. It's humorous, unexpected, on closer reading it's possibly true, and then you see the source and immediately realize it must be correct. Any article you'
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by pinkmuffinere 10d ago
I _really_ like this advice, I will be filing it away for future use. Thankyou for your suggestion :P
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by pinkmuffinere 11d ago
Ah it's interesting they legitimately used 10k agents, I didn't realize that. I do agree that it's significant they solved the Millenium problem only once humans had made significant headway. I'm not sure I believe the r
7.
by pinkmuffinere 12d ago
To preface -- I try not to be dogmatic/politicized on AI, so I will genuinely consider your arguments! Please try to convince me. (indeed, I am the grandparent commenter) I agree with the meat of your statement, but am very interested
8.
by pinkmuffinere 12d ago
I made this same reply to another thread, so I'm sorry to say essentially the same thing twice, but -- the comment has a familiar structure, "it doesn't work for you because you used an [old / suboptimal / non-front
9.
by pinkmuffinere 12d ago
I think your reply has a somewhat familiar structure -- "it doesn't work for you because you used an [old / suboptimal / non-frontier] model. If you use X you'll see that it works". You might be completely corr
10.
by pinkmuffinere 13d ago
> I know the field of loudspeakers/acoustics very well, what I've said so far and will say now is all off the top of my head, and it's unlikely that it's in his head at all. The wikipedia article (linked above, linked
11.
by pinkmuffinere 15d ago
tl;dr -- aside from the point about fuel, you mostly don't disagree with him. You have different definitions for the same terms he uses, and you draw your system in a different place than he draws his. Both of you make reasonable choic
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by pinkmuffinere 15d ago
This channel (The Action Lab) is great, it sets an amazingly high standard for clarity of explanation, and for practical combination of experiments and theory, all while being appealing to a broad audience. Most educators would be extremely
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by pinkmuffinere 17d ago
Wow I wonder how much of that differential is them operating at an extreme loss, and how much is the relative cost of their new models vs old. If a significant portion of that is net losses, I'm very concerned for their business model
14.
by pinkmuffinere 17d ago
I don't think I'm discounting the human breakthroughs, the cost of employees, or the previous attempts. All of that is significant work, and has lead us to a scenario where the marginal cost to solve one millenium prize problem ap
15.
by pinkmuffinere 18d ago
Setting aside the disagreement, I was very interested to see the net pricing of the discovery: > All told, the week-long effort consumed 300 billion output tokens — $22.5 million worth of compute, if charged at current Astra rates. >
16.
by pinkmuffinere 19d ago
Ya, setting aside any judgement about what's "right", this strategy doesn't seem profitable. There's no real moat between one model/provider to another, switching is relatively easy. I don't understand how
17.
by pinkmuffinere 19d ago
> Degree is over-valued as a life goal in a time where we no longer really value tertiary education the way we should What does “the way that we should” mean here? Are you disagreeing with the free market valuation of a good? If not the
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by pinkmuffinere 20d ago
This is extremely low effort content. How did this get 14 points?
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Being a Missionary Kid in Turkey(bagelpour.wordpress.com)
2 points by pinkmuffinere 21d ago|0 comments
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by pinkmuffinere 22d ago
Ahhhh, that makes sense, that is an interesting point — I think you’re saying it’s just not high risk enough for them to make sure it’s got coverage
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by pinkmuffinere 23d ago
Ya, this does strike me as pretty high on the list of the thing I'd intentionally seek out if I was doing this job, along with object-in-the-road, icy road, tornado/hurricane, wildfire, and perhaps hail.
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by pinkmuffinere 23d ago
I think the fact that there are laws about it is not good evidence that it should be in the training data. Laws often cover weird edge cases, and if an edge case happens 50 times in 100 years, there's likely a law covering it. At the s
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by pinkmuffinere 23d ago
My family is Persian and I grew up in Turkey. You definitely develop an appreciation for carpets, and it's sooooooo heartbreaking to see people use art as an entryway rug, simply because they don't know :(
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by pinkmuffinere 23d ago
> I am confused at how Waymo engineering can be so robust as to yield an astonishingly good safety record, and yet so slapdash as to happily drive into deep water. I feel this is actually somewhat straightforward. I assume deep water on
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by pinkmuffinere 24d ago
Upon further thought, I realized this should be counted as a correct prediction for Zitron! Zitron did indeed “keep writing this stuff until…proven wrong”. Zitron’s prediction says nothing about what happens after being proven wrong.
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by pinkmuffinere 24d ago
I think you're right that this will be the most common objection, but wrong that it will be exceedingly difficult to find an advisor that would support this. I assume that if you _can_ overturn some foundational result, you won't
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by pinkmuffinere 25d ago
> February 2025: "I will keep writing this stuff until I’m proven wrong." Wrong (Zitron continues to write despite repeatedly being proven wrong) Lol, I appreciate the sprinkling of well timed humor in an article that is mostly
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by pinkmuffinere 25d ago
On the other hand, this seems like a super interesting path for an (unglamorous) PhD -- replicate the N most important findings in a field, subject to some restrictions (maybe focus on the ones that are "easy", or haven't bee
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by pinkmuffinere 25d ago
Wow, it sounds like he admitted to it on a talk show at least 7 years ago, and wrote about it in a book [0]! Can't believe it took this long. [0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x3uoB8zvLdI edit: just watched the youtu
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by pinkmuffinere 25d ago
Ya, I tend to agree. I think I personally have spent 9 weeks of effort on gifts for 2-3 people in my lifetime, and I don't even have kids yet.

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