philh

41 ms·

361.
by philh 11y ago
> I attended a hackathon with a number of Amazon employees, and one of my distinct memories was a Principal Engineer who didn't even know what "publicly traded" meant and was sure that Bezos owned 100% of the company. It&#
362.
by philh 11y ago
The question adwn was talking about is not how many people will die? but will private companies kill more people than public companies? logicchains is suggesting that "private mining companies kill lots of people" says more ab
363.
by philh 11y ago
I read that post as "your diet has the right proportions of things, just too much of them? Great, just eat less of your existing diet. Still not losing weight? Eat even less!" I agree with you that changing your diet seems like ge
364.
by philh 11y ago
Something which is probably not true, but is probably not 100% false, and is in line with what you're saying: "These 5 Genes Predict What Kind of Diet and Exercise is Best For Your Body". http://rockstarresearch.co
365.
by philh 11y ago
> As a person who is currently in process of loosing weight through diet I can say that eating less calories doesn't mean feeling hungry. No you can't. You can say that eating fewer calories doesn't mean feeling hungry fo
366.
by philh 11y ago
I'm British too, and I'm a bit pissed at you for trying to tell people how I speak and write.
367.
by philh 11y ago
My understanding is that for some people, I'm not sure what fraction, "just eat less" basically means "just be perpetually hungry". I'd rather be overweight than perpetually hungry.
368.
by philh 11y ago
Yes, of course. But I think there's a difference between (say) "I play WoW (as opposed to some other MMO) to play with my friends who play WoW because of advertising" and "I play WoW because of advertising". And I t
369.
by philh 11y ago
> although I like previews, those can stay Why is an advert for a film that you don't need to see, better than an advert for a product that you don't need to own?
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by philh 11y ago
All the data I have, is consistent with people having different levels of susceptibility to ads. It wouldn't surprise me if there are in fact people who aren't influenced by them. Do you have data which is inconsistent with this?
371.
by philh 11y ago
When I want to buy a card, I go to a shop named Cards Galore. I go there because the name makes me think that they sell cards. I know it exists because I pass it every day, and they have their name in big letters on the outside of their sho
372.
by philh 11y ago
The full text is available for free. http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-26... You need to log in, I used http://bugmenot.com/view/thelancet.com Having a quick skim
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by philh 11y ago
That doesn't help us choose what to do . A collection of people is important, and another collection of people is important, and one of these collections of people is going to die and we have to choose which one. Platitudes about th
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by philh 11y ago
> Ugh, there's a lot of argument about that in the cfar alumni community. I take it you're involved with parts of the community outside the CFAR mailing list? I haven't seen it on there. There's certainly argument abo
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by philh 11y ago
1. It costs a lot to run. They have to rent out space, get meals, snacks, stationary. The staff:attendee ratio is pretty high. And they need to meet their general operating costs - office space and staff - not just for the workshops but as
376.
by philh 11y ago
Yeah, once only. Feel free to ask. I attended in... April 2013, I think, and then helped out at another of their workshops in I think November 2014. So I might not remember things in much detail, and I don't know what changes have happ
377.
by philh 11y ago
Related blog posts, by a past instructor (possibly co-founder? I forget): http://acritch.com/cfar-scaling/ http://acritch.com/cfar-altruism-and-core-vs-labs/
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by philh 11y ago
> I'm also curious as to how they handle sales objections A friend of mine told them he was interested, but hesitant because it was a lot of money. They asked him whether he knew anyone else who'd attended who he could ask. As
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by philh 11y ago
I recall seeing a suggestion that "everything" happens in threes, in a meaningful sense. Something along the lines of: you take events which happen according to a poisson distribution with parameter L, and you define a cluster to
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by philh 11y ago
You're misreading. 538 says 97% chance of at least one prize. The EV calculation comes from the Federalist, which doesn't give an exact probability for a shared prize, but reduces the payout by 37% to account for it. This is based
381.
by philh 11y ago
> Only microscopically different odds than buying a ticket. If that were the case, then approximately one winning ticket would blow into someone's hand every week. Alternatively, literally no one ever would have bought a winning tic
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by philh 11y ago
> Yet the consensus seems to be the the millions of people buying lotto tickets are all rubes, but the folks flouting the law and running bookmaking operations on the internet are disrupting staid government regulation? Structurally, thi
383.
by philh 11y ago
In that case, I think I could make a compelling argument that gangster rap is more of a religion than the Amish faith.
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by philh 11y ago
> thinking that something is capable of supernatural feats is not required for something to become a religion. I basically agree, but I think the concept of "religion" invokes a lot of correlated things, and belief in the super
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by philh 11y ago
What do you mean by 'religion', and why does it matter whether sports is a religion under this meaning? Here are some differences: sports fans don't think that their team is capable of supernatural feats. I don't think I
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by philh 11y ago
The question of whether a field is broken (not working how people would like it to work) is different from the question of whether it's valuable. There's a question of whether lawyers are a net good for society, and I would expect
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by philh 11y ago
You can unfollow individual sites. There's a down arrow in the top-right of a post, you click it and select 'hide all from clickhole'. I unfollowed a bunch, and now I rarely see that kind of thing.
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by philh 11y ago
You're not engaging with the claim as it was meant. In context, no human being has ever been "much more intelligent" than me. Not in the same way that I am "much more intelligent" than the monkey von Neumann. You mi
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by philh 11y ago
In that case, how is it a reply to woodchuck? "The subject matter that LessWrong considers is certainly unusual, but that alone should not be enough to call it arbitrary, questionable or outlandish." "But let me tell you abou
390.
by philh 11y ago
I feel like there are multiple questions getting conflated: * Does Bayes help honest enquirers to find the truth? (Relative to what? At what skill level?) * Does Bayes help bullshitters to hide the truth? (Relative to what? At what skill le

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