joeyrideout

9 ms·

31.
by joeyrideout 7y ago
Re: Handling "crazy political extremist thoughts" on Facebook, I tend to either engage in a calm and reasonable reply that resembles the Socratic Method, or simply unfollow the person. It depends on how well I know them and how re
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
I generally take "[h]andling your own problems" to mean taking responsibility for your own problems. I'm seeing a lot of agreement in this thread, though. Healthy, deep relationships with family and close friends are importan
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
I agree, with an elaboration from Marshall McLuhan's theory that technology is an extension of parts of the human body - cognition and memory extending our brain; communication extending our eyes, ears, and mouths; sexuality; transpor
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Respectfully, zornado is correct and I'm not sure why he's being downvoted. The market cannot operate without a free market for risk-taking and a free market for assessing confidence of repayment as expressed in interest rates. Bo
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
I think a more accurate phrase is "borrowed into existence", which is worse than printing because the balance created charges interest. Printing money directly rather than borrowing it is less inflationary, because more money is
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
> the distribution of the boring events is fascinating This line needs to be made into a motivational poster, or a statistics meme.
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Aha, yes, I edited my post now to say 4th line not 4th step . Leave it to HN to get an off-by-one error :)
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Is that simplified? I'm just going off of this image: http://ajennings.net/blog/images/formula.png
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Remove the leading 3 and the trailing term of 1/4 increasing in power. You are left with this (in the 4th line): 1 3 5 1 - - - - 2 4 6 7 The pattern I see is that, starting from the top left and reading numerator, denominator, numerato
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
It baffles me how financial analysts can try to answer such a question by only focusing on the domestic economy. Economies are so interconnected, the next recession is likely to be a global recession. Alarm bells are currently ringing all o
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
The post was written by their CLO. They are not trying to claim as such, they are succeeding. I am not a lawyer, but I don't think this legal interpretation of the company is a lie. It seems like the classification is constantly under
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
The ECB is negative and preparing to cut lower. BoJ is buying 90%+ of their own bond market. Emerging markets are blowing up routinely, most recently Argentina. Australia and Canada have their own issues. The U.S. isn't perfect but it&
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Real Vision has some great commentary on the Yuan and its implications. Most recently: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ssFICVFH40 The big risk from my point of view is that currency weakness tends to spook international in
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
My understanding of this appeal to institutional investors is that it's simply a good risk-reward macro speculation play. A decent amount of macro folks are forecasting some sort of monetary crisis or at least significant inflation in
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Newsmap is my go-to: https://newsmap-js.herokuapp.com/ It's a real-time graphical representation of the most popular news stories in a variety of topics in global or (configurable) regions. Very useful. Shoutout to the
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Was I the only one who nodded in agreement thinking about Docker orchestration woes when reading the title? >:)
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
On the other hand, the banks are basically transferring wealth to the middle class (or anyone who can afford a mortgage) by paying them to borrow money.
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
To piggyback on this question, does Arcane provide any forward secrecy?
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Indeed, word on The Street leading up to the announcement was 0.25 rate cute was most likely followed by a small likelihood of 0.50 cut. No surprise. I disagree, however, that rates are going to zero in the States. ZIRP/NIRP are going
50.
by joeyrideout 7y ago
I stand corrected on the point of NLRA which I am not familiar enough with to know whether it applies. Great point. I agree with your aside as well. Public Relations are always in play.
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
IANAL, but nothing I've read in sibling comments and other threads fits the legal definition of retaliation. Realigning priorities in a way that the employee doesn't like, sure, but not technically retaliation from a legal perspec
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
I am aware of his past and still believe that he is the best in the world at what he does. His historical and financial insight is unmatched.
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Not to mention that pegs always fail in the land of financial markets anyhow [1]. Interest rate pegs, currency pegs, pegs to commodities e.g. gold tend to collapse in the long run because they create a "perfect trade". When the va
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
I predict a university bust and a trade school boom in the next generation. This entire generation is now entirely weary of college degrees and debt and will want their kids to do something practical, IMO.
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
If you are expecting a drastic decline in housing, you can hedge by holding financial derivatives that increase in value when the market declines. e.g. NYSE: REK, SRS, DRV. This will decrease your downside exposure for the cost of the ETF (
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
I wouldn't say paying for something voluntarily is "robbing". Just bad marketing. And yeah, government subsidies inflating costs is a classic outcome. Demand has also dropped since the quality of post-secondary students has r
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Yes, you're right, popular discourse is better wording. Or perhaps I could put scare-quotes around "scientific" discourse. I see scientific thinking as more in line with skepticism and general disagreeableness. (Is that reall
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Good public relations (PR) is not intuitive. The best practice when it comes to bad news is Robert Dilenschneider's advice to "tell it all and tell it fast", but companies are often hesitant to do so for legal and political r
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Thank you for the succinct description of '“science fandom” rather than scientific thinking'. This perfectly expresses my trouble with most scientific discourse nowadays. Many people brandishing "science" as a tool to wi
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by joeyrideout 7y ago
Sorry, upon re-reading you did not conflate the two. My understanding is that there are few or no private bids for bonds at current interest levels. As you probably know the ECB recently announced an end to QE. Rolling over debt at an inter

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