pillowkusis

10 ms·

31.
by pillowkusis 9y ago
I have seen so many content creators go full time and create awesome work because Patreon gives them a format to incentivize their followers to pay them. The economics are beautiful — turns out just 1,000 people (a pittance on internet mass
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
you would have to opt in. And presumably if they have to pay you a $250 voucher, the person buying your seat would be paying $250+ more for your seat that you were. That's probably fairly rare
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
fantastic book about media manipulation. Very helpful in putting any type of media you see (reddit or otherwise) in perspective, and identifying where it is vulnerable to manipulation (which, on the internet, is virtually everywhere).
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
Sentiment analysis based on media is going to make you even more vulnerable to black swans. Black swans come from our collective blind spot -- if the media is reporting it (with a correct sentiment), it's by definition not on our blind
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
Yeah, great point about the inductive reasoning. I haven't thought about that aspect too much, although I guess I would call this line of reasoning inductive: "this globalization sure is impacting people's livelihoods, and ca
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
Taleb addresses this too. Of course somebody DID predict it. I don't know if that means the event is, in general, "predictable." If you put 1 million people in a room and told them to randomly guess what events would occur ne
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
To clarify, by "predict" I mean "to be reasonably sure of the outcome before it happens". I can assign logical reasons for Uber to declare bankruptcy tomorrow, but I would definitely not predict it.
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
I don't like the use of the word "predictable". I would qualify this populist uprising as a Black Swan[0], and as Taleb describes in his book, one of the common reactions to a black swan is to rationalize it's obvious pr
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
Most of the people I know aren't swayed by the "tough on crime" narrative. Certainly not me. But then again, I live in a techno-liberal-intellectual bubble. I believe this "punish those who do wrong" mentality (whic
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
the challenge is that literally nobody is incentivized to make changes to this system. the situation is really bad for politicians. A politican voting to reform a clearly broken prison system faces tons of risks to their career. Even one wr
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
a suprisingly self-aware and perceptive piece from a member of the media "digestive tract" that produces this problem day in and day out. I think this sheds too much blame away from major news media outlets, whose whole job _shoul
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
isn't it always "too late"? The fired employee would have to have a long pattern of problems. With the benefit of hindsight you'd know that you should have fired them after the first 5 or 10 problems.
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
if you fired someone too early, how would you ever know? They're at a different company. You'd have to somehow hear from a separate, trusted source that they were actually doing way better. Incredibly rare. the whole thesis of thi
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
Maybe you haven't checked out Kotlin lately? Kotlin has somewhat pattern matching: https://kotlinlang.org/docs/reference/control-flow.html#when... Tail call optimization: https://kotlinlang.org&#x2
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by pillowkusis 9y ago
Pretty skeptical about the value here. >A Gold subscription lets users borrow up to double the money in their account to trade on margin with leverage Users pay money to be loaned money? How is this different than a microloan service? &g
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
if this disgusts you for moral/guilt reasons there is a good solution. Eat less meat! You don't have to go full vegan. I think people employ black and white thinking about this -- either I eat all meat or I become vegetarian/
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
if americans at large had interest in holding these jobs, the market demand would be filled and they wouldn't be in demand. this statement feels vacuous to me?
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
most flights don't have every single person show up. there might be, say, 2 or 3 seats unfilled even if you sell every seat on the plane. so instead, sell a couple of seats twice, and bet that not everyone will show up. if you're
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
Give them concrete examples of your work. Why are you being turned down? Definitely do not need a degree but you will have to change your job-seeking process to account for that fact.
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
>weekly headlines on Android security woes stagefright is the last major Android vulnerability I'm aware of. Do you have sources for these? In my experience it's far less than weekly. Maybe yearly at most.
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
>He was young (still is) enthusiastic, idealistic, relatable to me. I would not describe him as idealistic or relatable. He's a self-identified Trump supporter/donator[0] and definitely has some alt-right leanings. Regardless o
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
Individual people already have a limit: https://www.opensecrets.org/overview/limits.php That said, allowing only individual entities to donate would be an improvement. But money would still find its way through, in unl
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
This is the central thesis of Trust Me, I'm Lying by Ryan Holiday. The internet ruined media by changing the revenue model to a per-article rather than per-subscription basis. He made this claim in 2012, long before most people recogni
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
>they weren't selling on an article by article basis there were literally newspaper boys on the streets yelling an outrageous headline and making you pay two cents to read the article itself. I don't think subscription papers e
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
>The capitalist system writ large would much prefer that these people made $40,000 a year instead of $20,000 The captialist system finds local maximums, not global ones. This is a classic coordination problem. As a business, your path to
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
Keeping people impoverished is a local maximum, not a global one. Yes, we as a people would be better off if we enriched the poor (this is why the middle class is so valuable). But it is in the interest of every corporation to make maximum
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
As I mention in my comment the study has not been released yet. It seems the whole article is based on the press release.
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
One thought that occurred as I read this: stress is a known cause of stroke/ heart attack. Perhaps stress-prone individuals seek out cannabis to handle it. Thus, the cannabis use and heart disease are correlated, but not caused by each
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
Nobody makes "decisions" like this in an organization with the level of complexity and bureaucracy that the CIA has. A lot of these decisions can be seen more as emergent behavior, subject to politics, short-term immediate incenti
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by pillowkusis 10y ago
Astroturfing like this, shilling and manipulating discussion, has gotten so advanced that it's almost impossible to tell real opinions from fake anymore. On the internet, nobody knows you're a dog[0]. I don't see any way to s

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