ozgooen

7 ms·

1. 31.▲
   by ozgooen 11y ago

   Honestly, my favorite resource for much of this is the book How to Measure Anything by Douglas Hubbard. He goes into detail in understanding the value of information and how and why to use Monte Carlo Simulations. Video: https:/&#x2F
2. 32.▲
   by ozgooen 11y ago

   Definitely, keeping a close eye. Have long been interested in prediction markets. It would be nice to tie data from them and the Good Judgement project into tools like Guesstimate so people could make forecasts using other strong forecast
3. 33.▲
   by ozgooen 11y ago

   Much of that is because the react histogram library I used. There are a bunch of issues with it. I definitely intend to replace it with something much better. If any of you recommend tools or libraries for that, I'd be very apprecia
4. 34.▲
   by ozgooen 11y ago

   Definitely. I haven't yet had a request to do a double triangular distribution, that looks really interesting. It will be a bit of a challenge to make it intuitive, but I'm sure I'll figure out something. Just so you know, r
5. 35.▲
   by ozgooen 11y ago

   Spreadsheets definitely have a lot of downsides compared to full programming languages, but there are some strong upsides. I think Guesstimate is good for relatively simple models (compared to large programs) of specific things; these are
6. 36.▲
   by ozgooen 11y ago

   I wasn't expecting this to go on hnews yet, but happy to take any questions!